pru201403126k3.htm
 
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
 
 
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
 
FORM 6-K
 
 
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER
 
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
 
For the month of March, 2014
 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
 
 
(Translation of registrant's name into English)
 
 
LAURENCE POUNTNEY HILL,

LONDON, EC4R 0HH, ENGLAND
(Address of principal executive offices)


 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports
under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.


Form 20-F X           Form 40-F


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information
contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the
Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

 
Yes              No X


 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant
in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-





 
Enclosures: Prudential - FY13 Results - EEV 
 
European Embedded Value (EEV) basis results

Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

Results analysis by business area
 

   
Note
2013 £m
2012 £m
       
note (ii)
Asia operations
     
New business
2
 1,460
1,266
Business in force*
3
927
692
Long-term business*
 
2,387
1,958
Eastspring investments*
 
74
69
Development expenses
 
(2)
(7)
Total*
 
2,459
2,020
US operations
     
New business
2
 1,086
873
Business in force
3
 1,135
737
Long-term business
 
2,221
1,610
Broker-dealer and asset management
 
59
39
Total
 
2,280
1,649
UK operations
     
New business
2
297
313
Business in force
3
736
553
Long-term business
 
1,033
866
General insurance commission
 
29
33
Total UK insurance operations
 
1,062
899
M&G (including Prudential Capital)
 
441
371
Total
 
1,503
1,270
Other income and expenditure
     
Investment return and other income
 
10
13
Interest payable on core structural borrowings
 
(305)
(280)
Corporate expenditure
 
(263)
(231)
Unwind of expected asset management marginnote (i)
 
(61)
(56)
Total
 
(619)
(554)
Solvency II implementation costs
 
(31)
(50)
Restructuring costs
 
(12)
(22)
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns*
 
5,580
4,313
Analysed as profits (losses) from:
     
New business
2
 2,843
2,452
Business in force*
3
 2,798
1,982
Long-term business*
 
5,641
4,434
Asset management*
 
574
479
Other results
 
(635)
(600)
Total*
 
5,580
4,313

*
The Group has adopted the new accounting standard on ‘Joint arrangements’(IFRS 11) from 1 January 2013. This has resulted in a reallocation of £(8) million in 2013 (2012: £(6) million) from the tax charge on operating profit based on longer-term investment returns to the pre-tax result for Eastspring investments, with no effect on the net of tax EEV basis results. In addition, the Group agreed in July 2013 to sell, dependent on regulatory approval, its closed book life insurance business in Japan. Accordingly, the presentation of the 2012 comparative EEV basis results and related notes have been adjusted from those previously published for the retrospective application of this standard and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business, as described in note 18. This approach has been adopted consistently throughout this supplementary information.
 
 
Notes
(i)
The value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group’s covered insurance businesses (as defined in note 15(a)) are included in the profits for new business and the in-force value of the Group’s long-term business. The results of the Group’s asset management operations include the profits from the management of internal and external funds. For EEV basis reporting, Group shareholders’ other income is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected profit margin for the year arising from the management of the assets of the covered business by the Group’s asset management businesses. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the covered business assets.
(ii)
The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the year.

           
Summarised consolidated income statement
       
           
           
   
Note
 
2013 £m
2012 £m
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
       
Asia operations*
   
2,459
2,020
US operations
   
2,280
1,649
UK operations:
       
 
UK insurance operations
   
1,062
899
 
M&G (including Prudential Capital)
   
441
371
       
1,503
1,270
Other income and expenditure
   
(619)
(554)
Solvency II implementation costs
   
(31)
(50)
Restructuring costs
   
(12)
(22)
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns*
   
5,580
4,313
(Loss) profit attaching to held for sale Japan Life business*
4
 
(35)
21
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns*
5
 
(819)
510
Effect of changes in economic assumptions*
6
 
821
(2)
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings
   
152
(380)
Costs of domestication of Hong Kong branch
12
 
(35)
Gain on acquisition of REALIC**
4
 
453
Gain on dilution of Group's holdings**
   
42
Total non-operating profit*
9
 
84
644
Profit before tax attributable to shareholders (including actual
       
 
investment returns)*
   
5,664
4,957
Tax attributable to shareholders’ profit*
10
 
(1,306)
(1,188)
Profit for the year attributable to equity holders of the Company*
   
4,358
3,769
 
*   The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised ‘Employee benefits’ (IAS 19) and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business – see note 18.
 
**  During 2012, the Group completed the acquisition of REALIC generating a gain of £453 million and M&G reduced its holding in PPM South Africa resulting in a reclassification from a subsidiary to an associate and a gain on dilution of £42 million.

Earnings per share (in pence)
     
 
Note
2013
2012*
Based on post-tax operating profit including longer-term investment returns
     
 
of £4,204 million (2012*: £3,174 million)
11
165.0p
124.9p
Based on post-tax profit of £4,358 million (2012*: £3,769 million)
11
171.0p
148.3p
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

Dividends per share (in pence)
   
   
2013
2012
Dividends relating to reporting year:
   
 
Interim dividend
 9.73 p 
 8.40 p 
 
Final dividend
23.84 p 
 20.79 p 
Total
33.57 p 
 29.19 p 
Dividends declared and paid in reporting year:
   
 
Current year interim dividend
 9.73 p 
 8.40 p 
 
Final dividend for prior year
 20.79 p 
 17.24 p 
Total
 30.52 p 
 25.64 p 

Movement in shareholders’ equity
     
             
       
Note
2013 £m
2012 £m
Profit for the year attributable to equity shareholders*
 
4,358
3,769
Items taken directly to equity:
     
 
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges:
     
   
Exchange movements arising during the year
 
(1,077)
(467)
   
Related tax
 
(2)
 
Dividends
 
(781)
(655)
 
New share capital subscribed
 
6
17
 
Post-tax shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined
     
   
benefit pension schemes*
 
(53)
44
 
Reserve movements in respect of share-based payments
 
98
42
 
Treasury shares:
     
   
Movement in own shares in respect of share-based payment plans
 
(10)
(13)
   
Movement in Prudential plc shares purchased by unit trusts
     
     
consolidated under IFRS
 
(31)
36
 
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and
     
   
required capital:
     
   
Mark to market value movements arising during the year
 
(149)
53
   
Related tax
 
52
(18)
Net increase in shareholders’ equity
9
2,413
2,806
Shareholders’ equity at beginning of year
9
22,443
19,637
Shareholders’ equity at end of year
9
24,856
22,443
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

         
31 Dec 2013 £m
 
31 Dec 2012 £m
Comprising: 
 
Long-
term business operations
Asset
management
and other operations
Total
 
Long-
term business operations
Asset
management
and other operations
Total
Asia operations:
               
 
Net assets of operations
 
10,305
194
10,499
 
9,462
207
9,669
 
Acquired goodwill
 
231
61
292
 
239
61
300
         
10,536
255
10,791
 
9,701
268
9,969
US operations:
               
 
Net assets of operations
 
6,966
118
7,084
 
6,032
108
6,140
 
Acquired goodwill
 
16
16
 
16
16
         
6,966
134
7,100
 
6,032
124
6,156
UK insurance operations:
               
 
Net assets of operations
 
7,342
22
7,364
 
6,772
25
6,797
M&G:
               
 
Net assets of operations
 
449
449
 
392
392
 
Acquired goodwill
 
1,153
1,153
 
1,153
1,153
         
1,602
1,602
 
1,545
1,545
         
7,342
1,624
8,966
 
6,772
1,570
8,342
Other operations:
               
 
Holding company net
             
   
borrowings at market valuenote 7
 
(2,373)
(2,373)
 
(2,282)
(2,282)
 
Other net assets
 
372
372
 
258
258
         
(2,001)
(2,001)
 
(2,024)
(2,024)
Shareholders’ equity at
               
 
end of year
24,844
12
24,856
 
22,505
(62)
22,443
Representing:
               
 
Net assets (liabilities)
 
24,613
(1,218)
23,395
 
22,266
(1,292)
20,974
 
Acquired goodwill
 
231
1,230
1,461
 
239
1,230
1,469
         
24,844
12
24,856
 
22,505
(62)
22,443

     
31 Dec 2013
31 Dec 2012
Net asset value per share
   
Based on EEV basis shareholders’ equity of £24,856 million
       (2012: £22,443 million) (in pence)
971p
878p
Number of issued shares at year end (millions)
2,560
2,557
         
Return on embedded value**
19%
16%
**
Return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit, as shown in note 11, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders’ equity.

Summary statement of financial position
           
     
Note
31 Dec 2013 £m
31 Dec 2012 £m
Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds*
 
288,826
271,768
Less insurance funds**
     
 
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers’ share) and unallocated
     
   
surplus of with-profits funds*
 
(279,176)
(261,409)
 
Less shareholders’ accrued interest in the long-term business
 
15,206
12,084
       
(263,970)
(249,325)
 Total net assets
 9
 24,856
 22,443
           
Share capital
 
128
128
Share premium
 
1,895
1,889
IFRS basis shareholders’ reserves
 
7,627
8,342
Total IFRS basis shareholders’ equity
 9
9,650
10,359
Additional EEV basis retained profit
 9
15,206
12,084
Total EEV basis shareholders’ equity (excluding non-controlling interests)
 9
24,856
22,443
*
The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11   – see note 18.
**
Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4. For 2013 the policyholder liabilities of the held for sale Japan Life business are included in total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds.

Notes on the EEV basis results

1 Basis of preparation

The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum in May 2004 and expanded by the Additional Guidance on EEV Disclosures published in October 2005. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. Except for the presentational change for the results of the held for sale Japan Life business and the consequential effects of the changes in accounting policies for IFRS reporting in respect of employee benefits (IAS 19) and joint venture operations (IFRS 11), as described in note 18, the 2012 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company’s statutory accounts for 2012. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.

A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 15.

2 Analysis of pre-tax new business contribution

             
   
2013
   
Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)
Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
Pre-tax new business contribution
Pre-tax
   
New business margin
   
APE
PVNBP
   
note 17
note 17
   
 
   
£m
£m
£m
%
%
Asia operations
 2,125
 11,375
 1,460
 69
 12.8
US operations
 1,573
 15,723
 1,086
 69
 6.9
UK insurance operations
 725
 5,978
 297
 41
 5.0
Total
 4,423
 33,076
 2,843
 64
 8.6
             
   
2012
   
Annual premium and contribution equivalents (APE)
Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP)
Pre-tax new business contribution
Pre-tax
   
New business margin
   
APE
PVNBP
   
note 17
note 17
   
 
   
£m
£m
£m
%
%
Asia operations
 1,897
 10,544
 1,266
 67
 12.0
US operations
 1,462
 14,600
 873
 60
 6.0
UK insurance operations
 836
 7,311
 313
 37
 4.3
Total
 4,195
 32,455
 2,452
 58
 7.6
             

   
Pre-tax new business contributions
 
 
2013 £m
2012 £m
Asia operations:
 
 
 
China
 37
26
 
Hong Kong
 354
210
 
India
 18
19
 
Indonesia
 480
476
 
Korea
 33
26
 
Taiwan
 37
48
 
Other
 501
461
Total Asia operations
 1,460
1,266

3 Pre-tax operating profit from business in force

(i)  Group Summary

 
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total 
 
Asia
operations*
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total*
 
note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
   
note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
846
608
547
2,001
 
595
412
482
1,489
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
17
116
122
255
 
22
35
87
144
Experience variances and other items
64
411
67
542
 
75
290
(16)
349
Total
927
1,135
736
2,798
 
692
737
553
1,982
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business – see note 18.
 
(ii)  Asia operations
       
2013 £m
2012* £m
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
 
846
595
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions:
     
   
Mortality and morbiditynote (b)
 
35
79
   
Persistency and withdrawalsnote (c)
 
(30)
(24)
   
Expensenote (d)
 
(7)
(45)
   
Other
 
19
12
       
17
22
 
Experience variance and other items:
     
   
Mortality and morbiditynote (e)
 
42
57
   
Persistency and withdrawalsnote (f) 
 
44
52
   
Expensenote (g) 
 
(26)
(30)
   
Other
 
4
(4)
       
64
75
 
Total Asia operations
 
927
692
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business – see note 18.

Notes
(a)  
The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £251 million from £595 million in 2012 to £846 million in 2013 reflects a £140 million effect of higher risk discount rates, driven by the increase in long-term interest rates, together with an effect of £111 million arising from the growth in the opening in-force value (adjusted for assumption changes) on which the discount rates are applied, partially offset by a £(21) million reduction due to unfavourable exchange rate movements, particularly in Indonesia, and a £21 million increase in the return on net worth.
(b)  
In 2013 the credit of £35 million for mortality and morbidity assumption changes mainly reflects a beneficial effect arising from the renegotiation of a reinsurance agreement in Indonesia. The 2012 credit of £79 million primarily reflected mortality improvements in Hong Kong and Singapore and revised assumptions for critical illness business in Singapore.
(c)  
The charge for persistency and withdrawals assumption changes reflects a number of offsetting items including for 2013, the effect of strengthening lapse and premium holiday assumptions in Korea.
(d)  
In 2012 the charge of £(45) million for expense assumption changes principally arose in Malaysia and reflected changes to the pension entitlements of agents.
(e)  
The favourable effect of mortality and morbidity experience in 2013 of £42 million (2012: £57 million) reflects continued better than expected experience, principally arising in Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore.
(f)  
The persistency and withdrawals experience variance in 2013 of £44 million (2012: £52 million) principally reflects favourable experience in Hong Kong and Indonesia.
(g)  
The negative expense experience variance of £(26) million in 2013 (2012: £(30) million) principally reflects expense overruns for operations which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan) and in India where the business model is being adapted in response to the regulatory changes introduced in recent years.

 
(iii)  US operations
 

       
2013 £m
2012 £m
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
 
608
412
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions:
     
   
Persistencynote (b)
 
72
45
   
Variable annuity feesnote (c)
 
50
(19)
   
Other
 
(6)
9
       
116
35
 
Experience variances and other items:
     
   
Spread experience variancenote (d)
 
274
205
   
Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and lossesnote (e)
 
89
91
   
Othernote (f)
 
48
(6)
       
411
290
 
Total US operationsnote (g)
 
1,135
737
 
 
Notes
(a)
The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £196 million from £412 million for 2012 to £608 million in 2013 includes a £125 million effect of the increase in opening value of in-force business (after assumption changes), together with the positive effect of higher risk discount rates of £65 million and a £6 million increase in the return on net worth.
(b)
The effect of changes in persistency assumptions of £72 million in 2013 (2012: £45 million) primarily relates to a reduction in lapse rates following the end of the surrender charge period, principally for variable annuity business.
(c)
The effect of the change of assumption for variable annuity fees represents the capitalised value of the change in the projected policyholder advisory fees, which vary according to the size and the mix of variable annuity funds.
(d)
The spread assumption for Jackson is determined on a longer-term basis, net of provision for defaults (see note 16(ii)(b)). The spread experience variance in 2013 of £274 million (2012: £205 million) includes the positive effect of transactions undertaken to more closely match the overall asset and liability duration.
(e)
The amortisation of interest-related gains and losses reflects the fact that when bonds that are neither impaired nor deteriorating are sold and reinvested there will be a consequent change in the investment yield. The realised gain or loss is amortised into the result over the period when the bonds would have otherwise matured to better reflect the long-term returns included in operating profits.
(f)
The credit of £48 million for other changes in experience variances and other items mainly reflects the positive persistency experience variance of £62 million (2012: £21 million) across all products.
(g)
The result includes a full year contribution from the REALIC book of business of £61 million (2012: four months of £19 million).

(iv)
UK insurance operations
 

       
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
547
 
482
 
Effect of change in UK corporate tax ratenote (b)
122
 
87
 
Other itemsnote (c)
67
 
(16)
 
Total UK insurance operations
736
 
553
 
Notes
(a)  
The increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns of £65 million from £482 million in 2012 to £547 million for 2013 reflects a £34 million effect of higher discount rates, driven by the increase in gilt yields, a £24 million increase in the return on net worth and an effect of £7 million arising from the growth in the opening value of in-force.
(b)  
For 2013, the beneficial effect of the change in UK corporate tax rates of £122 million (2012: £87 million) reflects the combined effect of the reductions in corporate rates from 23 per cent to 21 per cent from April 2014 and 21 per cent to 20 per cent from April 2015 (2012: from 25 per cent to 23 per cent) which were both enacted in July 2013. Consistent with the Group’s approach of grossing up the movement in the post-tax value of in-force business for shareholder tax, the £122 million (2012: £87 million) benefit is presented gross.
(c)  
Other items of £67 million for 2013 includes the positive effects of rebalancing the investment portfolio backing annuity business. In 2012 the negative effect of £(16) million included a charge of £(52) million for the strengthening of mortality assumptions, net of reserve releases and the effects of portfolio rebalancing for annuity business.

4  Business acquisitions and disposals

(a)  
Acquisition of Thanachart Life Assurance Company Limited and bancassurance partnership agreement with Thanachart bank

On 3 May 2013, the agreement Prudential plc,  through its subsidiary Prudential Life Assurance (Thailand) Public Company Limited (Prudential Thailand), entered into in November 2012 to establish an exclusive 15-year partnership with Thanachart Bank Public Company limited (Thanachart Bank) to develop jointly their bancassurance business in Thailand was launched. At the same time Prudential Thailand completed the acquisition of 100 per cent of the voting interest in Thanachart Life Assurance Company Limited (Thanachart Life), a wholly-owned life insurance subsidiary of Thanachart Bank.

