UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
SCHEDULE 14A
Proxy Statement Pursuant to Section 14(a) of the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934
Filed by the Registrant |
Filed by a Party other than the Registrant |
Check the appropriate box:
Preliminary Proxy Statement |
Confidential, for Use of the Commission Only (as permitted by Rule 14a-6(e)(2)) |
Definitive Proxy Statement |
Definitive Additional Materials |
Soliciting Material Pursuant to §240.14a-12 |
THE TOPPS COMPANY, INC.
(Name of Registrant as Specified In Its Charter)
(Name of Person(s) Filing Proxy Statement, if Other Than the Registrant)
Payment of Filing Fee (Check the appropriate box):
No fee required. |
Fee computed on table below per Exchange Act Rules 14a-6(i)(1) and 0-11. |
(1) | Title of each class of securities to which transaction applies: |
Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share
(2) | Aggregate number of securities to which transaction applies: |
41,678,612 shares of Common Stock of The Topps Company, Inc. (includes 2,938,440 shares underlying options to purchase Common Stock, of which options to purchase 2,261,124 shares are in-the-money and eligible to receive consideration in the transaction, and 22,407 shares of restricted stock)
(3) | Per unit price or other underlying value of transaction computed pursuant to Exchange Act Rule 0-11 (set forth the amount on which the filing fee is calculated and state how it was determined): |
(4) | Proposed maximum aggregate value of transaction: |
$385,591,102
(5) | Total fee paid: |
$11,831.78
Fee paid previously with preliminary materials. |
Check box if any part of the fee is offset as provided by Exchange Act Rule 0-11(a)(2) and identify the filing for which the offsetting fee was paid previously. Identify the previous filing by registration statement number, or the form or schedule and the date of its filing. |
(1) | Amount Previously Paid: |
(2) | Form, Schedule or Registration Statement No.: |
(3) | Filing Party: |
(4) | Date Filed: |
The Tornante/MDP Transaction:
A Good Deal For Topps Stockholders
Updated Presentation to Investors
September 2007
The Topps Company, Inc.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation may contain statements that are not historical facts and are considered forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995. These
forward-looking statements are identified by their use of the terms: expect(s), intend(s), may, plan(s), should, could, will,
believe(s), anticipate(s),
estimate(s), or similar terms. The Topps Company, Inc. (Topps or the Company) or its representatives may also make similar
forward-looking statements from time to time orally or in writing. You are
cautioned that these forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks,
uncertainties, or other factors that may cause (and in some cases have caused) actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements.
These
risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the following:
These factors may not constitute all factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in any forward-looking statement. Topps operates in a
continually
changing business environment and new factors emerge from time to time. The Company cannot predict such factors nor can its assess the impact, if any, of
such factors on its financial position or its results of operations or whether or when the
merger will be consummated. Accordingly, forward-looking statements should
not be relied upon as a predictor of actual results.
Many of the factors that will determine the Companys future results or whether or when the merger will be consummated are beyond its ability to control or predict. In
light of the significant
uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements contained herein, you should not rely on forward-looking statements.
Additional factors that may affect the future results of Topps are set forth in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which
are available via the Internet
at www.topps.com or
www.sec.gov. Neither Topps nor any of its representatives undertakes any obligation to publicly update or revise
any forward-looking statements,
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise the otherwise.
the risk that the merger transaction described in this presentation may not be consummated in a timely manner, if at all;
the inability to obtain the required vote for approval of the Companys stockholders in order to consummate the merger;
the outcome of any legal proceeding instituted against Topps and/or others in connection with the proposed merger;
the failure of the conditions to the consummation of the merger to be satisfied;
the termination of the merger agreement prior to the consummation of the merger;
notwithstanding the fact that there is no financing condition to the merger, the inability of Tornante/MDP to obtain the financing required to pay the merger
consideration and/or to otherwise consummate
the merger and the other transactions contemplated by the merger agreement;
the businesses of Topps suffering as a result of uncertainty surrounding the merger, including, but not limited to, potential difficulties in employee retention, adverse
effects on client or customer
relationships and disruption of current plans or operations, or, if the merger agreement is terminated or the merger otherwise fails to
occur, the uncertainties associated with any anticipated, potential or actual subsequent attempt to acquire Topps;
the diversion of Topps managements attention from ongoing business operations;
the enactment or imposition of future regulatory or legislative actions that adversely affect Topps or any industry or jurisdiction in which it operates its businesses;
the adverse effects of other economic, business and/or competitive factors; and
other risks detailed in the Companys current filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recent filings on Form 10-K or Form 10-Q,
which discuss these
and other important risk factors concerning the Companys operations.
