aa03188k.htm



UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D. C. 20549

_____________

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934


Date of earliest event
  reported: March 22, 2010


American Airlines, Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware
1-2691
13-1502798
(State of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)



 
4333 Amon Carter Blvd.
Fort Worth, Texas
76155
 
 
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip code)
 



 
(817) 963-1234
 
 
(Registrant's telephone number)
 
 
   (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)   
 
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

[ ]  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

[ ]  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

[ ]  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

[ ]  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 
 

 


Item 8.01
 
Other Events
 

American Airlines, Inc. is filing herewith its Eagle Eye communication to investors by its parent company, AMR Corporation.  This document includes (a) actual unit cost, fuel price, capacity and traffic information for January and February and (b) forecasts of unit cost, revenue performance, fuel prices and fuel hedging, capacity and traffic estimates, liquidity expectations, other income/expense estimates and share count.


 
 

 


SIGNATURE



Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.


 
 
American Airlines, Inc.
   
   
   
 
/s/ Kenneth W. Wimberly
 
Kenneth W. Wimberly
 
Corporate Secretary



Dated:  March 22, 2010
 
 
 

 
 AMR EAGLE EYE  
March 22, 2010
 
Statements in this report contain various forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, which represent the Company's expectations or beliefs concerning future events.  When used in this document, the words “expects”, “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook”, “may,” “will,” “should”, “seeks”, “targets” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.  Similarly, statements that describe our objectives, plans or goals, or actions we may take in the future are forward-looking statements.  Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the Company’s expectations concerning operations and financial conditions, including changes in capacity, revenues, and costs; future financing plans and needs; the amounts of the Company’s unencumbered assets and other sources of liquidity; fleet plans; overall economic and industry conditions; plans and objectives for future operations; regulatory approvals and actions, including the Company’s application for antitrust immunity with other  oneworld alliance members; and the impact on the Company of its results of operations in recent years and the sufficiency of its financial resources to absorb that impact. Other forward-looking statements include statements which do not relate solely to historical facts, such as, without limitation, statements which discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties, or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured.  All forward-looking statements in this report are based upon information available to the Company on the date of this report. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.  This document includes forecasts of unit cost and revenue performance, fuel prices and fuel hedging, capacity and traffic estimates, other income/expense estimates, share count, and statements regarding the Company’s liquidity, each of which is a forward-looking statement.  Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of factors that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from the Company’s expectations.  The following factors, in addition to other possible factors not listed, could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements:  the materially weakened financial condition of the Company, resulting from its significant losses in recent years; weaker demand for air travel and lower investment asset returns resulting from the severe global economic downturn; the Company’s need to raise substantial additional funds and its ability to do so on acceptable terms; the ability of the Company to generate additional revenues and reduce its costs; continued high and volatile fuel prices and further increases in the price of fuel, and the availability of fuel; the Company’s substantial indebtedness and other obligations; the ability of the Company to satisfy covenants and conditions in certain of its financing and other agreements; changes in economic and other conditions beyond the Company’s control, and the volatile results of the Company’s operations; the fiercely and increasingly competitive business environment faced by the Company; potential industry consolidation and alliance changes; competition with reorganized carriers; low fare levels by historical standards and the Company’s reduced pricing power; changes in the Company’s corporate or business strategy; government regulation of the Company’s business; conflicts overseas or terrorist attacks; uncertainties with respect to the Company’s international operations; outbreaks of a disease (such as the H1N1 virus, SARS or avian flu) that affects travel behavior; labor costs that are higher than those of the Company’s competitors; uncertainties with respect to the Company’s relationships with unionized and other employee work groups; increased insurance costs and potential reductions of available insurance coverage; the Company’s ability to retain key management personnel; potential failures or disruptions of the Company’s computer, communications or other technology systems; losses and adverse publicity resulting from any accident involving the Company’s aircraft; changes in the price of the Company’s common stock; and the ability of the Company to reach acceptable agreements with third parties.  Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2009.
 
This Eagle Eye provides updated guidance for the first quarter and the full year 2010.
 
Performance Update
 
Costs:  Unit cost forecasts are attached.  
 
Revenue:  First quarter mainline unit revenue is expected to increase between 6.5% and 7.5% year over year while first quarter consolidated unit revenue is expected to increase between 6.8% and 7.8%.  In total, Cargo and Other Revenue is anticipated to increase between 4.1% and 5.1% relative to first quarter 2009.
 
Liquidity: AMR expects to end the first quarter with a cash and short-term investment balance of approximately $4.9 billion, including approximately $460 million in restricted cash and short-term investments.  
 