The consideration for the transaction is THB 18.981 billion (£412 million), of which THB 17.500 billion (£380 million) was settled in cash on completion in May 2013 with a further payment of THB 0.946 billion (£20 million), for adjustments to reflect the net asset value as at completion date, paid in July 2013. In addition a deferred payment of THB 0.535 billion (£12 million) is payable 12 months after completion. The acquired assets are comprised of:
         
£m
Acquired assets:
         
Net worth (including acquisition of distribution rights)
     
 
386
Value of in force acquired
       
26
Transaction consideration
       
412

The purchase consideration paid was equivalent to the fair value of the acquired assets and liabilities assumed. No goodwill has been recognised.

(b)
Acquisition of Reassure America Life Insurance Company in 2012

On 4 September 2012, the Group through its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Jackson completed the acquisition of 100 per cent issued share capital of SRLC America Holding Corp. and its primary operating subsidiary, Reassure America Life Insurance Company (REALIC). REALIC is a US-based insurance company whose business model was to acquire, through purchase or reinsurance, closed blocks of insurance business, primarily life assurance risks. REALIC did not and does not write new business.

The gain of £453 million reflects the fair value of the acquired business as determined by applying the same methodology as applied for Jackson’s non-variable annuity business. A risk discount rate of 4.3 per cent at the date of acquisition on 4 September 2012 was used.

(c)
Agreement to sell Japan Life business

On 16 July 2013, the Group reached an agreement to sell, subject to regulatory approval,  the life insurance business in Japan, PCA Life Insurance Company Limited, which was closed to new business in 2010, to SBI Holdings Inc. for US$85 million (£51 million at 31 December 2013 closing exchange rate) with related expenses of £3 million.  Consistent with the ‘held for sale’ classification of the business for IFRS reporting, the EEV carrying value has been set to £48 million at 31 December 2013. For 2013 the result for the year, together with the adjustment to the carrying value have given rise to an aggregate loss of £(35) million which has been included in non-operating profit. Consistent with this treatment, the presentation of the comparative results has been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published.

5 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns

Short-term fluctuations in investment returns, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, arise as follows:

         
(i)  Group Summary
   
     
2013 £m
2012 £m
 
Insurance operations:
   
   
Asia*, note (ii)
(405)
362
   
USnote (iii)
(422)
(254)
   
UKnote (iv)
35
315
     
(792)
423
 
Other operations:
   
   
Other*, note (v)
(27)
119
   
Economic hedge value movementnote (vi)
 -
(32)
 
Total*
(819)
510
 
*The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the results attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

(ii)  Asia operations
For 2013, the negative short-term fluctuations in investment returns of £(405) million principally arise in Hong Kong of £(223) million and in Singapore of £(96) million, due to unrealised value reductions on bonds, arising from the increase in long-term interest rates, and in Indonesia of £(52) million for a decrease in future expected fee income for unit-linked business, driven by falls in equity markets.

For 2012, the positive short-term fluctuations in investment returns of £362 million in Asia operations were driven by unrealised gains on bonds and higher equity markets, principally arose in Hong Kong of £139 million mainly relating to positive returns on bonds backing participating business, Singapore of £114 million primarily relating to increasing future expected fee income for unit-linked business and unrealised gains on bonds, Taiwan of £56 million for unrealised gains on bonds and CDOs and India of £30 million.

               
(iii)
 US operations
     
 
 The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise the following items:
         
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)
21
 
(99)
 
Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force
     
   
variable annuity business in future periods based on current period separate account return, net of related hedging activity note (b)
(580)
 
(183)
 
Other items including actual less long-term return on equity based investmentsnote (c)
137
 
28
 
Total US operations
(422)
 
(254)

 
Notes
(a)
The credit (charge) relating to fixed income securities comprises the following elements: (1) the excess of actual realised gains (losses) over the amortisation of interest related realised gains and losses recorded in the profit and loss account; (2) credit loss experience (versus the longer-term assumption); and (3) the impact of de-risking activities within the portfolio.
(b)
This item reflects the net impact of variances in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the effect of market fluctuations on the growth in separate account asset values in the current reporting period and related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity related hedges and interest rate options.
(c)
Other items of £137 million in 2013 primarily reflects a beneficial impact of the excess of actual over assumed return from investments in limited partnerships.

(iv)
UK insurance operations
     
 
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK insurance operations arise from the following types of business:
         
   
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
Shareholder-backed annuitynote (a)
(72)
 
(3)
 
With-profits,unit-linked and othernote (b)
107
 
318
 
Total UK insurance operations
35
 
315

 
Notes
(a)  
  Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business comprise: (1) gains/losses on surplus assets  compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions/increases in corporate bond and gilt yields; (2) the difference between actual and expected default experience; and (3) the effect of mismatching for assets and liabilities of different durations and other short-term fluctuations in investment returns.
(b)  
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for with-profits, unit-linked and other business primarily arise from the excess of actual over expected returns for with-profits business. The total return on the fund (including unallocated surplus) in 2013 was 8 per cent compared to an assumed rate of return of 6 per cent (2012: 10 per cent total return compared to assumed rate of 5 per cent).In addition, the amount for 2013 includes the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK’s with-profits sub-fund taken out during the year. This hedge reduces the risks arising from equity market declines.

(v)      Other items
 
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns of Other operations, were negative £(27) million (2012: positive £119 million) representing principally unrealised value movements on investments and foreign exchange items.

(vi)    Economic hedge value movements
This item represents the cost of short-dated hedge contracts taken out in the first half of 2012 to provide downside protection against severe equity market falls through a period of particular uncertainty with respect to the Eurozone. The hedge contracts were terminated in the second half of 2012.

6 Effect of changes in economic assumptions

The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, included within profit before tax (including actual investment returns) arise as follows:

           
(i)   Group Summary
   
           
       
2013 £m
2012 £m
   
Asia operations*, note (ii)
283
(135)
   
US operationsnote (iii)
372
85
   
UK insurance operationsnote (iv)
166
48
   
Total*
821
(2)
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.

(ii)
Asia operations
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia operations in 2013 of £283 million primarily reflects the overall impact of the increase in long-term interest rates in the year, principally arising in Hong Kong of £361 million, Singapore of £107 million and Taiwan of £99 million mainly due to the increase in fund earned rates for participating business. There are partial offsets arising in Indonesia of £(237) million and in Malaysia of £(77) million, mainly reflecting the negative impact of calculating health and protection future profits at a higher discount rate.

The charge of £(135) million in 2012 for the effect of changes in economic assumptions principally arose in Hong Kong of £(320) million, primarily reflecting the effect on projected cash flows of de-risking the asset portfolio and the reduction in fund earned rates on participating business, driven by the very low interest rate environment, and in Vietnam of £(47) million, following the fall in bond yields. There were partial offsets totalling £232 million, principally arising in Malaysia and Indonesia, mainly reflecting the positive impact of calculating projected health and protection profits at a lower rate, driven by the decrease in risk discount rates.

(iii)
US operations
 
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations reflects the following:
       
2013 £m
2012 £m
   
Effect of changes in 10-year treasury rates and beta:
   
     
Fixed annuity and other general account business note (a)
(375)
20
     
Variable annuity businessnote (b)
587
(83)
   
Decrease in additional allowance for credit risknote (c)
160
148
   
Total US operations note (d)
372
85

 
Notes
(a)
For fixed annuity and other general account business the charge of £(375) million in 2013 principally arises from the effect of a higher discount rate on the opening value of the in-force book, driven by the 130 basis points increase in the risk-free rate. The projected cash flows for this business principally reflect projected spread, with secondary effects on the cash flows also resulting from changes to assumed future yields and resulting policyholder behaviour. The credit of £20 million in 2012 reflected a 10 basis point decrease in the risk free rate, partially offset by the effect for the acquired REALIC book (reflecting a 20 basis point increase in the risk-free rate from the 4 September acquisition date to 31 December 2012).
(b)
For variable annuity business, the credit of £587 million principally reflects an increase in projected fee income and a decrease in projected benefit costs, arising from the increase in the rate of assumed future return on the underlying separate account assets, driven by the 130 basis points increase in the risk-free rate. There is a partial offset arising from the increase in the discount rate applied to those cash flows. The charge of £(83) million in 2012 reflected a decrease in the risk free rate of 10 basis points.
(c)
For 2013 the £160 million (2012: £148 million) effect of the decrease in the additional allowance for credit risk within the risk discount rate reflected the reduction in credit spreads and represented a 50 basis points decrease for spread business and a 10 basis points decrease for variable annuity business, representing the proportion of business invested in the general account (as described in note 15(b)(iii)).
(d)
The total effect of changes in economic assumptions for US operations of a credit of £372 million for 2013 includes a pre-tax charge of £(20) million for the effect of the change in required capital from 235 per cent to 250 per cent of risk-based capital (see note 15(b)(ii)).

(iv)
UK insurance operations
 
The effect of changes in economic assumptions of a credit of £166 million for UK insurance operations for 2013 comprises the following:

       
2013 £m
2012 £m
   
Effect of changes in expected long-term rates of return, risk
   
     
discount rates and other changes:
   
     
      Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)
(70)
140
     
      With-profits and other businessnote (b)
236
(46)
   
Tax regimenote (c)
 -
(46)
   
Total UK insurance operations
166
48

 
Notes
(a)
For shareholder-backed annuity business the overall effect of changes in expected long-term rates of return and risk discount rates reflect the combined effects of the changes in economic assumptions, which incorporate a default allowance for both best estimate defaults and in respect of the additional credit risk provisions (as shown in note 16(iii)).
(b)
For with-profits and other business the total credit in 2013 of £236 million (2012: charge of £(46) million) includes the net effect of the changes in fund earned rates and risk discount rate (as shown in note 16(iii)), driven by the 120 basis points increase (2012: a reduction of 20 basis points) in the 15-year government bond rate.
(c)
In 2012, the effect of the change in tax regime of £(46) million reflected the change in pattern of taxable profits for shareholder-backed annuity business arising from the acceleration of tax payments due to the altered timing of relief on regulatory basis provisions.

7 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations

     
31 Dec 2013 £m
     
31 Dec 2012 £m
 
   
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
 
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
Holding company* cash and
             
 
short-term investments
(2,230)
(2,230)
 
(1,380)
-
(1,380)
Core structural borrowings –
             
 
central funds**
4,211
392
4,603
 
3,126
536
3,662
Holding company net borrowings
1,981
392
2,373
 
1,746
536
2,282
Core structural borrowings – Prudential
             
 
Capital
275
275
 
275
-
275
Core structural borrowings – Jackson
150
38
188
 
153
43
196
Net core structural borrowings of
             
 
shareholder-financed operations
2,406
430
2,836
 
2,174
579
2,753
*
Including central finance subsidiaries.
**
In January 2013, the Company issued US$700 million (£423 million at 31 December 2013 closing exchange rate) perpetual subordinated capital securities. In addition the Company issued £700 million subordinated notes in December 2013.

8 Analysis of movement in free surplus

Free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles.
       
2013 £m
 
2012* £m
       
 Long-term business
Asset management and UK general insurance commission
Free surplus of long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission
 
Free surplus of long-term business, asset management and UK general insurance commission
Long-term business and asset management operationsnote (i)
note 12
note (iii)
     
Underlying movement:
         
 
Investment in new businessnotes (ii), (viii)
(637)
(637)
 
(618)
 
Business in force:
         
   
Expected in-force cash flows (including expected return
         
     
on net assets)
2,150
471
2,621
 
2,405
   
Effects of changes in operating assumptions, operating
         
     
experience variances and other operating items
478
478
 
293
       
1,991
471
2,462
 
2,080
Effect of acquisition of REALIC
 
(169)
Increase in EEV assumed level of required capitalnote 12
(58)
(58)
 
 -
(Loss) profit attaching to held for sale Japan Life business
(40)
(40)
 
31
Other non-operating itemsnote (iv)
(739)
17
(722)
 
(62)
       
1,154
488
1,642
 
1,880
Net cash flows to parent companynote (v)
(1,069)
(272)
(1,341)
 
(1,200)
Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Lifenotes 4 ,12
365
365
 
 -
Exchange movements, timing differences and other itemsnote (vi)
(187)
(165)
(352)
 
(412)
Net movement in free surplus
263
51
314
 
268
Balance at 1 January 2013note (viii)
2,957
732
3,689
 
3,421
Balance at 31 December 2013note (viii)
3,220
783
4,003
 
3,689
Representing:
         
 
Asia operations
1,185
194
1,379
 
1,181
 
US operations
956
118
1,074
 
1,319
 
UK operations
1,079
471
1,550
 
1,189
       
3,220
783
4,003
 
3,689
Balance at 1 January 2013/ 1 January 2012 representing:
         
 
Asia operations
974
207
1,181
 
1,278
 
US operations
1,211
108
1,319
 
1,333
 
UK operations
772
417
1,189
 
810
       
2,957
732
3,689
 
3,421
*The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of the revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the Japan Life business – see note 18.

 
Notes
(i)
All figures are shown post-tax.
(ii)
Free surplus invested in new business represents amounts set aside for required capital and acquisition costs.
(iii)
For the purposes of this analysis, free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis shareholders’ equity.
(iv)
Changes in non-operating items principally represent short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations.
(v)
Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.
(vi)
Exchange movements, timing differences and other items represent:
2013 £m
     
Long-term
business
Asset management
 and UK general
 insurance commission
Total
 
Exchange movementsnote 12
(164)
(28)
(192)
 
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus
      and required capitalnote 9
(97)
(97)
 
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined
      benefit pension schemesnote 9
(22)
(18)
(40)
 
Othernote (vii)
96
(119)
(23)
   
(187)
(165)
(352)
(vii)
Other primarily reflects the effect of intra-group loans, contingent loan funding, as shown in note 12(i),  timing differences and other non-cash items.
(viii)
The free surplus balance at 31 December 2013 includes £392 million (2012: £177 million) representing unamortised amounts advanced to bancassurance partners for securing exclusive distribution rights. The annual amortisation charge is recorded within ‘investment in new business’ each year at a rate that is determined by reference to the actual sales levels achieved.

9 Reconciliation of movement in shareholders’ equity

     
2013 £m
 
2012* £m
     
Long-term business operations
           
     
Asia operations
 
US
operations
 
UK
insurance operations
 
Total
long-term business
operations
 
Other operations
 
Group
Total
 
Group
Total
                 
                 
     
note (i)
             
note (i)
       
Pre-tax operating profit (based on longer-term
                         
 
investment returns)
                         
Long-term business:
                         
 
New businessnote 2
1,460
 
1,086
 
297
 
2,843
 
 
2,843
 
2,452
 
Business in forcenote 3
927
 
1,135
 
736
 
2,798
 
 
2,798
 
1,982
     
2,387
 
2,221
 
1,033
 
5,641
 
 
5,641
 
4,434
Asset management
 
 
 
 
574
 
574
 
479
Other results
(2)
 
(1)
 
(16)
 
(19)
 
(616)
 
(635)
 
(600)
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term
                         
 
investment returns
2,385
 
2,220
 
1,017
 
5,622
 
(42)
 
5,580
 
4,313
Total non-operating profit
(157)
 
(46)
 
166
 
(37)
 
121
 
84
 
644
Profit before tax (including actual investment
2,228
 
2,174
 
1,183
 
5,585
 
79
 
5,664
 
4,957
 
returns)
                         
Tax (charge) credit attributable to shareholders’
                         
 
profitnote 10
                         
 
Tax on operating profit
(494)
 
(695)
 
(198)
 
(1,387)
 
11
 
(1,376)
 
(1,139)
 
Tax on non-operating profit
69
 
12
 
(34)
 
47
 
23
 
70
 
(49)
Profit for the year
1,803
 
1,491
 
951
 
4,245
 
113
 
4,358
 
3,769
Other movements (post-tax)
                         
Exchange movements on foreign operations
                         
 
and net investment hedges
(974)
 
(175)
 
 
(1,149)
 
72
 
(1,077)
 
(469)
Intra-group dividends (including statutory
                         
 
transfers)note (ii)
(433)
 
(300)
 
(339)
 
(1,072)
 
1,072
 
 
-
Investment in operationsnote (iii)
40
 
 
 
40
 
(40)
 
 
-
External dividends
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
(781)
 
(781)
 
(655)
Shareholders' share of actuarial and other gains and
                         
 
losses on defined benefit pension schemesnote (v)
 -
 
 -
 
(22)
 
(22)
 
(31)
 
(53)
 
44
Reserve movements in respect of share-based
                         
 
payments
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
98
 
98
 
42
Bancassurance agreement and purchase of
                         
 
Thanachart Lifenotes (vi) and 4
 412
 
 -
 
 -
 
 412
 
(412)
 
 
-
Other transfers
(5)
 
15
 
(20)
 
(10)
 
10
 
 
-
Treasury shares movements
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
(41)
 
(41)
 
23
New share capital subscribed
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
 -
 
 6
 
 6
 
 17
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets
                         
 
backing surplus and required capital
 
(97)
 
 
(97)
 
 
(97)
 
35
Net increase in shareholders’ equity
843
 
934
 
570
 
2,347
 
66
 
2,413
 
2,806
Shareholders’ equity at 1 January 2013note (i)
9,462
 
6,032
 
6,772
 
22,266
 
177
 
22,443
 
19,637
Shareholders’ equity at 31 December 2013note (i)
10,305
 
6,966
 
7,342
 
24,613
 
243
 
24,856
 
22,443
                               
Representing:
                         
 
Statutory IFRS basis shareholders’ equity
2,564
 
3,446
 
2,976
 
8,986
 
664
 
9,650
 
10,359
 
Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV
                         
   
basisnote (iv)
7,741
 
3,520
 
4,366
 
15,627
 
(421)
 
15,206
 
12,084
 
 EEV basis shareholders’ equity
10,305
 
6,966
 
7,342
 
24,613
 
243
 
24,856
 
22,443
Balance at 1 January 2013/1 January 2012
                         
Representing:
                         
 
Statutory IFRS basis shareholders’ equity
2,290
 
4,343
 
3,008
 
9,641
 
718
 
10,359
 
8,564
 
Additional retained profit (loss) on an EEV
                         
   
basisnote (iv)
7,172
 
1,689
 
3,764
 
12,625
 
(541)
 
12,084
 
11,073
 
 EEV basis shareholders’ equity
9,462
 
6,032
 
6,772
 
22,266
 
177
 
22,443
 
19,637
*The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business – see note 18.