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
Important Information has been Filed with the SEC
In connection with the proposed merger agreement, Topps has filed a definitive proxy statement with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Investors and security holders are advised
to read the definitive proxy statement, because it contains important information
about the merger and the parties thereto. Investors and security holders may obtain free copies of the definitive proxy statement and other
documents filed by Topps at
its website at www.topps.com
or the Securities and Exchange Commissions website at
www.sec.gov. The
definitive proxy statement and such other documents may also be obtained for free from Topps by directing
such request to Topps proxy
solicitor, MacKenzie Partners, Inc. at 105 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016, telephone (800) 322-2885.
Topps and its directors, executive officers and other members of its management and employees may be deemed to be participants in the
solicitation of proxies from its stockholders in connection
with the proposed merger. Information concerning the interests of these
participants in the solicitation, which may be different
than those of Topps stockholders generally, is set forth in Topps proxy statements
and Annual Reports on Form 10-K that have been previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and in the definitive proxy
statement relating to the
merger.
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
Agenda
I.
One More Look At The Tornante/MDP Transaction
II.
Why The Board Recommends The Transaction To Topps Stockholders
III.
An Extensive And Thorough Process Led To The Transaction
IV.
Upper Deck Deceived Topps And Its Stockholders - It Is Time To Move On
V.
Dont Gamble Your Investment With Crescendo
VI.
Why The Transaction Is Good Value To Stockholders
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
1
One More Look At The Tornante/MDP Transaction
$191 million (54% of acquisition financing)
Equity Contribution
$386.3 million
Equity Value (1)
$304.2 million
Enterprise Value (2)
EV/Sales = 0.93x
EV/EBITDA = 13.1x
P/E = 27.1x
FY2007 Transaction
Multiples (3)
Buyer Group
Madison Dearborn Partners, LLC (MDP) One of the largest and most experienced private
equity
investment firms in the United States with more than $14 billion of equity capital under
management
The Transaction is NOT a management-led buyout
$9.75 cash offer per share for outstanding common stock of Topps
Price per Share
Consortium formed by:
The Tornante Company, LLC (Tornante) Privately held investment company founded in
2005 by Michael Eisner,
former Chairman and CEO of The Walt Disney Company. Tornante
makes investments in and incubates companies and opportunities in the media and Entertainment
space
___________________________
1.
Based on 38,888,150 shares outstanding, 2,754,639 options outstanding of which 2,087,291 are in-the-money and eligible to receive consideration in the transaction and 7,502 restricted shares, as
of August
15, 2007.
2.
Based on a net cash position of $81.5 million as of June 2, 2007, adjusted for $0.6 million of proceeds from exercise of stock options since the reporting of Q1 FY2008 financials.
3.
Based on FY2007 Net Sales of $326.7 million, EBITDA of $23.2 million and diluted EPS of $0.36 per share; Financials are adjusted for pre-tax exceptional items.
Terms of the Tornante/MDP Transaction (the Transaction)
2
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
Why The Board Recommends The Transaction To Topps
Stockholders
The Board of Directors firmly believes that the Tornante/MDP merger is in the best interest of stockholders
and
therefore
recommends to vote FOR the Tornante/MDP merger.
Crescendo is NOT a REAL alternative but a BAD GAMBLE that stockholders should reject
Fundamental lack of understanding of Topps business
Unrealistic price and margin expectations
Lack of credibility due to Ajdlers contradictory statements and actions
Crescendo Is
A BAD
GAMBLE
Upper Deck DECEIVED you and us and it is time to move on
Topps negotiated in good faith in an effort to get to an agreement
Topps agreed to all conditions in Upper Decks Tender Offer
Upper Deck was NEVER prepared to pay you $10.75
Upper Deck unilaterally terminated its Tender Offer
Upper Deck
Deceived You
And Us
The transaction offers GOOD value to ALL Topps stockholders
Certainty of value in a volatile credit market
Attractive valuation multiples and premium
ONLY binding offer received as a result of an extensive and thorough process of nearly 3 years
40-day Go-Shop validated process through effective market check (107 potential bidders)
Good Value For
All Stockholders
Topps Management led a very SUCCESSFUL restructuring effort
Instrumental in receiving the attractive $9.75 price
However, significant company-specific and broader industry challenges remain
Topps
Management
Success
3
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
An Extensive And Thorough Process Led To The
Transaction
The transaction is the result of an extensive and thorough process that started nearly 3 years ago.