Christopher Ducey
Managing Director, Investor Relations
 
AMR EAGLE EYE
                         
                             
Fuel Forecast (based on 3/8/2010 market prices)
                         
                             
Fuel Hedge Position:
                         
 
1Q10: 30% hedged with an average cap of $2.54 ($99 crude equivalent) with 27% subject to a floor of $1.83 ($69 crude equivalent)
 
 
2010: 30% hedged with an average cap of $2.45 ($94 crude equivalent) with 29% subject to a floor of $1.81 ($67 crude equivalent)
 
                             
AMR Fuel Price (Including Effective Hedges and Taxes) and Consumption
                 
   
Actual
 
Forecast
 
   
Jan
   
Feb
 
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
 
Fuel Price (dollars/gal)
  2.27       2.21     2.29       2.26       2.33  
 
Fuel Consumption (MM gals)
  227.8       201.5     231.4       660.7       2,766.1  
                                       
Unit Cost Forecast (cents)
                                   
                                       
AMR Consolidated Cost per ASM
                                   
   
Actual
 
Forecast
 
   
Jan
   
Feb
 
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
 
AMR Cost per ASM
  13.56       14.11     13.22       13.61       13.24  
 
AMR Cost per ASM (ex-special items) 1/ 2/
  13.17       14.11     13.22       13.47       13.21  
 
AMR Cost per ASM (ex-fuel and special items) 1/ 2/
  9.38       10.40     9.39       9.69       9.31  
                                       
American Mainline Cost per ASM
                                   
   
Actual
 
Forecast
 
   
Jan
   
Feb
 
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
 
AA Cost per ASM
  12.92       13.44     12.59       12.96       12.63  
 
AA Cost per ASM (ex-special items) 1/ 2/
  12.50       13.44     12.59       12.82       12.60  
 
AA Cost per ASM (ex-fuel and special items) 1/ 2/
  8.82       9.85     8.89       9.16       8.85  
                                       
 Notes:
 
 
1Q10 unit cost increase in ex-fuel and special items unit cost versus previous guidance is due to cost headwinds associated with weather and natural disasters, the phasing of maintenance events and planned asset sales, foreign exchange expense, and revenue-related expenses.  We expect unit costs for 2Q10 through 4Q10 to be consistent with previous guidance.
 
                                       
 
1/ The Company believes that unit costs excluding fuel and/or special items is a useful measurement to investors in monitoring the Company's ongoing cost performance.
 
                                       
 
2/ As previously disclosed, the Company expects to have special items of approximately $53 million in the first quarter related to the devaluation by the Venezuelan Government of its currency from 2.15 bolivars per U.S. dollar to 4.30 bolivars per U.S. dollar. The Company does not expect any significant ongoing impact of the currency devaluation, but there can be no assurances to that effect.
 
                                       
Capacity and Traffic Forecast (millions)
                                   
                                       
AA Mainline Operations
                                   
   
Actual
 
Forecast
 
   
Jan
   
Feb
 
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
 
ASMs
  12,709       11,188     12,866       36,763       153,276  
 
  Domestic
  7,847       6,932     8,011       22,789       92,694  
 
  International
  4,862       4,256     4,855       13,974       60,582  
                                       
 
Traffic
  9,678       8,443     10,508       28,629       124,817  
                                       
Regional Affiliate Operations
                                   
   
Actual
 
Forecast
 
   
Jan
   
Feb
 
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
 
ASMs
  951       840     977       2,768       12,336  
                                       
 
Traffic
  602       558     699       1,859       8,899  
                                       
Below the Line Income/Expenses & Taxes
                                   
                                       
 
Total Other Income(Expense) is estimated at ($206) million in the first quarter of 2010.
                 
 
 
AMR EAGLE EYE
                                     
                                           
Share Count (millions)
                         
                                           
  1Q10                          
  Earnings    
Basic
   
Diluted
                         
  $54 million and over       333       392                          
  $0-$53 million       333       345                          
  Loss       333       333                          
                             
  FY2010                          
  Earnings    
Basic
   
Diluted
                         
  $213 million and over       333       392                          
  $0-212 million       333       345                          
  Loss       333       333                          
                                                 
Reconciliation to GAAP
                         
                                                 
                   
Actual
   
Forecast
 
                   
Jan
   
Feb
   
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
Cents
                                                   
AMR CASM
              13.56       14.11       13.22       13.61       13.24  
Special Items CASM
              0.39       -       -       0.14       0.03  
AMR CASM Excluding Special Items
              13.17       14.11       13.22       13.47       13.21  
                                                         
Fuel CASM
              3.79       3.71       3.83       3.78       3.90  
AMR CASM Excluding Fuel and Special Items
              9.38       10.40       9.39       9.69       9.31  
                                                         
                   
Actual
    Forecast  
                   
Jan
   
Feb
   
Mar
      1Q10       2010  
Cents
                                                       
AA CASM
              12.92       13.44       12.59       12.96       12.63  
Special Items CASM
              0.42       -       -       0.14       0.03  
AA CASM Excluding Special Items
              12.50       13.44       12.59       12.82       12.60  
                                                         
Fuel CASM
              3.68       3.59       3.70       3.66       3.75  
AA CASM Excluding Fuel and Special Items
              8.82       9.85       8.89       9.16       8.85