Notes
(i)
For the purposes of the table above, goodwill related to Asia long-term operations is included in Other operations.
(ii)
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) represent dividends that have been declared in the year and amounts accrued in respect of statutory transfers.  The amounts included in note 8 for these items are as per the holding company cashflow at transaction rates.  The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, timing differences arising on statutory transfers, and other non-cash items.
(iii)       Investment in operations reflects increases in share capital.
(iv)
The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for Other operations primarily represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a charge of £(392) million (2012: charge of £(536) million), as shown in note 7.
(v)
The (charge) credit for the shareholders’ share of actuarial and other gains and losses on defined benefit schemes comprises:

     
2013 £m
2012* £m
 
IFRS basis
(48)
34
 
Additional shareholders' interestnote 15(c)(vi)
(5)
10
 
EEV basis total
(53)
44
 
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of revised IAS 19 - see note 18.
(vi)
The £412 million transfer from Other operations to Asia operations represents the funding of Asia operations to purchase the bancassurance agreement and Thanachart Life (as shown in note 4).

10 Tax attributable to shareholders’ profit

The tax charge comprises:
   
   
2013 £m
2012 £m
Tax charge on operating profit based on longer-term investment returns:
   
Long-term business:*
   
 
Asia operations
494
420
 
US operations
695
513
 
UK insurance operations
198
168
   
1,387
1,101
Other operations**
(11)
38
Total tax charge on operating profit based on longer-term investment returns**
1,376
1,139
Tax (credit) charge on non-operating profit**
(70)
49
Tax charge on profit attributable to shareholders (including
   
 
tax on actual investment returns)**
1,306
1,188
*The tax charge on operating profit for long-term business includes tax on Solvency II and restructuring costs.
** The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and revised IAS 19 - see note 18.

11 Earnings per share (EPS)
   
2013 £m
 
2012* £m
   
Operating
Total
 
Operating
Total
Pre-tax profit
5,580
5,664
 
4,313
4,957
Tax
(1,376)
(1,306)
 
(1,139)
(1,188)
Post-tax profit
 4,204
 4,358
 
3,174
3,769
EPS (pence)
165.0p
171.0p
 
124.9p
148.3p
Average number of shares (millions)
2,548
2,548
 
2,541
2,541
* The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11, revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business - see note 18.
 
12 Reconciliation of post-tax movements in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business
   
2013 £m
               
Total
           
Value of
 
long-term
   
Free
Required
Total net
 
in-force
 
business
   
Surplus
capital
 worth
 
business
 
operations
   
note  8
     
note (iv)
   
Group
             
Shareholders’ equity at 1 January 2013
2,957
3,898
6,855
 
15,411
 
22,266
New business contributionnotes (ii), (iii)
(637)
461
(176)
 
2,258
 
2,082
Existing business – transfer to net worth
2,017
(347)
1,670
 
(1,670)
 
Expected return on existing business
133
90
223
 
1,277
 
1,500
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances *
478
(7)
471
 
182
 
653
Increase in EEV assumed level of required capitalnote (vi)
(58)
58
 
(13)
 
(13)
Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business
(40)
(40)
 
5
 
(35)
Other non-operating items
(739)
(103)
(842)
 
900
 
58
Post-tax profit from long-term business
1,154
152
1,306
 
2,939
 
4,245
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
(164)
(117)
(281)
 
(868)
 
(1,149)
Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Lifenotes 4 and (v)
365
21
386
 
26
 
412
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in
       operationsnote (i)
(963)
(963)
 
(69)
 
(1,032)
Other movements
(129)
(129)
 
 
(129)
Shareholders’ equity at 31 December 2013note(viii)
3,220
3,954
7,174
 
17,439
 
24,613
Representing:
             
Asia operations
             
Shareholders’ equity at 1 January 2013
974
970
1,944
 
7,518
 
9,462
New business contributionnote (iii)
(310)
107
(203)
 
1,342
 
1,139
Existing business – transfer to net worth
713
29
742
 
(742)
 
Expected return on existing business
74
(1)
73
 
595
 
668
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances*
32
(9)
23
 
61
 
84
Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life businessnote 4
(40)
(40)
 
5
 
(35)
Other non-operating items
(70)
(56)
(126)
 
73
 
(53)
Post-tax profit from long-term business
399
70
469
 
1,334
 
1,803
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
(155)
(84)
(239)
 
(735)
 
(974)
Bancassurance agreement and purchase of Thanachart Lifenotes 4 and (v)
365
21
386
 
26
 
412
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) and investment in
       operations
(393)
(393)
 
 
(393)
Other movements
(5)
(5)
 
 
(5)
Shareholders’ equity at 31 December 2013note (viii)
1,185
977
2,162
 
8,143
 
10,305
US operations
               
Shareholders’ equity at 1 January 2013
1,211
1,600
2,811
 
3,221
 
6,032
New business contributionnote (iii)
(298)
288
(10)
 
716
 
706
Existing business – transfer to net worth
796
(296)
500
 
(500)
 
Expected return on existing business
41
53
94
 
301
 
395
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances*
292
21
313
 
111
 
424
Increase in EEV assumed level of required capitalnote (vi)
(58)
58
 
(13)
 
(13)
Other non-operating items
(637)
(84)
(721)
 
700
 
(21)
Post-tax profit from long-term business
136
40
176
 
1,315
 
1,491
Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges
(9)
(33)
(42)
 
(133)
 
(175)
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)
(300)
(300)
 
 
(300)
Other movements
(82)
(82)
 
 
(82)
Shareholders’ equity at 31 December 2013
956
1,607
2,563
 
4,403
 
6,966
UK insurance operations
             
Shareholders’ equity at 1 January 2013
772
1,328
2,100
 
4,672
 
6,772
New business contributionnote (iii)
(29)
66
37
 
200
 
237
Existing business – transfer to net worth
508
(80)
428
 
(428)
 
Expected return on existing business
18
38
56
 
381
 
437
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances*
154
(19)
135
 
10
 
145
Other non-operating items
(32)
37
5
 
127
 
132
Post-tax profit from long-term business
619
42
661
 
290
 
951
Intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers)note (i)
(270)
(270)
 
(69)
 
(339)
Other movements
(42)
(42)
 
 
(42)
Shareholders’ equity at 31 December 2013note (viii)
1,079
1,370
2,449
 
4,893
 
7,342
*
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances as reported above include development, Solvency II and restructuring costs.

Notes
 (i)
The amounts shown in respect of free surplus and the value of in-force business for UK insurance operations for intra-group dividends (including statutory transfers) include contingent loan funding. Contingent loan funding represents amounts whose repayment to the lender is contingent upon future surpluses emerging from certain contracts specified under the arrangement. If insufficient surplus emerges on those contracts, there is no recourse to other assets of the Group and the liability is not payable to the degree of shortfall.
(ii)       The movements arising from new business contribution are as follows:
     
2013 £m
2012 £m
 
Free surplus invested in new business
(637)
(618)
 
Increase in required capital
461
454
 
Reduction in total net worth
(176)
(164)
 
Increase in the value associated with new business
2,258
1,955
 
Total post-tax new business contribution
2,082
1,791

    (iii)   Free surplus invested in new business is as follows:
                       
     
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
     
Asia operations
 
US operations
 
UK
insurance operations
 
Total
long-term
business operations
 
Asia operations
 
US operations
 
UK
insurance operations
 
Total
long-term
business operations
 
Pre-tax new business
                             
   
contributionnote 2
1,460
 
1,086
 
297
 
2,843
 
1,266
 
873
 
313
 
2,452
 
Tax
(321)
 
(380)
 
(60)
 
(761)
 
(284)
 
(305)
 
(72)
 
(661)
 
Post-tax new business
                             
   
contribution
1,139
 
706
 
237
 
2,082
 
982
 
568
 
241
 
1,791
 
Free surplus invested in new
                             
   
business
(310)
 
(298)
 
(29)
 
(637)
 
(292)
 
(281)
 
(45)
 
(618)
 
Post-tax new business
                             
   
contribution per £1 million
                             
   
free surplus invested
3.7
 
2.4
 
8.2
 
3.3
 
3.4
 
2.0
 
5.4
 
2.9

(iv)
The value of in-force business includes the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital and represents:

     
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
     
Asia
operations
 
US
operations
 
UK
insurance
operations
 
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia
operations
 
US
operations
 
UK
insurance
operations
 
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Value of in-force business
                             
   
before deduction of cost of
                             
   
capital and time value of guarantees
8,540
 
4,769
 
5,135
 
18,444
 
7,903
 
3,992
 
4,916
 
16,811
 
Cost of capital
(347)
 
(220)
 
(242)
 
(809)
 
(352)
 
(121)
 
(244)
 
(717)
 
Cost of time value of
    guaranteesnote (vii)
(50)
 
(146)
 
 
(196)
 
(33)
 
(650)
 
-
 
(683)
 
Net value of in-force business
8,143
 
4,403
 
4,893
 
17,439
 
7,518
 
3,221
 
4,672
 
15,411

(v)
The free surplus increase of £365 million in respect of the transaction with Thanachart bank includes the purchase cost of the partnership agreement to enable future new sales through the bancasurrance channel. As new business is written, the carrying value of this purchase cost is amortised against the new business contribution line of this reconciliation.
(vi)
The increase in required capital in US operations of £58 million reflects the effect of the change from 235 per cent to 250 per cent of risk-based capital.
(vii)
The decrease in the cost of time value of guarantees for US operations from £(650) million at 2012 to £(146) million at 2013 primarily relates to variable annuity business, mainly arising from the increase in the expected long-term separate account rate of return of 1.3 per cent driven by the increase in the US 10-year treasury bond rate and strong equity performance, partly offset by the impact from new business written in the year.
(viii)
Effects of domestication of Hong Kong branch in 2014
The analysis of shareholders’ equity at 31 December 2013 does not incorporate the impact of the domestication of the Hong Kong branch which took effect on 1 January 2014. In order to align the corporate structure of the branch business in Hong Kong more closely with Prudential’s other Asia operations, the Board of PAC initiated a proposal to transfer the branch business to two Hong Kong-incorporated companies – Prudential Hong Kong Limited and Prudential General Insurance Hong Kong Limited – with one providing life insurance and the other providing general insurance.

Following consultation with policyholders of PAC and court approval, the assets and liabilities of the Hong Kong branch business of PAC transferred to separate subsidiaries on 1 January 2014.  As a consequence of this restructuring, adjustments in respect of required capital, and the cost of that capital, will be necessary. This arises from the transfer of capital that was previously held within the UK business in respect of the Hong Kong branch operations and additional capital requirements that arise from the newly established subsidiaries. These will be reflected in the movements in net worth and value of in force business reported in 2014 as adjustments to opening balances as follows:

     
£m
 
Adjustment to shareholders’ equity at
1 January 2014
Free surplus
Required capital
Total net worth
Value of
in-force
business
Total long-term business operations
               
 
Asia operations
(104)
104
-
(40)
(40)
 
UK insurance operations
69
(69)
-
29
29
 
Net impact on Group total
(35)
35
-
(11)
(11)

The adjustments for UK insurance operations reflect the transfer of required capital, and attaching cost of capital, for amounts previously set aside whilst the Hong Kong business was a branch of Prudential Assurance Company, to the Asia operations segment. The adjustments for Asia operations reflect this transfer and the effects of additional capital requirements of the Hong Kong regulator under the arrangements for the newly domesticated business. The net effect reflects the higher required capital levels attributable to the stand-alone Hong Kong shareholder-backed long-term insurance business.

13 Expected transfer of value of in-force business to free surplus

The discounted value of in-force business and required capital can be reconciled to the 2013 and 2012 totals in the tables below for the emergence of free surplus as follows:

 
2013 £m
2012 £m
Required capitalnote 12
3,954
3,898
Value of in-force (VIF)note 12
17,439
15,411
Add back: deduction for cost of time value of guaranteesnote 12
196
683
Expected cashflow from sale of Japan Life business
(25)
 -
Other itemsnote
(1,157)
(1,401)
Total
20,407
18,591

Note
‘Other items’  represent amounts incorporated into VIF where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, other items includes the deduction of the value of the shareholders’ interest in the estate, the value of which is derived by increasing final bonus rates so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. This is an assumption to give an appropriate valuation. To be conservative this item is excluded from the expected free surplus generation profile below.

Cash flows are projected on a deterministic basis and are discounted at the appropriate risk discount rate. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group’s embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.

The table below shows how the VIF generated by the in-force business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over future years.

   
2013 £m
   
Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus
 
2013 Total as shown above
1-5 years
6 -10 years
11-15 years
16 -20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia operations*
9,021
3,168
1,883
1,275
855
1,465
375
US operations
6,234
3,326
1,845
653
271
139
 -
UK insurance operations
5,152
1,915
1,326
870
536
487
18
Total
20,407
8,409
5,054
2,798
1,662
2,091
393
 
100%
41%
25%
14%
8%
10%
2%
               
*Following its reclassification as held for sale, the Asia cashflows exclude any cashflows in respect of Japan.
               
   
2012 £m
   
Expected period of conversion of future post tax distributable earnings and required capital flows to free surplus
 
2012 Total as shown above
1-5 years
6 -10 years
11-15 years
16 -20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia operations
8,410
2,987
1,873
1,181
840
1,297
 232
US operations
5,439
2,723
1,607
698
301
110
 -
UK insurance operations
4,742
1,890
1,185
756
456
445
 10
Total
18,591
7,600
4,665
2,635
1,597
1,852
242
 
100%
41%
25%
14%
9%
10%
1%

14 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions

(a) Sensitivity analysis – economic assumptions
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012) and the pre-tax new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2013 and 2012 to:

1 per cent increase in the discount rates;
1 per cent increase and decrease in interest rates, including all consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets, risk discount rates);
1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;
10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);
The statutory minimum capital level (by contrast to EEV basis required capital), (for embedded value only);
5 basis point increase in UK long-term expected defaults; and
10 basis point increase in the liquidity premium for UK annuities.

In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.

New business contribution
             
                     
   
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
   
Asia operations
US operations
UK insurance operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia operations
US operations
UK insurance operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
                     
Pre-tax new business contributionnote 2
1,460
1,086
297
2,843
 
1,266
873
313
2,452
Discount rates – 1% increase
(187)
(52)
(36)
(275)
 
(163)
(40)
(38)
(241)
Interest rates – 1% increase
23
72
(1)
94
 
33
104
6
143
Interest rates – 1% decrease
(61)
(107)
(168)
 
(106)
(161)
(11)
(278)
Equity/property yields – 1% rise
56
96
13
165
 
48
97
13
158
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps
                 
 
increase
(8)
(8)
 
-
-
(10)
(10)
Liquidity premium - 10 bps increase
16
16
 
-
-
20
20

Embedded value of long-term business operations
                     
   
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
         
Total
       
Total
       
UK
long-term
     
UK
long-term
   
Asia
US
insurance
business
 
Asia
US
insurance
business
   
operations
operations
operations
 operations
 
operations
operations
operations
 operations
                     
Shareholders' equitynote 9
10,305
6,966
7,342
24,613
 
9,462
6,032
6,772
22,266
Discount rates – 1% increase
 (992)
 (266)
 (529)
 (1,787)
 
 (879)
 (209)
 (482)
 (1,570)
Interest rates – 1% increase
 (297)
 (65)
 (380)
 (742)
 
 (218)
 (124)
 (328)
 (670)
Interest rates – 1% decrease
200
 (12)
443
631
 
85
49
399
533
Equity/property yields – 1% rise
370
250
210
830
 
328
230
202
760
Equity/property market values – 10%
                 
 
fall
 (183)
 (90)
 (238)
 (511)
 
 (159)
 (69)
 (309)
 (537)
Statutory minimum capital
109
153
4
266
 
108
89
4
201
Long-term expected defaults – 5 bps
                 
 
increase
 (114)
 (114)
 
-
-
 (112)
 (112)
Liquidity premium – 10 bps increase
228
228
 
-
-
224
224

The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumption shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year. These are for the effect of economic assumption changes and, to the extent that asset value changes are included in the sensitivities, within short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following year would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for Jackson, the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital which are taken directly to shareholders’ equity would also be affected by changes in interest rates.

(b)Sensitivity analysis – non-economic assumptions
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012) and the pre-tax new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2013 and 2012 to:

·  
10 per cent proportionate decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of £10 per annum would represent an expense assumption of £9 per annum);
·  
10 per cent proportionate decrease in lapse rates (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of 5 per cent would represent a lapse rate of 4.5 per cent per annum); and
·  
5 per cent proportionate decrease in base mortality and morbidity rates (ie increased longevity).