The $9.75 offer by Tornante/MDP is the ONLY binding offer received.
2004
2005
2006
2007
Strategic Review
Confectionery
Sale Process
Sale Process
Tornante/MDP
Transaction
Upper Deck
Unsolicited Approach
February 2005
Lehman Brothers
appointed
(months prior to
Proxy I)
Begin sale of
Confectionery
September 2005
End of
Confectionery
sale process
Launch of
restructuring
August 2005
Parthenon
presents findings
to Board
March 6, 2007
Announced
transaction
with
Tornante/
MDP
May 2006
Topps receives
unsolicited
approaches
Buyer A, Buyer
B, Tornante/MDP
May 24, 2007
Unsolicited
indication of
interest
Continued
diligence
review
August 2006
Dissenting
stockholders
elected to the
Board
Jun-Nov 2006
Buyer A (Jun06)
and Buyer B
(Nov06) decline
continued interest
in Topps
Proxy I
Proxy II
Proxy III
July 2004
Parthenon
retained to
perform strategic
review
Go
Shop
April 14, 2007
End of Go-
Shop period
No superior
offers
emerged
June 25, 2007
Launched
highly
conditional
$10.75
Tender Offer
June 14, 2007
Delaware
Court
preliminary
injunction
August 6, 2007
Expiration of
HSR review
period
August 21, 2007
Upper Deck
unilaterally
withdrew
Tender Offer
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
4
Upper Deck Deceived Topps And Its Stockholders — It Is
Time
To Move On
Upper Deck due diligence excuse was a PHONY argument
Data Room: 1,000+ documents, almost 30,000 pages, access since March 2007
P&L Information: provided by division, geography, business unit, product line, product, quarter, historical
and projected
Player Agreements: provided form of agreement, list of individual players
Pricing matrix: same suppliers used by Upper Deck
League/PA Agreements: provided in redacted form (ONLY excluding most sensitive data, such as royalty
rate, minimum $ commitment)
ALL information given in FULL to CIBC
Upper Deck conducted limited review of Confectionery, NO questions asked (Confectionery is nearly
½
of Topps business)
Topps publicly promised to give Upper Deck ALL information PRIOR to signing
Due Diligence:
A Phony
Argument
Topps negotiated in good faith and used best efforts to reach an agreement
Topps gave Upper Deck a clear roadmap to get to an agreement on multiple occasions
Topps agreed to all conditions in Upper Decks Tender Offer
Topps agreed to give Upper Deck ALL information PRIOR to signing
Topps publicly filed the merger agreement it was prepared to sign
Topps acted in the best interest of its stockholders to reach an agreement
Topps
Negotiated In
Good Faith
Upper Deck was NEVER prepared to pay you $10.75
Following HSR approval, there was no excuse for Upper Deck not to complete offer immediately
All conditions were in Upper Deck control
Upper Deck unilaterally terminated its Tender Offer
Upper Decks conduct has been manipulative and not in the best interest of Topps stockholders
An Illusory
Offer
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
5
Dont Gamble Your Investment With Crescendo
Ajdlers inconsistent statements and actions question Crescendos credibility
Recommended special dividend in lieu of buyback ($8.91-$9.08 trading price did not justify buyback)
Suggested that a $10.00 price may be so high as to dissuade potential bidders
When invited to negotiate with Tornante/MDP, preferred carping as a backseat driver
Questionable
Credibility
Crescendos motives are self-serving and NOT in the best interest of all of Topps stockholders
Stated intention to take over the Company WITHOUT paying a premium to stockholders
Crescendo should make an offer for Topps if it REALLY believed its wild claims
Topps Board is TRULY committed to maximize value for ALL stockholders - Crescendo is NOT
Self-serving
Motives
Unrealistic margin/price expectations NO understanding of Topps positioning and industry economics
Expectation of profitability in line with Hershey, Wrigley, Cadbury, Tootsie Roll is meaningless
Wild $16-$18 share price claim based on aggressive and questionable assumptions
Implies forward P/E of 20.0x to 22.0x (well above comparable companies)
Assumes 120% EBITDA growth by FY2010
Buyback of 1/3 of shares at $10.00 to $10.50 per share is INFERIOR to the $9.75 cash offer for ALL
Topps shares
Implied $9.41 average value to stockholders (1)
Unrealistic
Expectations
Crescendo is NOT a REAL alternative but a BAD GAMBLE for Topps stockholders
NO turnaround plan and NO management team
Rosenfeld and Ajdler have NO relevant operational experience
Only operational suggestions taken from strategic plan of Topps management
Crescendo Is A
BAD GAMBLE
Crescendo is a BAD GAMBLE - Its plan is fraught with risk and its claims on value are NOT credible.
Crescendo wants control of Topps WITHOUT paying stockholders for it.
___________________________
1.
$110m share buyback at $10.00-$10.50 financed with cash and new debt, assuming 9.0x-10.0x EV/FY2008 EBITDA post buy-back.
6
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
Why The Transaction Is Good Value To Stockholders
7
Management Led A Very Successful Restructuring But
Significant Business Risks Remain Going Forward
Managements successful turnaround has driven top-line growth and margin expansion.
However, Topps is facing significant company-specific and broader industry challenges.
Topps Entertainment suffered from continued decline of U.S. Sports Cards market over last decade
Recent licenses changes designed to address negative market trends
Benefited from one-off disproportionate reallocation of market share
Uncertain future growth depending on bringing kids back
Ongoing turnaround of WizKids still largely unproven
Entertainment
Uncertainty
Topps Confectionery is a sub-scale player in an increasingly competitive industry
Declining Lollipop market segment
Product placement at highly competitive front-end points of sale
Environment of increasing raw material prices
Growth and profitability highly dependant on success of new products
Heavy reliance on one third-party supplier
Confectionery
Challenges
Managements successful turnaround has driven top-line growth and margin expansion and ultimately
resulted in the attractive $9.75 per share offer
Two business segments with direct P&L responsibility
Substantial reduction of corporate overheads
Confectionery - key hires, SKU rationalization, focus on product development (fewer, bigger, better )
Entertainment - changed U.S. Sports Trading Cards industry to stabilize market, successful high-end
products,
strategic initiatives to attract kids back
Management
Successful
Restructuring
8
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
$0
$150
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
1
2
3
4
Topps Confectionery Is A Subscale Player In A Highly
Competitive Industry
-9.9%
-8.6%
-7.6%
-1.4%
-0.7%
0.8%
5.9%
14.2%
14.7%
23.5%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
U.S. Non Chocolate Confectionery Market (1)
___________________________
NOTE: Source: AC Nielsen.
1.
Change in value for key NCC segments for the period 2004 to 2006.
U.S. NCC Brands Ranking by Sales
($ millions)
Competitors Brands
Topps Brands
Non Choc. Mint
Licorice
Marshmallow
Novelty
Soft/ Chewy
Jelly Beans
Hard Candy
Lollipop
Assortment
Gummi
Sub-scale player in the $2.5bn U.S. Non
Chocolate Candy (NCC) market
Flat market drives increasing competition
Larger and stronger competitors
#17 in U.S. NCC (1.3% share)
#2 in Lollipop (21.1% share)
Focused on rapidly declining Lollipop segment
-9.9% decline in the period 2004 to 2006
Limited/no presence in growing segments
Increasing pressure for shelf-space
Pressure from larger competitors
Limited relevance of brands to channel
High exposure to Wal-Mart (and Sams)
Challenged economics
Need for competitive front-end placement
Increasing raw material prices
Heavy reliance on third party supplier
9
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
Topps Entertainment Benefited From Topps-led Industry
Changes But The Future Remains Highly Uncertain
-25%
0%
25%
50%
'93
'94
'95
'96
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
U.S. Sports Trading Cards Market
___________________________
NOTE: SCA Annual Data; Company data.