New business contribution
             
   
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
   
Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
                     
Pre-tax new business contributionnote 2
1,460
1,086
297
2,843
 
1,266
873
313
2,452
Maintenance expenses – 10% decrease
29
12
4
45
 
32
13
4
49
Lapse rates – 10% decrease
109
41
8
158
 
95
26
7
128
Mortality and morbidity – 5% decrease
75
6
(8)
73
 
76
5
(11)
70
Change representing effect on:
                 
 
Life business
75
6
3
84
 
76
5
3
84
 
UK annuities
(11)
(11)
 
 -
 -
(14)
(14)

Embedded value of long-term business operations
             
   
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
   
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
long-term
business
operations
                   
Shareholders' equitynote 9
10,305
6,966
7,342
24,613
 
9,462
6,032
6,772
22,266
Maintenance expenses – 10% decrease
126
59
58
243
 
137
50
56
243
Lapse rates – 10% decrease
352
294
79
725
 
333
225
66
624
Mortality and morbidity – 5% decrease
377
154
(254)
277
 
387
178
(273)
292
Change representing effect on:
                 
 
Life business
377
154
20
551
 
387
178
13
578
 
UK annuities
(274)
(274)
 
 -
 -
(286)
(286)

15 Methodology and accounting presentation

(a) Covered business
The EEV results for the Group are prepared for ‘covered business’, as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group’s long-term insurance business for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The results for covered business, including the Group’s investments in joint venture insurance operations, are presented on a pre-tax basis, with tax reported separately. The EEV basis results for the Group’s covered business are then combined with the IFRS basis results of the Group’s other operations. Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management.

The definition of long-term business operations is consistent with previous practice and comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.

Covered business comprises the Group’s long-term business operations, with two exceptions:

·  
the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of the Prudential Assurance Company (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.
·  
the presentational treatment of the Group’s principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in ‘Other’ operations, as described in note 15(c)(vi).
 
 
A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.

(b) Methodology
(i) Embedded value
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders’ interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders’ interest in the Group’s long-term business comprises:

present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:
 
   - the cost of locked-in required capital;
 
   - the time value of cost of options and guarantees;
locked-in required capital; and
shareholders’ net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).

The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.

Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results (as explained in note 15(c)(iv)) no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit before tax. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items (as explained in note 15(c)(i)).

Valuation of in-force and new business
The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency and mortality. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.

Best estimate assumptions
Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.

Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.

Demographic assumptions
Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management’s expectations.

Expense assumptions
Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group’s long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis investigations and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential’s policy not to take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the savings have been delivered. For businesses which are currently sub-scale (China, Malaysia Takaful and Taiwan) and India (where the business model is being adapted in response to the regulatory changes introduced in recent years), expense overruns are permitted where these are expected to be short-lived.

For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia regional head office, that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.

Corporate expenditure comprises:
·  
Expenditure for Group head office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with Solvency II implementation and restructuring costs, which are charged to the EEV basis results as incurred; and
·  
Expenditure of the Asia regional head office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.

Principal economic assumptions
The EEV basis results for the Group’s operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to year end rates of return on government bonds.

Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group’s long-term view, to the risk-free rate.

The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profits with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the year.

New business
In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of
distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as
investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.

The contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating assumptions as at the end of the year.

For UK immediate annuity business and single premium Universal Life products in Asia, primarily Singapore, the new business contribution is determined by applying economic assumptions reflecting point of sale market conditions. This is consistent with how the business is priced as crediting rates are linked to yields on specific assets and the yield is locked-in when the assets are purchased at the point-of-sale of the policy. For other business within the Group, end of period economic assumptions are used.

New business profitability is a key metric for the Group’s management of the development of the business. In addition, new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular new business amounts and one-tenth of single new business amounts. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.

Valuation movements on investments
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the year (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the year and shareholders’ equity as they arise.

The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders’ interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on the IFRS basis.

However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders’ interest, the basis for calculating the Jackson EEV result acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that broadly speaking, are held for the longer-term.

Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders’ equity.

Cost of capital
A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of capital supporting the Group’s long-term business. This capital is referred to as required capital. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital allowing for investment earnings (post- tax) on the capital.

The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year-to-year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.
Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.

Financial options and guarantees
Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential’s long-term business
Asia operations
Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts principally written in the PAC Hong Kong branch, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.

There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole of life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.

US operations (Jackson)
The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.

Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson’s discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders’ accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for 2013 and 2012, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For 2013 and 2012, 86 per cent of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less. The average guarantee rate is 2.8 per cent for 2013 and 2012.

Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.

Jackson issues VA contracts where it contractually guarantees to the contract holder either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable at specified dates during the accumulation period (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)) or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholder’s value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMDB and GMWB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.

Jackson also issues fixed index annuities that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns would be of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.

UK insurance operations
For covered business the only significant financial options and guarantees in the UK insurance operations arise in the with-profits fund.

With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The with-profits fund also held a provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £36 million at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £47 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.

The only material guaranteed surrender values relate to investments in the PruFund range of with-profits funds. For these products the policyholder can choose to pay an additional management charge.  In return, at the selected guarantee date, the fund will be increased if necessary to a guaranteed minimum value (based on the initial investment adjusted for any prior withdrawals). The with-profits fund held a reserve of £36 million at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £52 million) in respect of this guarantee.

The Group’s main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in the UK is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision on the Pillar I Peak 2 basis of £328 million was held in SAIF at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £371 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 15(a) above, the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders.

Time value
The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts. One is given by a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value). The other part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value).

Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.

The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in
notes 16(iv),(v) and (vi).

In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.

In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.

(ii) Level of required capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements. For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. For shareholder-backed business the following capital requirements apply:

Asia operations: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target;
US operations: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent (2012: 235 per cent) of the risk-based capital required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and
UK insurance operations: the capital requirements are set to an amount at least equal to the higher of Pillar I and Pillar II requirements for shareholder-backed business of UK insurance operations as a whole.

(iii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates
Overview
Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin. The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. Prudential has selected a granular approach to better reflect differences in market risk inherent in each product group. The risk discount rate so derived does not reflect an overall Group market beta but instead reflects the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model.

Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.

The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.

Market risk allowance
The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below) such an approach has been used for all of the Group’s businesses.

The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return it is possible to derive a product specific beta.

Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.

Additional credit risk allowance
The Group’s methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:

•     expected long-term defaults;
•     credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and
•     short-term downgrades and defaults.

These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses which are largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.

The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below.

Asia operations
For Asia operations, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly no additional allowance for credit risk is required.

The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.

US operations (Jackson)
For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.

The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults as shown in note 16(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:

·  
How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and
·  
Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment return rates credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.

The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.

The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.

UK operations
(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business
For Prudential’s UK shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.

In the annuity MCEV calculations as the assets are generally held to maturity to match long duration liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on Prudential’s assessment of the expected return on the assets backing the annuity liabilities after allowing for:

·  
expected long-term defaults derived as a percentage of historical default experience based on Moody’s data for the period 1970 to 2009 and the definition of the credit rating assigned to each asset held is the second highest credit rating published by Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch;
·  
a credit risk premium, which is derived as the excess over the expected long-term defaults, of the 95th percentile of historical cumulative defaults based on Moody’s data for the period 1970 to 2009, and subject to a minimum margin over expected long-term defaults of 50 per cent;
·  
an allowance for a 1 notch downgrade of the asset portfolio subject to credit risk and;
·  
an allowance for short-term downgrades and defaults.

For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for expected long-term defaults and, where necessary, an additional allowance for an element of short-term downgrades and defaults to bring the allowance in the earned rate up to best estimate levels. The allowances for credit risk premium, 1 notch downgrade and the remaining element of short-term downgrade and default allowances are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, as shown in note 16(iii)(b).

(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business
For UK non-profit annuity business including that written by Prudential Annuities Limited (PAL) the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk in PAL is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows to the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows of the fund.

(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities
The UK with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over gilts, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.

Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks
The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. Finance theory cannot be used to determine the appropriate component of beta for non-diversifiable non-market risks since there is no observable risk premium associated with it that is akin to the equity risk premium. Recognising this, a pragmatic approach has been applied.

A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group’s businesses. For the Group’s US business and UK business other than shareholder-backed annuity, no additional allowance is necessary. For UK shareholder-backed annuity business a further allowance of 50 basis points is used to reflect the longevity risk which is of particular relevance. For the Group’s Asia operations in China, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points.

(iv) With-profits business and the treatment of the estate
The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders’ interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group’s Asia operations.

(v) Debt capital
Core structural debt liabilities are carried at market value. As the liabilities are generally held to maturity or for the long-term, no deferred tax asset or liability has been established on the difference, compared to the IFRS carrying value. Accordingly, no deferred tax credit or charge is recorded in the results for the reporting period in respect of the mark to market value adjustment.

(vi) Foreign currency translation
Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the year. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at year end rates of exchange. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS statements.

(c) Accounting presentation
(i) Analysis of profit before tax
To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV profit for the year is consistent with the basis that the Group applies for analysis of IFRS basis profits before shareholder taxes between operating and non-operating results. Operating results reflect the underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 15(c)(ii) below) and incorporate the following:

·  
new business contribution, as defined in note 15(b)(i);
·  
unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 15(c)(iv) below;
·  
the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to non-economic assumptions, as described in note 15(c)(iii) below; and
·  
non-economic experience variances, as described in note 15(c)(v) below.

Non-operating results comprise the recurrent items of short-term fluctuations in investment returns, the mark to market value movements on core borrowings and the effect of changes in economic assumptions.

In addition, the 2013 operating profit excludes the loss attaching to the held for sale Japan Life business and the costs associated with the domestication of the Hong Kong branch. The 2012 operating profit excluded the gain arising on the acquisition of REALIC, the profit attaching to the Japan Life business and the dilution of the Group’s holding in PPM South Africa. The amounts for these items are included in total EEV profit attributable to shareholders. The Company believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance. Profit before tax and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns.

Post-tax results
The Group intends to alter its basis of presentation of EEV results for 2014 and subsequent reporting periods to a post-tax basis, in line with the approach adopted by a number of international insurance groups. An analysis of the Group’s profit and loss account and key accompanying notes on a pre-tax and post-tax basis for the most recent reporting periods are shown in the additional unaudited financial information section C.

(ii) Operating profit
For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of UK operations, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 15(c)(iv) below.

For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end of year risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force adjusted to reflect end of year projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with the related hedging activity.

For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the result for the year.

(iii) Effect of changes in operating assumptions
Operating profit includes the effect of changes to operating assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the period. For presentational purposes, the effect of change is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force with the experience variance being determined by reference to the end of period assumptions.

(iv) Unwind of discount and other expected returns
The unwind of discount and other expected returns is determined by reference to:

·  
the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period (adjusted for the effect of current period economic and operating assumption changes); and
·  
required capital and surplus assets.

In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit for the with-profits business of UK insurance operations is determined by reference to the opening value of in-force, as adjusted for the effects of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (ie smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 31 December 2013 the shareholders’ interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only, were £136 million lower (31 December 2012: £121 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.

(v) Operating experience variances
Operating profits include the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, which are calculated with reference to the embedded value assumptions at the end of the reporting year, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors.

(vi) Pension costs
Profit before tax
Movements on the shareholders’ share of surpluses (to the extent not restricted by IFRIC 14) and deficits of the Group’s defined benefit pension schemes adjusted for contributions paid in the year are recorded within Other Comprehensive Income. Consistent with the basis of distribution of bonuses and the treatment of the estate described in notes 15(b)(i) and (iv), the shareholders’ share incorporates 10 per cent of the proportion of the financial position attributable to the PAC with-profits fund. The financial position is determined by applying the requirements of IAS 19 as booked for IFRS reporting.

(vii) Effect of changes in economic assumptions
Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the period caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of option and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results.

(viii) Taxation
The profit for the year for covered business is in most cases calculated initially at the post-tax level. For 2013 and 2012 the post-tax profit for covered business is then grossed up for presentation purposes at the rates of tax applicable to the countries and periods concerned. The overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period. Current taxation and other legislation have been assumed to continue unaltered except where changes have been announced and substantively enacted in the year. Additional detail of pre and post-tax EEV basis results are shown in the additional financial information.

(ix) Inter-company arrangements
The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension polices in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to PRIL. In addition, the free surplus and value of in-force business are calculated after taking account of the impact of contingent loan arrangements between Group companies (movements in the contingent loan liability are reflected via the projected cash flows in the value of in-force and the related funding is reflected in free surplus).

16 Assumptions

Deterministic assumptions
The tables below summarise the principal financial assumptions:

Assumed investment returns reflect the expected future returns on the assets held and allocated to the covered business at the valuation date.

(i) Asia operationsnotes (b), (d)
                     
 
Risk discount rate %
 
Expected
long-term Inflation %
 
10-year government
bond yield %
 
New business
 
In force
   
 
31 Dec
 
31 Dec
 
31 Dec
 
31 Dec
2013
2012
 
2013
2012
 
2013
2012
 
2013
2012
China
11.2
10.1
 
11.2
10.1
 
2.5
2.5
 
4.7
3.6
Hong Kongnotes (b), (c)
4.9
3.8
 
4.8
3.5
 
2.3
2.3
 
3.1
1.8
India
14.0
13.2
 
14.0
13.2
 
4.0
4.0
 
9.0
8.2
Indonesia
12.5
9.4
 
12.5
9.4
 
5.0
5.0
 
8.6
5.3
Korea
7.4
7.4
 
7.6
7.2
 
3.0
3.0
 
3.6
3.2
Malaysianote (c)
6.5
5.8
 
6.5
5.8
 
2.5
2.5
 
4.2
3.5
Philippines
10.5
11.1
 
10.5
11.1
 
4.0
4.0
 
3.8
4.4
Singaporenote (c)
4.6
3.6
 
5.3
4.3
 
2.0
2.0
 
2.6
1.3
Taiwan
4.3
3.3
 
4.1
3.4
 
1.0
1.0
 
1.7
1.2
Thailand
10.7
10.3
 
10.7
10.3
 
3.0
3.0
 
3.9
3.5
Vietnam
15.7
17.2
 
15.7
17.2
 
5.5
5.5
 
9.0
10.5
Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)
8.1
6.8
 
7.2
6.1
           

Notes
(a)
The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each country’s risk discount rates by reference to the pre-tax EEV basis new business result and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia territories reflect the movements in government bond yields, together with the effects of movements in the allowance for market risk and changes in product mix.
(b)
For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other territories, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.
(c)
The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings in the Asia operations were:
 


   
31 Dec 2013 %
31 Dec 2012 %
 
Hong Kong
7.1
5.8
 
Malaysia
10.1
9.5
 
Singapore
8.6
7.4

(d)
Equity risk premiums in Asia (excluding those for the held for sale Japan Life business) range from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent for 2013 (2012: 3.5 per cent to 8.8 per cent).

                 
 
(ii)  US operations
       
         
31 Dec 2013 %
 
31 Dec 2012 %
 
 
Assumed new business spread margins:note (a)
       
   
Fixed Annuity business:*
       
     
January to June issues
1.2
 
1.4
 
     
July to December issues
1.75
 
1.1
 
   
Fixed Index Annuity business:
       
     
January to June issues
1.45
 
1.75
 
     
July to December issues
2.00
 
1.35
 
   
Institutional business
0.75
 
1.25
 
 
Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote (b)
0.25
 
0.28
 
 
Risk discount rate:
       
   
Variable annuity
       
     
Risk discount rate
7.6
 
6.5
 
     
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote (b)
0.2
 
0.3
 
   
Non-variable annuity
       
     
Risk discount rate
4.8
 
4.0
 
     
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote (b)
1.0
 
1.5
 
   
Weighted average total:note (c)
       
     
New business
7.4
 
6.3
 
     
In force
6.9
 
5.6
 
 
US 10-year treasury bond rate at end of year
3.1
 
1.8
 
 
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
7.1
 
5.8
 
 
Expected long-term rate of inflation
2.6
 
2.5
 
 
Equity risk premium
4.0
 
4.0
 
 
Assumed tax rate for value of in-force business
35.0
 
35.0
 
 
*
including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account
 

 
Notes
(a)
The assumed new business spread margins represent the difference between the earned rate on investments, after allowance for long-term defaults, and the policy holder crediting rate. The spread margins shown above are the rates at inception.  For fixed annuity business (including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account) and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.
(b)
The allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spread is shown as at the valuation date applied in the cash flow projections of the value of the in-force business. The risk discount rates include an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults. See note 15(b)(iii) for further details.
 (c)
The weighted average risk discount rates reflect the mix of business between variable annuity and non-variable annuity business. The increase in the weighted average risk discount rates from 2012 to 2013 primarily reflects the increase in the US 10-year Treasury bond rate of 130 basis points,  partly offset by the effect of the decrease in additional allowance for credit risk.

         
(iii)  UK insurance operations
   
         
     
31 Dec 2013 %
31 Dec 2012 %
Shareholder-backed annuity business:note (b)
   
Risk discount rate:
   
   
New business
6.8
6.9
   
In forcenote (a)
8.3
8.0
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for shareholder-backed annuity business:
   
   
New business
4.2
4.2
   
In forcenote (a)
4.3
3.9
Other business:
   
Risk discount rate:
   
   
New business
6.1
5.2
   
In force
6.8
5.6
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return:
   
   
UK equities
7.5
6.3
   
Overseas equities
7.1 to 9.2
5.8 to 9.6
   
Property
6.2
5.1
   
15-year gilt rate
3.5
2.3
   
Corporate bonds
5.1
3.9
Post-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for the PAC with-profits fund:
   
   
Pension business (where no tax applies)
6.2
5.0
   
Life business
5.4
4.4
Expected long-term rate of inflation
3.4
 2.9
Equity risk premium
4.0
4.0
Assumed tax rate for value of in-force businessnote 3(iv)(b)
20.0
23.0

Notes
(a)  
For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and the risk discount rates for in-force business mainly reflect the effect of changes in asset yields.
(b)  
Credit spread treatment
For Prudential Retirement Income Limited, which has approximately 90 per cent of UK shareholder-backed annuity business the credit assumptions used in the underlying MCEV calculation (see note 15(b)(iii)) and the residual liquidity premium element of the bond spread over swap rates is as follows:

     
New business* (bps)
 
In-force business (bps)
     
31 Dec 2013
31 Dec 2012
 
31 Dec 2013
31 Dec 2012
   
Bond spread over swap rates
127
 150
 
133
 161
   
Total credit risk allowance
36
 35
 
62
 65
   
Liquidity premium
91
 115
 
71
 96
        *    The new business liquidity premium is based on the weighted average of the point of sale liquidity premia.