0
500
1,000
(8.1%) CAGR
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007E
($ millions)
0
50
100
# of Releases
U.S. Sports Trading Cards Sales
# of Baseball releases per year
Topps - U.S. Sports Net Sales Growth % (FY93-FY07)
Reduced # of licensees:
Baseball: 4 to 2
Football: 4 to 3
Basketball: 3 to 2
Steady decline of U.S. Sports Trading Cards
market in last decade
-8.1% CAGR decline 1992 to 2007
Decline driven by product proliferation and
average price increases
Many kids have left the market
Changes in licensing structure designed to
stabilize market
BUT future
growth is
uncertain
Reduced number of licensees and releases
Topps explosive growth due to
disproportionate reallocation of share
Future growth predicated on bringing kids
back into market
WizKids turnaround still largely unproven
Stabilize core Collectible Miniature Games
Collectible Card Games is attractive, BUT
Segment is highly competitive
Requires significant investments
10
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
Financial Projections Are Underpinned By Critical
Assumptions Characterized By High Execution Risk
___________________________
NOTE: CAGR is Compounded Annual Growth rate for the period 2007-2010.
MANAGEMENT Case
ADJUSTED Case
143
148
151
179
184
199
206
154
148
145
146
144
144
147
147
63
40
15
2
151
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
Net Sales, $m
290
295
295
327
343
388
423
294
143
148
151
179
178
189
192
149
144
142
146
144
144
147
147
43
28
12
2
151
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
Net Sales, $m
290
295
295
327
332
361
383
294
Confectionery Core
Confectionery New Products
Entertainment
EBITDA ($m)
Margin %
27.4
9.5%
21.9
7.4%
21.5
7.3%
5.6
1.9%
23.2
7.1%
41.0
10.6%
51.2
12.1%
29.4
8.6%
27.4
9.5%
21.9
7.4%
21.5
7.3%
5.6
1.9%
23.2
7.1%
32.8
9.1%
38.4
10.0%
25.7
7.7%
Fixed cost leverage Sales growth key to profitability
$28m EBITDA growth in MANAGEMENT Case
New Confectionery Products account for $20m
30% EBITDA CAGR in projected years
$15m EBITDA growth in ADJUSTED Case
New Confectionery Products account for $13m
18% EBITDA CAGR in projected years
$120m cumulative Net Sales in MANAGEMENT Case
Represent 87% of Confectionery growth (64% of
consolidated growth) in projected years
$85m cumulative Net Sales in ADJUSTED Case
Represent 95% of Confectionery growth (72% of
consolidated growth) in projected years
+9.0% Net Sales CAGR in MANAGEMENT Case
+13.6% Confectionery
+4.8% Entertainment
+5.5% Net Sales CAGR in ADJUSTED Case
+8.9% Confectionery
+2.4% Entertainment
Key
Assumptions
Profitability
New Confectionery Products
Growth
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
11
Latest Business Update Highlights Shift In Business Mix
Business Update
___________________________
NOTE: FY2008 Latest Projection includes Q1 FY2008 actual results and latest management projections for the remainder of the year.
1.
Proxy and merger costs.
FY2007
FY 2008 Latest
MANAGEMENT
ADJUSTED
($ millions)
Actual
Projection
Case
Case
% Tot.
% Tot.
FY2008
% Tot.
FY2008
% Tot.
Confectionery
148.2
45.4%
144.4
42.0%
159.2
46.4%
154.4
46.5%
Y-o-y Growth %
(2.5%)
7.5%
4.2%
Entertainment
178.5
54.6%
199.0
58.0%
183.9
53.6%
177.8
53.5%
Y-o-y Growth %
11.5%
3.0%
(0.4%)
Net Sales
326.7
343.4
343.1
332.2
Y-o-y Growth %
5.1%
5.0%
1.7%
Confectionery
47.1
49.8%
44.2
43.4%
50.3
49.0%
46.8
48.5%
Margin %
31.8%
30.6%
31.6%
30.3%
Entertainment
47.5
50.2%
57.8
56.6%
52.3
51.0%
49.8
51.5%
Margin %
26.6%
29.0%
28.5%
28.0%
Contributed Margin
94.5
102.0
102.6
96.5
Margin %
28.9%
29.7%
29.9%
29.1%
Confectionery
23.5
49.7%
20.2
38.0%
25.4
47.6%
22.4
46.0%
Margin %
15.8%
14.0%
16.0%
14.5%
Entertainment
23.7
50.3%
32.8
62.0%
28.0
52.4%
26.3
54.0%
Margin %
13.3%
16.5%
15.2%
14.8%
EBITDA, Segment
47.2
53.0
53.4
48.6
Margin %
14.5%
15.4%
15.6%
14.6%
Indirect OH
(21.7)
(20.9)
(21.1)
(21.1)
Indirect Bonus
(2.2)
(2.5)
(2.8)
(1.9)
EBITDA
23.2
29.5
29.4
25.7
Margin %
7.1%
8.6%
8.6%
7.7%
D&A
(5.2)
(4.7)
(4.8)
(4.7)
EBIT
18.0
24.9
24.6
21.0
Exceptional Items
(1)
(4.7)
(5.6)
-
-
Interest Income, Net
3.3
3.5
2.7
2.7
Profit Before Tax
16.6
22.8
27.3
23.7
Income Taxes
(5.4)
(9.4)
(8.3)
(7.2)
Tax Rate %
32.3%
41.5%
30.4%
30.4%
Net Income
11.2
13.3
19.0
16.5
Substantial shift in business mix
Entertainment accounts for 58% of Net Sales and 62% of
EBITDA
Entertainment valuation multiples are lower than
Confectionery multiples
Entertainment stronger than expected
+11.5% growth vs. FY2007, in excess of
MANAGEMENT Case and ADJUSTED Case
29.0% Contribution Margin
Continued market share gains, some evidence of limited
market growth
Continued decline in Confectionery performance
Substantial underperformance vs. both MANAGEMENT
Case and ADJUSTED Case
Significant plan miss due to Vertigo and Baby Bottle Pop
Slower distribution built and initial turn rate affecting
Vertigo aggressive performance targets
Latest FY2008 Vertigo Gross Sales estimate of $6.4m
($15.4m in MANAGEMENT Case and $12.8m in
ADJUSTED Case)
Partially mitigated by modest improvement in other core
brands
Increasing uncertainty of future performance
Confectionery key for sustainable revenue/margin growth
New products account for approximately 90% of
planned growth
Required turnaround of core business
Sustainable Entertainment growth requires reversal of
systemic industry trends
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
12
The Benchmarking Of Topps Shows The Value Of The
Tornante/MDP Offer
___________________________
NOTES: Source: Company filings, Bloomberg, Consensus estimates; Exchange rate as of September 7, 2007 (£/$ = 2.0252);
CY2007 is calendar year ending December 31, 2007, except for Topps which financials
are according to FY2008 Latest Projection (FY ending February 28, 2008).
1.
Share prices as of September 7, 2007, except for Topps, which share price is $9.75 (corresponding to the terms of the Tornante/MDP merger cash offer).
2.
Historical Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the period December 31, 2004 to December 31, 2006, except for Topps, which is for the period FY2005 (ending February 2005) to FY2007
(ending February 2007).
3.
Projected CAGR for the period December 31, 2006 to December 31, 2008, except for Topps, which is for the period FY2007 (ending February 2007) to FY2009 (ending February 2009).