The overall allowance for credit risk is prudent by comparison with historic rates of default and would be sufficient to withstand a wide range of extreme credit events over the expected lifetime of the annuity business.

Stochastic assumptions
The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations described above. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations, such as the volatilities of asset returns, reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of longer-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with allowance for correlation between the various asset classes.

Details are given below of the key characteristics and calibrations of each model.

(iv)   Asia operations
The same asset return models as described for UK insurance operations below, appropriately calibrated, have been used for Asia operations. The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds. Equity holdings are much lower than in the UK whilst property holdings do not represent a significant investment asset;
the stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily only of significance for the Hong Kong, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations; and
the mean stochastic returns are consistent with the mean deterministic returns for each country. The expected volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent in both years, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent in both years.

(v)    US operations (Jackson)
Interest rates are projected using a log-normal generator calibrated to historical US Treasury yield curves;
corporate bond returns are based on Treasury securities plus a spread that has been calibrated to current market conditions and varies by credit quality; and
variable annuity equity returns and bond interest rates have been stochastically generated using a log-normal model with parameters determined by reference to historical data. The volatility of equity fund returns ranges from 19 per cent to 32 per cent for both 2013 and 2012, depending on the risk class and the class of equity, and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent for both years.

(vi)   UK insurance operations
Interest rates are projected using a two-factor model calibrated to the initial market yield curve;
the risk premium on equity assets is assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;
the corporate bond return is calculated as the return on a zero-coupon bond plus a spread. The spread process is a mean reverting stochastic process; and
property returns are modelled in a similar fashion to corporate bonds, namely as the return on a risk-free bond, plus a risk premium, plus a process representative of the change in residual values and the change in value of the call option on rents.

Mean returns have been derived as the annualised arithmetic average return across all simulations and durations.

For each projection year, standard deviations have been calculated by taking the square root of the annualised variance of the returns over all the simulations. These have been averaged over all durations in the projection. For equity and property, the standard deviations relate to the total return on these assets. The standard deviations applied for both years are as follows:

     
%
Equities:
   
 
UK
 
20
 
Overseas
 
18
Property
 
15

17 New business premiums and contributions note (i)

                   
Annual premium and contribution equivalents
 
 Present value of new business premiums
   
     Single
 
     Regular
 
(APE)note 15(b)(i)
 
(PVNBP)note 15(b)(i)
   
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
 
2013 £m
 
2012 £m
Group insurance
                             
operations
                             
Asia
 2,136
 
 1,568
 
 1,911
 
 1,740
 
 2,125
 
 1,897
 
 11,375
 
 10,544
US
 15,712
 
 14,504
 
 2
 
 12
 
 1,573
 
 1,462
 
 15,723
 
 14,600
UK
 5,128
 
 6,286
 
 212
 
 207
 
 725
 
 836
 
 5,978
 
 7,311
Group Total
 22,976
 
 22,358
 
 2,125
 
 1,959
 
 4,423
 
 4,195
 
 33,076
 
 32,455
Asia insurance
                   
 
     
 
operations
                             
Cambodia
 -
 
 -
 
 1
 
 -
 
 1
 
 -
 
 3
 
 -
Hong Kong
 326
 
 157
 
 455
 
 380
 
 487
 
 396
 
 2,795
 
 2,316
Indonesia
 303
 
 359
 
 445
 
 410
 
 477
 
 446
 
 1,943
 
 2,097
Malaysia
 114
 
 98
 
 197
 
 208
 
 208
 
 218
 
 1,352
 
 1,388
Philippines
 193
 
 172
 
 34
 
 28
 
 53
 
 45
 
 299
 
 254
Singapore
 571
 
 399
 
 304
 
 261
 
 361
 
 301
 
 2,588
 
 2,314
Thailand
 66
 
 12
 
 61
 
 36
 
 68
 
 37
 
 289
 
 140
Vietnam
 2
 
 1
 
 54
 
 44
 
 54
 
 45
 
 204
 
 159
SE Asia operations inc. Hong Kong
 1,575
 
 1,198
 
 1,551
 
 1,367
 
 1,709
 
 1,488
 
 9,473
 
 8,668
Chinanote (ii)
 114
 
 37
 
 71
 
 53
 
 83
 
 56
 
 409
 
 277
Korea
 311
 
 94
 
 82
 
 86
 
 113
 
 95
 
 641
 
 438
Taiwan
 102
 
 172
 
 107
 
 138
 
 117
 
 156
 
 491
 
 723
Indianote (iii)
 34
 
 67
 
 100
 
 96
 
 103
 
 102
 
 361
 
 438
Total Asia operations
 2,136
 
 1,568
 
 1,911
 
 1,740
 
 2,125
 
 1,897
 
 11,375
 
 10,544
US insurance
                   
 
       
operations
                           
 
Variable annuities
 10,795
 
 11,596
 
 -
 
 -
 
 1,079
 
 1,160
 
 10,795
 
 11,596
Elite Access (variable annuity)
 2,585
 
 849
 
 -
 
 -
 
 259
 
 85
 
 2,585
 
 849
Fixed annuities
 555
 
 581
 
 -
 
 -
 
 55
 
 58
 
 555
 
 581
Fixed index annuities
 907
 
 1,094
 
 -
 
 -
 
 91
 
 109
 
 907
 
 1,094
Life
 1
 
 6
 
 2
 
 12
 
 2
 
 12
 
 12
 
 102
Wholesale
 869
 
 378
 
 -
 
 -
 
 87
 
 38
 
 869
 
 378
Total US insurance
                             
operations
 15,712
 
 14,504
 
 2
 
 12
 
 1,573
 
 1,462
 
 15,723
 
 14,600
UK and Europe
           
 
     
 
     
 
insurance operations
                             
Direct and partnership
                             
 
annuities
 284
 
 297
 
 -
 
 -
 
 28
 
 30
 
 284
 
 297
Intermediated annuities
 488
 
 653
 
 -
 
 -
 
 49
 
 65
 
 488
 
 653
Internal vesting annuities
 1,305
 
 1,456
 
 -
 
 -
 
 131
 
 146
 
 1,305
 
 1,456
Total individual annuities
 2,077
 
 2,406
 
 -
 
 -
 
 208
 
 241
 
 2,077
 
 2,406
Corporate pensions
 120
 
 303
 
 161
 
 159
 
 173
 
 189
 
 686
 
 1,045
Onshore bonds
 1,754
 
 2,275
 
 -
 
 -
 
 176
 
 228
 
 1,756
 
 2,277
Other products
 901
 
 894
 
 51
 
 48
 
 140
 
 137
 
 1,183
 
 1,175
Wholesale
 276
 
 408
 
 -
 
 -
 
 28
 
 41
 
 276
 
 408
Total UK and Europe
                           
 
insurance operations
 5,128
 
 6,286
 
 212
 
 207
 
 725
 
 836
 
 5,978
 
 7,311
Group Total
 22,976
 
 22,358
 
 2,125
 
 1,959
 
 4,423
 
 4,195
 
 33,076
 
 32,455

Notes
(i)  
The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement.
(ii)  
New business in China is included at Prudential’s 50 per cent interest in the China Life operation.
(iii)  
New business in India is included at Prudential’s 26 per cent interest in the India Life operation.

18   Additional information on the effect of the agreement to sell Japan Life business and adoption of new and amended IFRS accounting standards

In July 2013 the Group agreed to sell, dependent on regulatory approval, its life insurance business in Japan which we closed to new business in 2010. Also, in 2013 the Group has adopted new accounting standards on ‘Joint arrangements’ (IFRS 11) and amendments to ‘Employee benefits’ (IAS 19), from 1 January 2013. Accordingly, the 2012 comparative EEV basis results have been retrospectively adjusted from those previously published for the application of the IFRS standards and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business. The tables below show the results on the previous and revised basis of reporting.

     
2013 £m
     
Under previous basis
Effect of change
Under new policies
     
IFRS 11
IAS 19
     
note (i)
note (ii)
note (iii)
 
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment
   returns
       
Asia operations
       
 
Long-term business:
       
 
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
 2,394
 -
 -
 2,394
 
Reclassification of Japan Life business
(7)
 -
 -
(7)
     
 2,387
 -
 -
 2,387
 
Eastspring investments
 82
(8)
 -
74
Other results
3,119
 -
 -
3,119
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment
   returns
 5,588
(8)
 -
 5,580
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns:
       
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
(790)
 -
(1)
(791)
Reclassification of Japan Life business
(28)
 -
 -
(28)
     
(818)
 -
(1)
(819)
Shareholders’ share of actuarial and other gains and
       
 
losses on defined benefit pension schemes
(69)
 -
 69
 -
Effect of changes in economic assumptions:
       
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
818
 -
 -
 818
Reclassification of Japan Life business
3
 -
 -
3
     
821
 -
 -
821
Loss attaching to held for sale Japan Life business:
       
Reclassification from pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term
       
 
investment returns
7
 -
 -
7
Reclassification from short-term fluctuations in investment returns
28
 -
 -
28
Reclassification from effect of changes in economic assumptions
(3)
 -
 -
(3)
Remeasurement of carrying value of Japan Life business classified as
    held for sale
(67)
 -
 -
(67)
     
(35)
 -
 -
(35)
Mark to market value movements on core borrowings
152
 -
 -
152
Costs of domestication of Hong Kong branch
(35)
 -
 -
(35)
Profit before tax
 5,604
(8)
68
 5,664
Tax attributable to shareholders' profit
(1,299)
8
(15)
(1,306)
Profit for the year attributable to shareholders
 4,305
 -
 53
 4,358
Items taken directly to shareholders' equity
(1,892)
 -
(53)
(1,945)
Net increase in shareholders' equity
 2,413
 -
 -
 2,413
             
Total EPS based on post-tax profit (in pence)
169.0p
 -
2.0p
171.0p

Summary statement of financial position
31 Dec 2013 £m
       
Under previous basis
Effect of change
Under new policies
       
IFRS 11
IAS 19
       
note (i)
note (ii)
   
Total net assets
       
Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds:
       
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
 292,791
(3,151)
 -
 289,640
Reclassification of Japan Life business
(814)
 -
 -
(814)
       
 291,977
(3,151)
 -
 288,826
 
Less insurance funds:
       
   
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share)
       
     
and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds:
       
   
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
(283,141)
3,151
 -
(279,990)
   
Reclassification of Japan Life business
814
 -
 -
814
       
(282,327)
3,151
 -
(279,176)
   
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the
       
     
long-term business
15,206
 -
 
 15,206
Total net assets
 24,856
 -
 -
 24,856

     
2012 £m
     
As reported under previous basis
Effect of change
Under
 new
 policies
     
IFRS 11
IAS 19
     
note (i)
note (ii)
note (iii)
 
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment
    returns
       
Asia operations
       
 
Long-term business:
       
 
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
 1,960
 -
 -
 1,960
 
Reclassification of Japan Life business
(2)
 -
 -
(2)
     
 1,958
 -
 -
 1,958
 
Eastspring investments
 75
(6)
 -
69
Other results
2,286
 -
 -
2,286
Pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment
    returns
 4,319
(6)
 -
 4,313
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns:
       
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
538
 -
5
543
Reclassification of Japan Life business
(33)
 -
 -
(33)
     
505
 -
5
510
Shareholders’ share of actuarial and other gains and
       
 
losses on defined benefit pension schemes
62
 -
(62)
 -
Effect of changes in economic assumptions:
       
Before reclassification of held for sale Japan Life business
(16)
 -
 -
(16)
Reclassification of Japan Life business
14
 -
 -
14
     
(2)
 -
 -
(2)
Profit attaching to held for sale Japan Life business:
       
Reclassification from pre-tax operating profit based on longer-term
       
 
 investment returns
2
 -
 -
2
Reclassification from short-term fluctuations in investment returns
33
 -
 -
33
Reclassification from effect of changes in economic assumptions
(14)
 -
 -
(14)
     
21
 -
 -
21
Other items
115
 -
 -
115
Profit before tax
 5,020
(6)
(57)
 4,957
Tax attributable to shareholders' profit
(1,207)
6
13
(1,188)
Profit for the year attributable to shareholders
 3,813
 -
(44)
 3,769
Items taken directly to shareholders' equity
(1,007)
 -
44
(963)
Net increase in shareholders' equity
 2,806
 -
 -
 2,806
             
Total EPS based on post-tax profit (in pence)
150.1p
 -
(1.8)p
148.3p

Summary statement of financial position
31 Dec 2012 £m
     
As reported under previous basis
Effect of change
Under
 new
 policies
     
IFRS 11
IAS 19
       
note (ii)
   
Total net assets
       
Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds
 274,863
(3,095)
 -
 271,768
 
Less insurance funds:
       
   
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share)
       
   
   and unallocated surplus of with-profits funds
(264,504)
3,095
 -
(261,409)
   
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the
       
   
   long-term business
12,084
 -
 -
 12,084
Total net assets
 22,443
 -
 -
 22,443

Notes
(i)  
Following the agreement in July 2013 to sell the Group’s life insurance business in Japan, the results for the Japan Life business have been shown separately in the Group’s analysis of profit – see note 4.
(ii)  
Consistent with the requirements of IFRS 11, the Group’s EEV pre-tax results now incorporate the post-tax results for asset management joint venture operations. For life insurance joint venture operations, the EEV results continue to be presented on a pre-tax basis, ie as for the Group’s other insurance businesses.
(iii)  
Under the amended IAS 19 all actuarial gains and losses and related tax are recognised in the movement in shareholders’ equity rather than in the summarised consolidated income statement.

Additional Unaudited Financial Information

A New Business

BASIS OF PREPARATION

The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as ‘insurance’ refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under PRA regulations.

The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 ‘Insurance Contracts’ as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Operations.

New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.

Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.

New Business Profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology and assumptions set out in our 2013 Annual Report.

In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.

Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.

Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(ix)

(1)
Prudential plc reports its results at both actual exchange rates (AER) to reflect actual rates and also constant year-to-date average exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.

 
Local currency: £
 
FY 2013*
FY 2012*
2013 vs
2012 appreciation / (depreciation) of local currency
   
 
Hong Kong
 
 Average Rate
 12.14
 12.29
1%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 12.84
 12.60
 (2)%
   
 
Indonesia
 
 Average Rate
 16,376.89
 14,842.01
 (10)%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 20,156.57
 15,665.76
 (29)%
   
 
Malaysia
 
 Average Rate
 4.93
 4.89
 (1)%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 5.43
 4.97
 (9)%
   
 
Singapore
 
 Average Rate
 1.96
 1.98
1%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 2.09
 1.99
 (5)%
   
 
India
 
 Average Rate
 91.75
 84.70
 (8)%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 102.45
 89.06
 (15)%
   
 
Vietnam
 
 Average Rate
 32,904.71
 33,083.59
1%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 34,938.60
 33,875.42
 (3)%
   
 
Thailand
 
 Average Rate
 48.11
 49.26
2%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 54.42
 49.72
 (9)%
   
 
US
 
 Average Rate
 1.56
 1.58
1%
   
 
 Closing Rate
 1.66
 1.63
 (2)%
   

 
*Average rate is for the 12 months to 31 December

(1a)
Insurance and investment new business for overseas operations are converted using the year-to-date average exchange rate applicable at the time (AER). The sterling results for individual quarters represent the difference between the year-to-date reported sterling results at successive quarters and will include foreign exchange movements from earlier periods.
(1b)
Insurance new business for overseas operations for 2012 has been calculated using constant exchange rates (CER).
(1c)
Constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012 and 2013.
 (2)
Annual Equivalents, calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to roundings. PVNBPs are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.
(3)
Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients. Other movements reflect the net flows arising from the cash component of a tactical asset allocation fund managed by PPM South Africa.
(4)
New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
(5)
Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rate.
(6)
New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
(7)
Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.
(8)
Investment flows for the period exclude Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflows of £62,536 million (2012: £51,462 million) and net inflows of £522 million (2012 net outflows: £226 million).
(9)
Excludes Curian Variable Series Trust funds (internal funds under management).
(10)
Total M&G and Eastspring excluding MMF. Funds under management for MMF amounted to £4,297 million at 31 December 2013 (31 December 2012: £4,003 million).

Schedule A(i) – New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)

   
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual Equivalents(2)
 
PVNBP
 
   
2013
2012
   
2013
2012
   
2013
2012
   
2013
2012
   
   
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
Group Insurance Operations
                                 
Asia (1a)
 
 2,136
 1,568
36%
 
 1,911
 1,740
10%
 
 2,125
 1,897
12%
 
 11,375
 10,544
8%
 
US(1a)
 
 15,712
 14,504
8%
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 1,573
 1,462
8%
 
 15,723
 14,600
8%
 
UK
 
 5,128
 6,286
(18)%
 
 212
 207
2%
 
 725
 836
(13)%
 
 5,978
 7,311
(18)%
 
Group Total
 
 22,976
 22,358
3%
 
 2,125
 1,959
8%
 
 4,423
 4,195
5%
 
 33,076
 32,455
2%
 
     
 
                           
Asia Insurance Operations(1a)
                                 
Cambodia
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 1
 -
N/A
 
 1
 -
N/A
 
 3
 -
N/A
 
Hong Kong
 
 326
157
108%
 
 455
380
20%
 
 487
 396
23%
 
 2,795
 2,316
21%
 
Indonesia
 
 303
 359
(16)%
 
 445
 410
9%
 
 477
 446
7%
 
 1,943
 2,097
(7)%
 
Malaysia
 
 114
 98
16%
 
 197
 208
(5)%
 
 208
 218
(5)%
 
 1,352
 1,388
(3)%
 
Philippines
 
 193
 172
12%
 
 34
 28
21%
 
 53
 45
18%
 
 299
 254
18%
 
Singapore
 
 571
 399
43%
 
 304
 261
16%
 
 361
 301
20%
 
 2,588
 2,314
12%
 
Thailand
 
 66
 12
450%
 
 61
 36
69%
 
 68
 37
84%
 
 289
 140
106%
 
Vietnam
 
 2
 1
100%
 
 54
 44
23%
 
 54
 45
20%
 
 204
 159
28%
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 
 1,575
 1,198
31%
 
 1,551
 1,367
13%
 
 1,709
 1,488
15%
 
 9,473
 8,668
9%
 
China(6)
 
 114
 37
208%
 
 71
 53
34%
 
 83
 56
48%
 
 409
 277
48%
 
Korea
 
 311
 94
231%
 
 82
 86
(5)%
 
 113
 95
19%
 
 641
 438
46%
 
Taiwan
 
 102
 172
(41)%
 
 107
 138
(22)%
 
 117
 156
(25)%
 
 491
 723
(32)%
 
India(4)
 
 34
 67
(49)%
 
 100
 96
4%
 
 103
 102
1%
 
 361
 438
(18)%
 
Total Asia Operations
 
 2,136
 1,568
36%
 
 1,911
 1,740
10%
 
 2,125
 1,897
12%
 
 11,375
 10,544
8%
 
     
 
                           
US Insurance Operations(1a)
   
 
                           
Variable Annuities
 
 10,795
 11,596
(7)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 1,079
 1,160
(7)%
 
 10,795
 11,596
(7)%
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 
 2,585
849
204%
 
 -
N/A
 
 259
 85
205%
 
 2,585
 849
204%
 
Fixed Annuities
 
 555
 581
(4)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 55
 58
(5)%
 
 555
 581
(4)%
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 
 907
 1,094
(17)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 91
 109
(17)%
 
 907
 1,094
(17)%
 
Life
 
 1
 6
(83)%
 
 2
 12
(83%)
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 12
 102
(88)%
 
Wholesale
 
 869
 378
130%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 87
 38
129%
 
 869
 378
130%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 
 15,712
 14,504
8%
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 1,573
 1,462
8%
 
 15,723
 14,600
8%
 
                                   
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
                                 
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 
 284
 297
(4)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 28
 30
(7)%
 
 284
 297
(4)%
 
Intermediated Annuities
 
 488
 653
(25)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 49
 65
(25)%
 
 488
 653
(25)%
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 
 1,305
 1,456
(10)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 131
 146
(10)%
 
 1,305
 1,456
(10)%
 
Total Individual Annuities
 
 2,077
 2,406
(14)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 208
 241
(14)%
 
 2,077
 2,406
(14)%
 
Corporate Pensions
 
 120
 303
(60)%
 
 161
 159
1%
 
 173
 189
(8)%
 
 686
 1,045
(34)%
 
On-shore Bonds
 
 1,754
 2,275
(23)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 176
 228
(23)%
 
 1,756
 2,277
(23)%
 
Other Products
 
 901
 894
1%
 
 51
 48
6%
 
 140
 137
2%
 
 1,183
 1,175
1%
 
Wholesale
 
 276
 408
(32)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 28
 41
(32)%
 
 276
 408
(32)%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 
 5,128
 6,286
(18)%
 
 212
 207
2%
 
 725
 836
(13)%
 
 5,978
 7,311
(18)%
 
Group Total
 
 22,976
 22,358
3%
 
 2,125
 1,959
8%
 
 4,423
 4,195
5%
 
 33,076
 32,455
2%
 

Schedule A(ii) – New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)

Note:
In schedule A(ii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012.

 
Single
 
Regular
 
Annual Equivalents(2)
 
PVNBP
 
 
2013
2012
   
2013
2012
   
2013
2012
   
2013
2012
   
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
YTD
YTD
+/- (%)
 
 
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
£m
£m
   
Group Insurance Operations
                               
Asia  (1a) (1b)
 2,136
 1,545
38%
 
 1,911
 1,709
12%
 
 2,125
 1,864
14%
 
 11,375
 10,405
9%
 
US(1a) (1b)
 15,712
 14,692
7%
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 1,573
 1,481
6%
 
 15,723
 14,789
6%
 
UK
 5,128
 6,286
(18)%
 
 212
 207
2%
 
 725
 836
(13)%
 
 5,978
 7,311
(18)%
 
Group Total
 22,976
 22,523
2%
 
 2,125
 1,928
10%
 
 4,423
 4,181
6%
 
 33,076
 32,505
2%
 
                                 
Asia Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)
                               
Cambodia
 -
 -
N/A
 
 1
 -
N/A
 
 1
 -
N/A
 
 3
 -
N/A
 
Hong Kong
 326
 159
105%
 
 455
 385
18%
 
 487
 402
21%
 
 2,795
 2,346
19%
 
Indonesia
 303
 325
(7)%
 
 445
 372
20%
 
 477
 404
18%
 
 1,943
 1,900
2%
 
Malaysia
 114
 98
16%
 
 197
 206
(4)%
 
 208
 216
(4)%
 
 1,352
 1,378
(2)%
 
Philippines
 193
 173
12%
 
 34
 28
21%
 
 53
 45
18%
 
 299
 256
17%
 
Singapore
 571
 403
42%
 
 304
 264
15%
 
 361
 305
18%
 
 2,588
 2,341
11%
 
Thailand
 66
 13
408%
 
 61
 37
65%
 
 68
 38
79%
 
 289
 144
101%
 
Vietnam
 2
 1
100%
 
 54
 45
20%
 
 54
 45
20%
 
 204
 160
28%
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 1,575
 1,172
34%
 
 1,551
 1,337
16%
 
 1,709
 1,455
17%
 
 9,473
 8,525
11%
 
China(6)
 114
 39
192%
 
 71
 55
29%
 
 83
 59
41%
 
 409
 288
42%
 
Korea
 311
 98
217%
 
 82
 89
(8)%
 
 113
 99
14%
 
 641
 457
40%
 
Taiwan
 102
 174
(41)%
 
 107
 140
(24)%
 
 117
 157
(25)%
 
 491
 730
(33)%
 
India(4)
 34
 62
(45)%
 
 100
 88
14%
 
 103
 94
10%
 
 361
 405
(11)%
 
Total Asia Operations
 2,136
 1,545
38%
 
 1,911
 1,709
12%
 
 2,125
 1,864
14%
 
 11,375
 10,405
9%
 
                                 
US Insurance Operations(1a) (1b)
                               
Variable Annuities
 10,795
 11,746
(8)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 1,079
 1,175
(8)%
 
 10,795
 11,746
(8)%
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 2,585
 860
201%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 259
 86
201%
 
 2,585
 860
201%
 
Fixed Annuities
 555
 589
(6)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 55
 59
(7)%
 
 555
 589
(6)%
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 907
 1,108
(18)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 91
 111
(18)%
 
 907
 1,108
(18)%
 
Life
 1
 6
(83)%
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 12
 103
(88)%
 
Wholesale
 869
 383
127%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 87
 38
129%
 
 869
 383
127%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 15,712
 14,692
7%
 
 2
 12
(83)%
 
 1,573
 1,481
6%
 
 15,723
 14,789
6%
 
                                 
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
                               
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 284
 297
(4)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 28
 30
(7)%
 
 284
 297
(4)%
 
Intermediated Annuities
 488
 653
(25)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 49
 65
(25)%
 
 488
 653
(25)%
 
Internal Vesting Annuities
 1,305
 1,456
(10)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 131
 146
(10)%
 
 1,305
 1,456
(10)%
 
Total Individual Annuities
 2,077
 2,406
(14)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 208
 241
(14)%
 
 2,077
 2,406
(14)%
 
Corporate Pensions
 120
 300
(60)%
 
 161
 159
1%
 
 173
 189
(8)%
 
 686
 1,042
(34)%
 
On-shore Bonds
 1,754
 2,275
(23)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 176
 228
(23)%
 
 1,756
 2,277
(23)%
 
Other Products
 901
 897
0%
 
 51
 48
6%
 
 140
 137
2%
 
 1,183
 1,178
0%
 
Wholesale
 276
 408
(32)%
 
 -
 -
N/A
 
 28
 41
(32)%
 
 276
 408
(32)%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 5,128
 6,286
(18)%
 
 212
 207
2%
 
 725
 836
(13)%
 
 5,978
 7,311
(18)%
 
Group Total
 22,976
 22,523
2%
 
 2,125
 1,928
10%
 
 4,423
 4,181
6%
 
 33,076
 32,505
2%
 

Schedule A(iii) – Total Insurance New Business APE – By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)

 
2012
 
2013
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Insurance Operations
                   
Asia (1a)
 443
 456
 429
 569
 
 495
 515
 513
602
 
US(1a)
 332
 387
 414
 329
 
 358
 439
 405
371
 
UK
 189
 223
 205
 219
 
 185
 170
 185
185
 
Group Total
 964
 1,066
 1,048
 1,117
 
 1,038
 1,124
 1,103
1,158
 
                     
Asia Insurance Operations(1a)
                   
Cambodia
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
 -
 -
 -
 1
 
Hong Kong
 85
 92
 96
 123
 
 107
107
121
152
 
Indonesia
 97
 109
 97
 143
 
 112
128
108
129
 
Malaysia
 45
 53
 47
 73
 
 46
53
52
57
 
Philippines
 10
 11
 12
 12
 
 14
15
12
12
 
Singapore
 72
 69
 76
 84
 
 80
90
87
104
 
Thailand
 11
 8
 9
 9
 
 11
14
22
21
 
Vietnam
 7
 11
 11
 16
 
 10
13
14
17
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 327
 353
 348
 460
 
 380
 420
 416
493
 
China(6)
 17
 16
 13
 10
 
 27
20
21
15
 
Korea
 21
 24
 22
 28
 
 30
32
23
28
 
Taiwan
 43
 45
 24
 44
 
 19
26
28
44
 
India(4)
 35
 18
 22
 27
 
 39
 17
 25
22
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 443
 456
 429
 569
 
 495
 515
 513
602
 
                     
US Insurance Operations(1a)
                   
Variable Annuities
 279
 318
 333
 230
 
 240
298
271
270
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 -
 14
 26
 45
 
 54
73
64
68
 
Fixed Annuities
 16
 15
 14
 13
 
 14
16
14
11
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 25
 25
 29
 30
 
 34
28
22
7
 
Life
 4
 4
 3
 1
 
 1
 -
 -
1
 
Wholesale
 8
 11
 9
 10
 
 15
24
34
14
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 332
 387
 414
 329
 
 358
 439
 405
371
 
                     
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
                   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 7
 7
 7
 9
 
 8
7
7
6
 
Intermediated Annuities
 10
 15
 16
 24
 
 15
14
12
8
 
Internal Vesting annuities
 31
 35
 38
 42
 
 32
35
31
33
 
Total Individual Annuities
 48
 57
 61
 75
 
 55
 56
 50
47
 
Corporate Pensions
 49
 55
 44
 41
 
 53
40
45
35
 
On-shore Bonds
 55
 51
 55
 67
 
 45
38
43
50
 
Other Products
 37
 33
 31
 36
 
 32
36
32
40
 
Wholesale
 -
 27
 14
 -
 
 -
 -
 15
13
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 189
 223
 205
 219
 
 185
 170
 185
185
 
Group Total
 964
 1,066
 1,048
 1,117
 
 1,038
 1,124
 1,103
1,158
 

Schedule A(iv) – Total Insurance New Business APE – By Quarter (2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

Note:
In schedule A(iv) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012. Discrete quarters in 2013 are presented on actual exchange rates.

 
2012
 
2013
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Insurance Operations
                   
Asia(1b)
 428
 450
 423
 563
 
 495
 515
 513
 602
 
US(1b)
 334
 392
 417
 338
 
 358
 439
 405
 371
 
UK
 189
 223
 205
 219
 
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
Group Total
 951
 1,065
 1,045
 1,120
 
 1,038
 1,124
 1,103
 1,158
 
                     
Asia Insurance Operations(1b)
                   
Cambodia
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
 -
 -
 -
 1
 
Hong Kong
 85
 93
 97
 127
 
 107
 107
 121
 152
 
Indonesia
 84
 98
 89
 133
 
 112
 128
 108
 129
 
Malaysia
 44
 53
 47
 72
 
 46
 53
 52
 57
 
Philippines
 10
 11
 12
 12
 
 14
 15
 12
 12
 
Singapore
 73
 71
 76
 85
 
 80
 90
 87
 104
 
Thailand
 11
 8
 10
 9
 
 11
 14
 22
 21
 
Vietnam
 7
 10
 11
 17
 
 10
 13
 14
 17
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 314
 344
 342
 455
 
 380
 420
 416
 493
 
China(6)
 18
 17
 13
 11
 
 27
 20
 21
 15
 
Korea
 22
 26
 22
 29
 
 30
 32
 23
 28
 
Taiwan
 43
 46
 24
 44
 
 19
 26
 28
 44
 
India(4)
 31
 17
 22
 24
 
 39
 17
 25
 22
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 428
 450
 423
 563
 
 495
 515
 513
 602
 
                     
US Insurance Operations(1b)
                   
Variable Annuities
 280
 322
 336
 237
 
 240
 298
 271
 270
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 -
 14
 26
 46
 
 54
 73
 64
 68
 
Fixed Annuities
 17
 15
 14
 13
 
 14
 16
 14
 11
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 25
 26
 29
 31
 
 34
 28
 22
 7
 
Life
 4
 4
 3
 1
 
 1
 -
 -
 1
 
Wholesale
 8
 11
 9
 10
 
 15
 24
 34
 14
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 334
 392
 417
 338
 
 358
 439
 405
 371
 
                     
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
                   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 7
 7
 7
 9
 
 8
 7
 7
 6
 
Intermediated Annuities
 10
 15
 16
 24
 
 15
 14
 12
 8
 
Internal Vesting annuities
 31
 35
 38
 42
 
 32
 35
 31
 33
 
Total Individual Annuities
 48
 57
 61
 75
 
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
Corporate Pensions
 49
 55
 44
 41
 
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
On-shore Bonds
 55
 51
 55
 67
 
 45
 38
 43
 50
 
Other Products
 37
 33
 31
 36
 
 32
 36
 32
 40
 
Wholesale
 -
 27
 14
 -
 
 -
 -
 15
 13
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
189
223
205
219
 
185
170
185
185
 
Group Total
951
1,065
1,045
1,120
 
1,038
1,124
1,103
1,158
 

Schedule A(v) – Total Insurance New Business APE – By Quarter (2013 and 2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

Note:
In schedule A(v) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012 and 2013 i.e the average exchange rate for the year ended 31 December 2013 is applied to each discrete quarter for 2012 and 2013.