Lack of comparable trading
companies for Topps as a
whole
Identified separate public
comparables for the
Confectionery and
Entertainment businesses
Comparable trading companies
are larger, more diversified
and more profitable than
Topps businesses
Stronger brands
Higher margins
Topps businesses should
trade at a discount
Entertainment companies
trade at valuation multiples
substantially lower than
Confectionery companies
Shift in Topps business mix
is detrimental to potential
value
ENTERTAINMENT
CONFECTIONERY
($ in millions)
Jakks
Tootsie
Cadbury
RC2
Pacific
Hasbro
Mattel
Roll
Hershey's
Wrigley
Schweppes
Scale
Topps Entertainment Net Sales
199.0
Topps Confectionery Net Sales
144.4
CY2007 Net Sales
$343.4
$493
$804
$3,631
$6,070
$498
$5,039
$5,278
$16,139
CY2007 EBITDA
$29.5
$85
$125
$630
$1,062
$96
$1,143
$1,179
$2,596
Market Cap
(1)
$386
$659
$626
$4,908
$8,498
$1,444
$10,359
$16,355
$23,942
Enterprise Value
$304
$627
$543
$4,717
$8,391
$1,392
$12,550
$17,401
$30,163
Historical 2 Year CAGR
(2)
Net Sales
5.4%
18.8%
15.4%
2.5%
5.2%
8.7%
5.8%
13.3%
11.1%
EBITDA
3.9%
17.1%
25.5%
9.1%
(0.7%)
0.2%
6.4%
11.2%
3.2%
Projected 2 Year CAGR
(3)
Net Sales
9.0%
0.4%
4.1%
5.3%
6.1%
0.7%
2.4%
10.0%
6.4%
EBITDA
32.9%
(3.9%)
4.7%
4.7%
12.3%
(0.9%)
0.7%
10.0%
5.8%
Profitablity
CY2007 EBITDA Margin %
8.6%
17.1%
15.5%
17.3%
17.5%
19.3%
22.7%
22.3%
16.1%
Valuation Multiples
EV/CY2007 EBITDA
10.3x
7.4x
4.4x
7.5x
7.9x
14.5x
11.0x
14.8x
11.6x
P/E CY2007
20.3x
14.4x
9.2x
13.4x
13.1x
23.9x
20.1x
26.2x
17.9x
ENTERTAINMENT
CONFECTIONERY
Median EV/CY2007 EBITDA
7.5x
13.0x
Median P/E CY2007
13.3x
22.0x
13
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
17.0x
8.5x
12.8x
12.8x
14.8x
10.6x
22.6x
13.1x
0.0x
5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
25.0x
N/A
N/A
($9.75 Offer)
Median
12.8x
The Transaction Offers Good Value To Topps Stockholders
CONFECTIONERY - Comparable Transactions
The $9.75 offer implies multiples that compare very favorably to comparable transactions, both for the
Confectionery business and for the Entertainment business.
___________________________
NOTE: Source: Company filings, press news; Calculation of the Median includes U.S. Companies only; EV/EBITDA multiples based on trailing EBITDA; Calculation of Median for Confectionery excludes the
Wrigley/Kraft Confectionery and the Cadbury/Adams transactions.
Entertainment - Comparable Transactions
Perfetti/
Van Melle
(Jan01)
CSM/
Socalbe
(Apr01)
Cadbury/
Dandys
(Sep02)
Cadbury/
Adams
(Dec02)
Wrigley/
Joyco
(Jan04)
Tootsie/
Concord
(Aug04)
Wrigley/
Kraft Conf.
(Nov04)
CVC/
CSM Conf.
(Dec04)
Perfetti/
Chupa Chups
(Jul06)
8.5x
7.8x
3.4x
7.5x
7.2x
7.6x
7.5x
7.0x
5.0x
3.9x
10.6x
8.7x
13.1x
0.0x
5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
($9.75 Offer)
Median
7.5x
Dorel/
Safety 1st
(Apr00)
JAKKS/
Toymax
(Feb02)
RC2/
Learning
(Feb03)
JAKKS/
Play Along
(Apr04)
RC2/
First
(Jun04)
RC2/
Mantis
(Jun04)
Bandai/
Namco
(May05)
Tomy/
Takara
(May05)
Mega Bloks/
Rose Art
(Jun05)
Vista/
Famosa
(Aug05)
Carlyle/
Britax
(Sep05)
JAKKS/
Creative
(Jan06)
Philips/
Avent
(May06)
Mustang/
Vermont
(May05)
Mattel/
Radica
(Jul06)
MGA/
Little Tikes
(Sep06)
Lack of comparable
transactions for Topps as a
whole
Identified separate
comparable transactions for
the Confectionery and
Entertainment businesses
Most Confectionery
transactions involve targets
that are larger, more
diversified and with stronger
market positions than Topps
Most Entertainment
transactions involve targets
similar in size and competitive
positioning to Topps
The $9.75 offer compares very
favorably
14
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)
The Board Recommends To Vote FOR The $9.75 Cash
Merger
The Board of Directors firmly believes that the Tornante/MDP merger is in the best interest of stockholders
and
therefore
recommends to vote FOR the Tornante/MDP merger.
Crescendo is NOT a REAL alternative but a BAD GAMBLE that stockholders should reject
Upper Deck DECEIVED you and us and it is time to move on
The Tornante/MDP merger offers GOOD value to ALL Topps stockholders
Topps Management led a very SUCCESSFUL restructuring effort
15
Presentation to Investors (September 2007)