 
2012
 
2013
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Insurance Operations
                   
Asia(1c)
 428
 450
 423
 563
 
 476
 496
 517
 636
 
US(1c)
 334
 392
 417
 338
 
 356
 430
 401
 386
 
UK
 189
 223
 205
 219
 
 185
 170
 185
 185
 
Group Total
 951
 1,065
 1,045
 1,120
 
 1,017
 1,096
 1,103
 1,207
 
                     
Asia Insurance Operations(1c)
                   
Cambodia
 -
 -
 -
 -
 
 -
 -
 -
 1
 
Hong Kong
 85
 93
 97
 127
 
 106
 106
 121
 154
 
Indonesia
 84
 98
 89
 133
 
 104
 118
 109
 146
 
Malaysia
 44
 53
 47
 72
 
 44
 51
 53
 60
 
Philippines
 10
 11
 12
 12
 
 13
 14
 12
 14
 
Singapore
 73
 71
 76
 85
 
 78
 88
 88
 107
 
Thailand
 11
 8
 10
 9
 
 11
 14
 21
 22
 
Vietnam
 7
 10
 11
 17
 
 9
 13
 14
 18
 
SE Asia Operations inc. Hong Kong
 314
 344
 342
 455
 
 365
 404
 418
 522
 
China(6)
 18
 17
 13
 11
 
 27
 19
 21
 16
 
Korea
 22
 26
 22
 29
 
 29
 32
 23
 29
 
Taiwan
 43
 46
 24
 44
 
 19
 26
 28
 44
 
India(4)
 31
 17
 22
 24
 
 36
 15
 27
 25
 
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 428
 450
 423
 563
 
 476
 496
 517
 636
 
                     
US Insurance Operations(1c)
                   
Variable Annuities
 280
 322
 336
 237
 
 238
 293
 268
 280
 
Elite Access (Variable Annuity)
 -
 14
 26
 46
 
 54
 72
 63
 70
 
Fixed Annuities
 17
 15
 14
 13
 
 14
 15
 14
 12
 
Fixed Index Annuities
 25
 26
 29
 31
 
 34
 27
 22
 8
 
Life
 4
 4
 3
 1
 
 1
 -
 -
 1
 
Wholesale
 8
 11
 9
 10
 
 15
 23
 34
 15
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 334
 392
 417
 338
 
 356
 430
 401
 386
 
                     
UK & Europe Insurance Operations
                   
Direct and Partnership Annuities
 7
 7
 7
 9
 
 8
 7
 7
 6
 
Intermediated Annuities
 10
 15
 16
 24
 
 15
 14
 12
 8
 
Internal Vesting annuities
 31
 35
 38
 42
 
 32
 35
 31
 33
 
Total Individual Annuities
 48
 57
 61
 75
 
 55
 56
 50
 47
 
Corporate Pensions
 49
 55
 44
 41
 
 53
 40
 45
 35
 
On-shore Bonds
 55
 51
 55
 67
 
 45
 38
 43
 50
 
Other Products
 37
 33
 31
 36
 
 32
 36
 32
 40
 
Wholesale
 -
 27
 14
 -
 
 -
 -
 15
 13
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
189
223
205
219
 
185
170
185
185
 
Group Total
951
1,065
1,045
1,120
 
1,017
1,096
1,103
1,207
 

Schedule A(vi) – Investment Operations – By Quarter (Actual Exchange Rates)

   
2012
 
2013
 
   
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
   
£m
£m
£m
£m 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
Group Investment Operations
                     
Opening FUM
 
106,984
109,507
110,204
120,709
 
129,498
138,926
137,407
142,820
 
Net Flows:(8)
 
2,116
3,251
6,975
6,165
 
3,502
2,344
5,093
126
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
9,183
9,305
13,228
13,783
 
13,409
14,561
13,528
11,006
 
 - Redemptions
 
(7,067)
(6,054)
(6,253)
(7,618)
 
(9,907)
(12,217)
(8,435)
(10,880)
 
Other Movements
 
407
(2,554)
3,530
2,624
 
5,926
(3,863)
320
970
 
Total Group Investment Operations(10)
 
109,507
110,204
120,709
129,498
 
138,926
137,407
142,820
143,916
 
                       
M&G
                     
                       
Retail
                     
Opening FUM
 
44,228
47,972
48,352
51,951
 
54,879
61,427
62,655
64,504
 
Net Flows:
 
2,398
1,876
1,863
1,705
 
2,446
2,308
1,132
1,456
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
6,055
4,995
4,903
5,528
 
7,213
8,138
5,919
6,789
 
 - Redemptions
 
(3,657)
(3,119)
(3,040)
(3,823)
 
(4,767)
(5,830)
(4,787)
(5,333)
 
Other Movements
 
1,346
(1,496)
1,736
1,223
 
4,102
(1,080)
717
1,242
 
Closing FUM
 
47,972
48,352
51,951
54,879
 
61,427
62,655
64,504
67,202
 
                       
Comprising amounts for:
                     
   UK
 
36,411
36,801
38,667
39,142
 
41,194
39,953
40,955
42,016
 
   Europe (excluding UK)
 
10,434
10,547
12,254
14,446
 
18,696
21,198
22,064
23,699
 
   South Africa
 
1,127
1,004
1,030
1,291
 
1,537
1,504
1,485
1,487
 
   
47,972
48,352
51,951
54,879
 
61,427
62,655
64,504
67,202
 
                       
Institutional(3)
                     
Opening FUM
 
47,720
45,371
46,291
52,215
 
56,989
57,745
55,484
59,810
 
Net Flows:
 
(631)
1,298
4,505
3,867
 
(15)
(899)
3,928
(866)
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
954
2,697
5,643
5,688
 
2,656
2,591
5,364
2,163
 
 - Redemptions
 
(1,585)
(1,399)
(1,138)
(1,821)
 
(2,671)
(3,490)
(1,436)
(3,029)
 
Other Movements
 
(1,718)
(378)
1,419
907
 
771
(1,362)
398
(157)
 
Closing FUM
 
45,371
46,291
52,215
56,989
 
57,745
55,484
59,810
58,787
 
Total M&G Investment Operations
 
93,343
94,643
104,166
111,868
 
119,172
118,139
124,314
125,989
 
                       
PPM South Africa FUM included in Total M&G
 
3,757
3,584
3,848
4,391
 
4,701
4,509
4,633
4,513
 
                       
Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)
                     
                       
Equity/Bond/Other(7)
                     
Opening FUM
 
13,007
13,970
13,423
14,508
 
15,457
17,206
16,756
16,133
 
Net Flows:
 
333
50
838
521
 
795
838
65
118
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
2,120
1,552
2,407
2,446
 
3,122
3,596
2,214
1,982
 
 - Redemptions
 
(1,787)
(1,502)
(1,569)
(1,925)
 
(2,327)
(2,758)
(2,149)
(1,864)
 
Other Movements
 
630
(597)
247
428
 
954
(1,288)
(688)
(142)
 
Closing FUM(5)
 
13,970
13,423
14,508
15,457
 
17,206
16,756
16,133
16,109
 
                       
Third Party Institutional Mandates
                     
Opening FUM
 
2,029
2,194
2,138
2,035
 
2,173
2,548
2,512
2,373
 
Net Flows:
 
16
27
(231)
72
 
276
97
(32)
(582)
 
 - Gross Inflows
 
54
61
275
121
 
418
236
31
72
 
 - Redemptions
 
(38)
(34)
(506)
(49)
 
(142)
(139)
(63)
(654)
 
Other Movements
 
149
(83)
128
66
 
99
(133)
(107)
27
 
Closing FUM(5)
 
2,194
2,138
2,035
2,173
 
2,548
2,512
2,373
1,818
 
                       
Total Eastspring Investment Operations
 
16,164
15,561
16,543
17,630
 
19,754
19,268
18,506
17,927
 
                       
US
                     
Curian - FUM(5) (9)
 
5,064
5,193
5,332
5,473
 
6,315
6,466
6,371
6,601
 

Schedule A(vii) – Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual Exchange Rates)

 
2012
 
2013
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2 
Q3
Q4
 
 
YTD
YTD
YTD
YTD
 
YTD
YTD 
YTD
YTD
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m 
£m
£m
 
Pre-tax analysis
                   
                     
Pre-tax new business profit(1a)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
260
547
828
 1,266
 
308
659
990
 1,460
 
Total US Insurance Operations
214
442
683
873
 
192
479
756
 1,086
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
62
152
227
313
 
63
130
204
 297
 
Group Total
536
1,141
1,738
2,452
 
563
1,268
1,950
2,843
 
                     
Annual Equivalent(1a) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
443
899
1,328
1,897
 
495
1,010
1,523
2,125
 
Total US Insurance Operations
332
719
1,133
1,462
 
358
797
1,202
1,573
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
189
412
617
836
 
185
355
540
725
 
Group Total
964
2,030
3,078
4,195
 
1,038
2,162
3,265
4,423
 
                     
Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
59%
61%
62%
67%
 
62%
65%
65%
69%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
64%
61%
60%
60%
 
54%
60%
63%
69%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
33%
37%
37%
37%
 
34%
37%
38%
41%
 
Group Total
56%
56%
56%
58%
 
54%
59%
60%
64%
 
                     
PVNBP(1a) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
2,303
4,725
7,074
10,544
 
2,734
5,524
8,206
11,375
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3,307
7,180
11,308
14,600
 
3,581
7,957
12,006
15,723
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
1,580
3,495
5,264
7,311
 
1,540
2,943
4,398
5,978
 
Group Total
7,190
15,400
23,646
32,455
 
7,855
16,424
24,610
33,076
 
                     
Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
11.3%
11.6%
11.7%
12.0%
 
11.3%
11.9%
12.1%
12.8%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
6.5%
6.2%
6.0%
6.0%
 
5.4%
6.0%
6.3%
6.9%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.9%
4.3%
4.3%
4.3%
 
4.1%
4.4%
4.6%
5.0%
 
Group Total
7.5%
7.4%
7.4%
7.6%
 
7.2%
7.7%
7.9%
8.6%
 
                     
Post-tax analysis
                   
                     
Post-tax new business profit(1a)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
197
414
627
982
 
237
502
767
1,139
 
Total US Insurance Operations
139
288
444
568
 
125
311
492
706
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
47
116
173
241
 
48
100
163
237
 
Group Total
383
818
1,244
1,791
 
410
913
1,422
2,082
 
                     
Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
44%
46%
47%
52%
 
48%
50%
50%
54%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
42%
40%
39%
39%
 
35%
39%
41%
45%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
25%
28%
28%
29%
 
26%
28%
30%
33%
 
Group Total
40%
40%
40%
43%
 
39%
42%
44%
47%
 
                     
Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
8.6%
8.8%
8.9%
9.3%
 
8.7%
9.1%
9.3%
10.0%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
4.2%
4.0%
3.9%
3.9%
 
3.5%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.0%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
 
3.1%
3.4%
3.7%
4.0%
 
Group Total
5.3%
5.3%
5.3%
5.5%
 
5.2%
5.6%
5.8%
6.3%
 

Schedule A(viii) – Total Insurance New Business Profit (2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

Note:
In schedule A(viii) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012.  The year-to-date amounts for 2013 are presented on actual exchange rates.

 
2012
 
2013
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2 
Q3
Q4
 
 
YTD
YTD
YTD
YTD
 
YTD
YTD 
YTD
YTD
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m 
£m
£m
 
Pre-tax analysis
                   
                     
Pre-tax new business profit(1b)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 249
 528
 803
 1,227
 
308
659
 990
 1,460
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 215
 445
 689
 884
 
192
479
756
 1,086
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 62
 152
 227
 313
 
63
130
204
 297
 
Group Total
526
1,125
1,719
2,424
 
563
1,268
1,950
 2,843
 
                     
Annual Equivalent(1b) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
428
878
1,301
1,864
 
495
1,010
1,523
2,125
 
Total US Insurance Operations
334
726
1,143
1,481
 
358
797
1,202
1,573
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
189
412
617
836
 
185
355
540
725
 
Group Total
951
2,016
3,061
4,181
 
1,038
2,162
3,265
4,423
 
                     
Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
58%
60%
62%
66%
 
62%
65%
65%
69%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
64%
61%
60%
60%
 
54%
60%
63%
69%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
33%
37%
37%
37%
 
34%
37%
38%
41%
 
Group Total
55%
56%
56%
58%
 
54%
59%
60%
64%
 
                     
PVNBP(1b) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
2,242
4,648
6,979
10,405
 
2,734
5,524
8,206
11,375
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3,321
7,236
11,403
14,789
 
3,581
7,957
12,006
15,723
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
1,580
3,495
5,264
7,311
 
1,540
2,943
4,398
5,978
 
Group Total
7,143
15,379
23,646
32,505
 
7,855
16,424
24,610
33,076
 
                     
Pre-tax New business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
11.1%
11.4%
11.5%
11.8%
 
11.3%
11.9%
12.1%
12.8%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
6.5%
6.2%
6.0%
6.0%
 
5.4%
6.0%
6.3%
6.9%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.9%
4.3%
4.3%
4.3%
 
4.1%
4.4%
4.6%
5.0%
 
Group Total
7.4%
7.3%
7.3%
7.5%
 
7.2%
7.7%
7.9%
8.6%
 
                     
Post-tax analysis
                   
                     
Post-tax new business profit(1b)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
189
400
609
953
 
237
502
767
1,139
 
Total US Insurance Operations
140
290
448
575
 
125
311
492
706
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
47
116
173
241
 
48
100
163
237
 
Group Total
376
806
1,230
1,769
 
410
913
1,422
2,082
 
                     
Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
44%
46%
47%
51%
 
48%
50%
50%
54%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
42%
40%
39%
39%
 
35%
39%
41%
45%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
25%
28%
28%
29%
 
26%
28%
30%
33%
 
Group Total
40%
40%
40%
42%
 
39%
42%
44%
47%
 
                     
Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
8.4%
8.6%
8.7%
9.2%
 
8.7%
9.1%
9.3%
10.0%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
4.2%
4.0%
3.9%
3.9%
 
3.5%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.0%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
 
3.1%
3.4%
3.7%
4.0%
 
Group Total
5.3%
5.2%
5.2%
5.4%
 
5.2%
5.6%
5.8%
6.3%
 

Schedule A(ix) – Total Insurance New Business Profit (2013 and 2012 at Constant Exchange Rates)

 
Note: In schedule A(ix) constant exchange rates have been used to calculate insurance new business for overseas operations for all periods in 2012 and 2013, i.e the average exchange rate for the year ended 31 December 2013 is applied to each period for 2012 and 2013.

 
2012
 
2013
 
 
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
 
Q1
Q2 
Q3
Q4
 
 
YTD
YTD
YTD
YTD
 
YTD
YTD 
YTD
YTD
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
£m 
£m
£m
 
Pre-tax analysis
                   
                     
Pre-tax new business profit(1c)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 249
 528
 803
 1,227
 
 295
 631
 964
 1,460
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 215
 445
 689
 884
 
 191
 472
 747
 1,086
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 62
 152
 227
 313
 
 63
 130
 204
 297
 
Group Total
526
1,125
1,719
2,424
 
549
1,233
1,915
2,843
 
                     
Annual Equivalent(1c) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
428
878
1,301
1,864
 
476
972
1,489
2,125
 
Total US Insurance Operations
334
726
1,143
1,481
 
356
786
1,187
1,573
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
189
412
617
836
 
185
355
540
725
 
Group Total
951
2,016
3,061
4,181
 
1,017
2,113
3,216
4,423
 
                     
Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
58%
60%
62%
66%
 
62%
65%
65%
69%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
64%
61%
60%
60%
 
54%
60%
63%
69%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
33%
37%
37%
37%
 
34%
37%
38%
41%
 
Group Total
55%
56%
56%
58%
 
54%
58%
60%
64%
 
                     
PVNBP(1c) (2)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
2,242
4,648
6,979
10,405
 
2,643
5,336
8,042
11,375
 
Total US Insurance Operations
3,321
7,236
11,403
14,789
 
3,553
7,852
11,865
15,723
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
1,580
3,495
5,264
7,311
 
1,540
2,943
4,398
5,978
 
Group Total
7,143
15,379
23,646
32,505
 
7,736
16,131
24,305
33,076
 
                     
Pre-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
11.1%
11.4%
11.5%
11.8%
 
11.2%
11.8%
12.0%
12.8%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
6.5%
6.2%
6.0%
6.0%
 
5.4%
6.0%
6.3%
6.9%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.9%
4.3%
4.3%
4.3%
 
4.1%
4.4%
4.6%
5.0%
 
Group Total
7.4%
7.3%
7.3%
7.5%
 
7.1%
7.6%
7.9%
8.6%
 
                     
Post-tax analysis
                   
                     
Post-tax new business profit(1c)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
 189
 400
 609
 953
 
 226
 480
 748
 1,139
 
Total US Insurance Operations
 140
 290
 448
 575
 
 124
 307
 486
 706
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
 47
 116
 173
 241
 
 48
 100
 163
 237
 
Group Total
376
806
1,230
1,769
 
398
887
1,397
2,082
 
                     
Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of APE)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
44%
46%
47%
51%
 
47%
49%
50%
54%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
42%
40%
39%
39%
 
35%
39%
41%
45%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
25%
28%
28%
29%
 
26%
28%
30%
33%
 
Group Total
40%
40%
40%
42%
 
39%
42%
43%
47%
 
                     
Post-tax new business margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
                   
Total Asia Insurance Operations
8.4%
8.6%
8.7%
9.2%
 
8.6%
9.0%
9.3%
10.0%
 
Total US Insurance Operations
4.2%
4.0%
3.9%
3.9%
 
3.5%
3.9%
4.1%
4.5%
 
Total UK & Europe Insurance Operations
3.0%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
 
3.1%
3.4%
3.7%
4.0%
 
Group Total
5.3%
5.2%
5.2%
5.4%
 
5.1%
5.5%
5.7%
6.3%
 

B. Reconciliation of expected transfer of value of in-force (VIF) and required capital business to free surplus
The tables below show how the VIF generated by the in-force long-term business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over the next 40 years. Although a small amount (less than 2 per cent) of the Group’s embedded value emerges after this date analysis of cash flows emerging in the years shown in the tables is considered most meaningful. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group’s embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.

In addition to showing the amounts, both discounted and undiscounted, expected to be generated from all in-force business at 31 December 2013, the tables also present the expected future free surplus to be generated from the investment made in new business during 2013 over the same 40 year period.

Expected transfer of value of in-force (VIF) and required capital business to free surplus
     
   
2013 £m
   
Undiscounted expected generation from
all in-force business at 31 December*
 
Undiscounted expected generation from
2013 long-term new business written*
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK
Total
 
Asia
US
UK
Total
2014
801
902
462
2,165
 
116
260
24
400
2015
821
817
471
2,109
 
140
113
21
274
2016
798
760
467
2,025
 
142
114
21
277
2017
735
709
467
1,911
 
111
40
19
170
2018
705
700
479
1,884
 
107
108
21
236
2019
682
666
466
1,814
 
93
92
20
205
2020
672
670
462
1,804
 
96
85
20
201
2021
665
623
455
1,743
 
99
127
20
246
2022
654
540
451
1,645
 
93
105
20
218
2023
650
469
461
1,580
 
105
88
21
214
2024
635
386
449
1,470
 
89
70
19
178
2025
633
313
440
1,386
 
93
58
18
169
2026
637
265
429
1,331
 
88
50
18
156
2027
637
228
423
1,288
 
89
43
18
150
2028
624
206
408
1,238
 
109
38
18
165
2029
596
174
401
1,171
 
84
29
18
131
2030
590
162
389
1,141
 
85
24
18
127
2031
570
146
377
1,093
 
84
20
18
122
2032
561
158
368
1,087
 
82
17
18
117
2033
544
85
363
992
 
90
15
19
124
2034-2038
2,586
305
1,400
4,291
 
399
32
82
513
2039-2043
2,334
104
1,152
3,590
 
357
(13)
96
440
2044-2048
2,075
569
2,644
 
313
54
367
2049-2053
1,808
336
2,144
 
276
37
313
Total free surplus expected to emerge in
                 
 
the next 40 years
22,013
9,388
12,145
43,546
 
3,340
1,515
658
5,513

 
* The analysis excludes amounts incorporated into VIF at 31 December 2013 where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the estate. It also excludes any free surplus emerging after 2053. Following its classification as held for sale, the Asia cashflows exclude any cashflows in respect of Japan.

The above amounts can be reconciled to the new business amounts as follows:

New business
2013 £m
   
Asia
US
UK
Total
Undiscounted expected free surplus generation for years 2014-2053
3,340
1,515
658
5,513
Less: discount effect
(2,098)
(516)
(397)
(3,011)
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2014-2053
1,242
999
261
2,502
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2053+
52
 -
2
54
Less: Free surplus investment in new business
(310)
(298)
(29)
(637)
Other items**
155
5
3
163
Post-tax EEV new business profit
1,139
706
237
2,082
Tax
321
380
60
761
Pre-tax EEV new business profit
1,460
1,086
297
2,843

**
Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees on new business, foreign exchange effects and other non-modelled items. Foreign exchange effects arise as EEV new business profit amounts are translated at average exchange rates and the expected free surplus generation uses year end closing rates.

The undiscounted expected free surplus generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2013 shown below can be reconciled to the amount that was expected to be generated as at 31 December 2012 as follows:

   
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Other
   
Total
 
Group
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
   
£m
 
2012 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2013-2052
1,950
1,816
1,788
1,687
1,671
1,594
24,646
   
35,152
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised in
                     
 
the current year
(1,950)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
   
(1,950)
 
Add: Expected free surplus to be generated
                     
 
in year 2053 *
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 179
   
179
 
Foreign exchange differences
 -
(90)
(84)
(75)
(72)
(68)
(1,204)
   
(1,593)
 
New business
 -
400
274
277
170
236
4,156
   
5,513
 
Acquisition of Thanachart Life
 -
17
13
11
8
5
20
   
74
 
Operating movements
 -
(45)
1
1
16
26
5,655
   
6,171
 
Non-operating and other movements **
 -
67
117
124
118
91
     
2013 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2014-2053
 -
2,165
2,109
2,025
1,911
1,884
33,452
   
43,546
 

   
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Other
   
Total
 
Asia
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
   
£m
 
2012 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2013-2052
719
761
724
686
654
628
 13,069
   
 17,241
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
                     
 
in the current year
(719)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
   
(719)
 
Add: Expected free surplus to be generated
                     
 
 in year 2053 *
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 135
   
 135
 
Foreign exchange differences
 -
(79)
(73)
(65)
(61)
(58)
(1,132)
   
(1,468)
 
New business
 -
 116
 140
 142
 111
 107
 2,724
   
 3,340
 
Acquisition of Thanachart Life
 -
 17
 13
 11
 8
 5
 20
   
 74
 
Operating movements
 -
(21)
(5)
 3
 6
 3,337
   
 3,410
 
Non-operating and other movements**
 -
 7
 22
 24
 20
 17
     
2013 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2014-2053
 -
 801
 821
 798
 735
 705
 18,153
   
 22,013
 

   
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Other
   
Total
 
US
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
   
£m
 
2012 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2013-2052
785
572
600
557
587
551
3,897
   
 7,549
 
Less: Amounts expected
                     
 
the current year
(785)
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
   
(785)
 
Add: Expected free surplus  to be generated
                     
 
in year 2053 *
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
   
 -
 
Foreign exchange differences
 -
(11)
(11)
(10)
(11)
(10)
(72)
   
(125)
 
New business
 -
 260
 113
 114
 40
 108
 880
   
 1,515
 
Operating movements
 -
(6)
 3
 6
 18
 21
795
   
 1,234
 
Non-operating and other movements
 -
 87
 112
 93
 75
 30
     
2013 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2014-2053
 -
902
817
760
709
700
5,500
   
 9,388
 

   
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Other
   
Total
 
UK
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
   
£m
 
2012 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
 years 2013-2052
446
483
464
444
430
415
7,680
   
 10,362
 
Less: Amounts expected to be realised in
                     
 
the current year
(446)
   
(446)
 
Add: Expected free surplus to be generated
                     
 
in year 2053*
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
 44
   
 44
 
New business
 -
 24
 21
 21
 19
 21
 552
   
 658
 
Operating movements
 -
(18)
3
(5)
(5)
(1)
1,523
   
 1,527
 
Non-operating and other movements***
 -
(27)
(17)
7
23
44
     
2013 expected free surplus generation for
                     
 
years 2014-2053
 -
462
471
467
467
479
9,799
   
 12,145
 

*      Excluding 2013 new business.
 
**    Includes the removal of Japan Life business following its reclassification as held for sale.
*** The amounts shown above for non-operating and other movements include the effects of a partial hedge of the future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK’s with-profits sub-fund that was transacted in 2013. This hedge reduces the risk arising from equity market declines for the years 2014-2018. However, in rising equity markets as assumed in preparing the EEV results, the hedge reduces the projected free surplus benefit of those higher returns. Consistent with this feature, for 2014 the expected free surplus generation compared to that expected at 31 December 2012 is reduced by £(58) million as a result of this hedge.

At 31 December 2013 the total free surplus expected to be generated over the next five years (years 2014-2018 inclusive), using the same assumptions and methodology as underpin our embedded value reporting was £10.1 billion, an increase of £1.5 billion from the £8.6 billion expected over the same period at the end of 2012.

This increase primarily reflects the new business written in 2013, which is expected to generate £1,357 million of free surplus over the next five years. Operating, non-operating and other items are expected to increase free surplus generation by £570 million over the next five years, but this has been offset by adverse foreign exchange movements of £389 million.

At 31 December 2013 the total free surplus expected to be generated on an undiscounted basis in the next forty years is £43.5 billion, up from the £35 billion expected at end of 2012 reflecting the effect of new business written and the positive market movements in Asia, following increases in bond yields principally in Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore, together with higher projected separate account fees following increase in US equities values. The foreign exchange translation effect arising across US and Asia operations is a reduction of £1.6 billion. The overall growth in the undiscounted value of free surplus, reflects both our ability to write new business on attractive economics and to manage the in-force book for value, as well as the positive gearing of our cash flows to rising long-term yields and equity markets.

Actual underlying free surplus generated in 2013 from life business in-force at the end of 2012 was £2.6 billion inclusive of £0.5 billion of changes in operating assumptions and experience variances. This compares with the expected 2013 realisation at the end of 2012 of £2.0 billion. This can be analysed further as follows:

 
Asia
US
UK
Total
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
Transfer to free surplus in 2013
713
796
508
 2,017
Expected return on free assets
74
41
 18
 133
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variances
32
292
154
 478
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force life business in 2013
819
 1,129
680
 2,628
         
2013 free surplus expected to be generated at 31/12/2012
719
785
446
 1,950
         

The equivalent discounted amounts of the undiscounted totals shown previously are outlined below:
     
   
2013 £m
 
 
Discounted expected generation from all
in-force business at 31 December
 
Discounted expected generation from
long-term 2013 new business written
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK
Total
 
Asia
US
UK
Total
2014
759
866
431
 2,056
 
110
250
22
382
2015
717
737
410
 1,864
 
119
101
18
238
2016
646
642
381
 1,669
 
111
95
17
223
2017
553
562
354
 1,469
 
80
32
15
127
2018
493
519
339
 1,351
 
71
79
15
165
2019
443
463
308
 1,214
 
57
63
14
134
2020
406
436
285
 1,127
 
54
54
13
121
2021
375
380
261
 1,016
 
52
76
12
140
2022
343
311
242
 896
 
44
58
11
113
2023
316
255
230
 801
 
47
45
11
103
2024
291
197
208
 696
 
37
33
10
80
2025
271
150
190
 611
 
36
25
8
69
2026
254
121
172
 547
 
31
20
8
59
2027
238
99
158
 495
 
30
16
8
54
2028
221
86
142
 449
 
35
13
7
55
2029
199
69
130
 398
 
25
10
6
41
2030
185
63
117
 365
 
24
8
6
38
2031
170
55
105
 330
 
22
6
6
34
2032
157
57
96
 310
 
21
5
5
31
2033
144
27
88
 259
 
22
4
5
31
2034-2038
587
98
269
 954
 
85
7
19
111
2039-2043
405
41
151
 597
 
59
(1)
15
73
2044-2048
281
47
 328
 
41
6
47
2049-2053
192
20
 212
 
29
4
33
Total discounted free surplus
                 
 
expected to emerge in the next 40 years
 8,646
 6,234
 5,134
 20,014
 
 1,242
 999
 261
 2,502

The above amounts can be reconciled to the Group’s financial statements as follows:
 
 
Total
 
£m
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years 2014-2053
20,014
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years after 2053
393
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business (excluding Japan) at 31 December 2013 note 13
20,407
Add: Free surplus of life operations held at 31 December 2013 note 12
3,220
Less: Time value of guarantees note 13
(196)
Expected cashflow from the sale of Japan Life business**
25
Other non-modelled items* note 13
1,157
Total EEV for life operations
24,613

*
These relate to items where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received and are, consequently, excluded from the amounts incorporated into the tables above showing the expected generation of free surplus from in-force business at 31 December 2013. In particular it excludes the value of the shareholders’ interest in the estate.
**
Upon completion of the sale of the Japan Life business  £25 million of free surplus will be released. See note 4 of the EEV basis results section for further details.

C Additional information on pre and post-tax EEV basis results

The Group intends to alter its basis of presentation of EEV results for 2014 and subsequent reporting periods to a post-tax basis, in line with the approach adopted by a number of international insurance groups. The following tables provide an analysis of the Group’s profit and loss account and key accompanying notes on a pre-tax and post-tax basis for the most recent reporting periods.

Pre and post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns

   
Pre-tax
 
Post-taxnote (i)
   
Full year 2013
£m
Full year 2012
£m
Half year 2013
£m
 
Full year 2013
£m
Full year 2012
£m
Half year 2013
£m
Asia operations
             
New businessnotes (ii), (iii)
1,460
 1,266
 659
 
 1,139
 982
 502
Business in force*:
             
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
 846
 595
 400
 
 668
 465
 315
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
 17
 22
(13)
 
 5
 13
(6)
 
Experience variances and other items
 64
 75
 33
 
 80
 76
 18
 
 927
 692
 420
 
 753
 554
 327
Long-term business
 2,387
 1,958
 1,079
 
 1,892
 1,536
 829
Eastspring investments*
 74
 69
 38
 
 64
 58
 32
Development expenses
(2)
(7)
(2)
 
(1)
(5)
(2)
Total*
 2,459
 2,020
 1,115
 
 1,955
 1,589
 859
US operations
             
New businessnote (ii)
 1,086
 873
 479
 
 706
 568
 311
Business in force:
             
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
608
 412
 287
 
395
 268
 187
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
116
 35
70
 
76
 23
45
 
Experience variances and other items
411
 290
 180
 
349
 238
 164
 
 1,135
 737
 537
 
 820
 529
 396
Long-term business
 2,221
 1,610
 1,016
 
 1,526
 1,097
 707
Broker-deal and asset management
 59
 39
 34
 
 39
 18
 21
Total
 2,280
 1,649
 1,050
 
 1,565
 1,115
 728
UK operations
             
New businessnote (ii)
297
 313
 130
 
237
 241
 100
Business in force:
             
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
547
 482
 267
 
437
 373
 204
 
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
122
 87
-
 
98
 67
-
 
Experience variances and other items
67
(16)
7
 
60
10
-
 
 736
 553
 274
 
 595
 450
 204
Long-term business
 1,033
 866
 404
 
 832
 691
 304
General insurance commission
29
 33
 15
 
 22
 25
 11
Total UK insurance operations
 1,062
 899
 419
 
 854
 716
 315
M&G (including Prudential Capital)
 441
 371
 225
 
 346
 285
 175
Total
 1,503
 1,270
 644
 
 1,200
 1,001
 490
Other income and expenditure
(619)
(554)
(304)
 
(482)
(476)
(235)
Solvency II and restructuring costs
(43)
(72)
(26)
 
(34)
(55)
(21)
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
 5,580
 4,313
 2,479
 
 4,204
 3,174
 1,821
Analysed as profits (losses) from:
             
New businessnotes (ii), (iii)
 2,843
 2,452
 1,268
 
 2,082
 1,791
 913
Business in force*:
 2,798
 1,982
 1,231
 
 2,168
 1,533
 927
Long-term business*
 5,641
 4,434
 2,499
 
 4,250
 3,324
 1,840
Asset management*
 574
 479
 297
 
 449
 361
 228
Other results
(635)
(600)
(317)
 
(495)
(511)
(247)
Total*
 5,580
 4,313
 2,479
 
 4,204
 3,174
 1,821
*  The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the adoption of IFRS 11 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business – see note 18 of the EEV basis results section.

Summary of consolidated income statement
             
   
Pre-tax
 
Post-taxnote (i)
   
Full year 2013 £m
Full year 2012 £m
Half year 2013 £m
 
Full year 2013 £m
Full year 2012 £m
Half year 2013 £m
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns*
5,580
4,313
2,479
 
 4,204
3,174
1,821
Non-operating profit:
             
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns:
             
 
Asia operations*
(405)
362
(282)
 
(308)
302
(223)
 
US operations
(422)
(254)
(404)
 
(280)
(163)
(271)
 
UK insurance operations
35
315
(92)
 
28
243
(70)
 
Other operations*
(27)
87
(30)
 
(4)
83
(23)
   
(819)
510
(808)
 
(564)
465
(587)
Effect of changes in economic assumptions:
             
 
Asia operations
283
(135)
333
 
255
(99)
272
 
US operations
372
85
62
 
242
56
40
 
UK insurance operations
166
48
289
 
132
37
222
   
 821
(2)
 684
 
629
(6)
534
Other non-operating profit
 82
136
156
 
89
136
156
Total non-operating profit*
 84
 644
 32
 
 154
 595
 103
Profit attributable to Shareholders*
 5,664
 4,957
 2,511
 
 4,358
 3,769
 1,924
*  The 2012 comparative results have been adjusted retrospectively from those previously published for the revised IAS 19 and for the reclassification of the result attributable to the held for sale Japan Life business – see note 18 of the EEV basis results section.

Notes

(i)  
The tax rates include the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.

(ii)  
New business contribution

   
Pre-tax
new business contribution £m
 
Post-tax
new business contribution £m
   
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK
insurance
operations
Total
Full year 2013
1,460
1,086
297
2,843
 
1,139
706
237
2,082
Q3 2013
990
756
204
1,950
 
767
492
163
1,422
Half year 2013
659
479
130
1,268
 
502
311
100
913
Q1 2013
308
192
63
563
 
237
125
48
410
Full year 2012
1,266
873
313
2,452
 
982
568
241
1,791
Q3 2012
828
683
227
1,738
 
627
444
173
1,244
Half year 2012
547
442
152
1,141
 
414
288
116
818
Q1 2012
260
214
62
536
 
197
139
47
383
Full year 2011
1,076
815
260
2,151
 
811
530
195
1,536

(iii)  
New business contribution by Asia territory

   
Pre-tax
 
Post-tax
   
Full year 2013 £m
Full year 2012 £m
Half year 2013 £m
 
Full year 2013 £m
Full year 2012 £m
Half year 2013 £m
Asia operations:
   
 
     
 
 
China
 37
26
 17
 
28
20
13
 
Hong Kong
 354
210
 162
 
283
162
125
 
India
 18
19
 10
 
15
15
8
 
Indonesia
 480
476
 228
 
359
365
174
 
Korea
 33
26
 19
 
25
20
14
 
Taiwan
 37
48
 16
 
31
40
13
 
Other
 501
461
 207
 
398
360
155
Total Asia operations
 1,460
 1,266
 659
 
 1,139
982
 502

D  Foreign currency source of key metrics

The tables below show the Group’s key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:

Free surplus and IFRS full year 2013 results

 
Underlying free surplus generated2
Pre-tax
Operating profit2,3,4
Shareholders' funds2,3,4
 
%
%
%
US$ linked1
14
19
14
Other Asia currencies
9
17
18
Total Asia
23
36
32
UK sterling3,4
42
20
53
US$4
35
44
15
Total
100
100
100

EEV full year 2013 results
     
   
 Pre-tax New
Business profits
Pre-tax
Operating Profit2,3,4
Shareholders'
Funds2,3,4
   
%
%
%
US$ linked1
 29
 26
 28
Other Asia currencies
 22
 18
 15
Total Asia
 51
 44
 43
UK sterling3,4
11
15
37
US$4
38
41
20
Total
100
100
100

1US$ linked – comprising the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.
2Includes long-term, asset management business and other businesses.
3For operating profit and shareholders’ funds UK sterling includes amounts in respect of central operations as well as UK insurance operations and M&G.
4 For shareholders’ funds, the US$ grouping includes US$ denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.
 
 
 
 
SIGNATURES
 
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.




 
 
Date 12 March 2014
 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
   
 
By: /s/ Nic Nicandrou
   
 
Nic Nicandrou
  Chief Financial Officer