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Redfin Reports Miami Is the Most Popular Metro For Relocators, With Homebuyers Drawn to Comparatively Low Costs

A record 25% of Redfin.com home searchers looked to move to a different U.S. metro in January, many in search of relatively affordable housing

(NASDAQ: RDFN) —A record one-quarter (24.9%) of Redfin.com users nationwide looked to move to a different metro area in January as remote work and elevated housing costs drove homebuyers to relocate. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

The share of relocating homebuyers is up from 24.5% in the fourth quarter, 22.8% a year ago and roughly 18% before the pandemic.

High mortgage rates have caused many would-be homebuyers to back out of the market, with overall U.S. home sales down considerably from a year ago. But among the people who are buying homes, a record portion are relocating. That’s largely due to the ongoing affordability crisis.

The typical monthly housing payment is 26% higher than it was a year ago. That’s because mortgage rates remain near the 20-year high hit in November and in much of the country, home prices are still up from a year ago despite the cooling market.

High housing costs—along with the rising price of other goods and services due to inflation—make relatively affordable destinations attractive, especially for remote workers with the flexibility to relocate. While home prices soared last year in many popular migration destinations like Sacramento and Phoenix, those places are now among those where prices are dropping fastest. Plus, they’re much more affordable than the places people are leaving. Los Angeles, where the typical home sells for about $800,000, was the most common origin for homebuyers moving to Las Vegas and Dallas, both popular destinations where the typical home sells for roughly half of that.

Miami reclaims status as top migration hotspot

Miami was the most popular migration destination in January, claiming the top spot for the first time since August. Popularity is determined by net inflow, a measure of how many more Redfin.com users are looking to move into an area than leave. Half of the 10 most popular destinations are in Florida: Tampa, Cape Coral, Orlando and North Port-Sarasota are also on the list.

Homes in Florida certainly aren’t cheap; the typical Miami home sold for $470,000 in January, compared with the $383,000 national median. But they do tend to be less expensive than the places people are coming from. The typical home in New York, the top origin for homebuyers relocating to Miami, sold for $650,000 in January. Plus, Florida’s overall cost of living is lower because it doesn’t have a state income tax.

“A lot of buyers have flocked into coastal Florida from out of town over the last several months,” said Elena Fleck, a Redfin agent in Palm Beach, which is part of the larger Miami metro area. “Buyers moving in from places like New York and San Francisco are helping the local market recover from last fall’s housing downturn. They’re not nearly as fazed by high mortgage rates because homes here are so much less expensive than their hometowns, and they get larger lots, pools, nice weather and lower taxes.”

After Miami, Sacramento, Las Vegas and Phoenix were the most popular destinations. Those are all mainstays on the migration hotspot list because, like Florida, buyers moving in from expensive coastal cities can find bigger homes for less money in warm climates. The typical home in eight of the 10 most popular destinations is less expensive than the typical home in the most common origin.

But fewer Redfin.com users looked to move to eight of the 10 most popular destinations than a year earlier, a shift that’s due to overall homebuying demand coming down from its high.

Top 10 Metros Homebuyers Are Moving Into, by Net Inflow

Net inflow = Number of Redfin.com home searchers looking to move into a metro area, minus the number of searchers looking to leave

Rank

Metro*

Net Inflow, Jan. 2023

Net Inflow, Jan. 2022

Top Origin

Top Out-of-State Origin

 

1

Miami, FL

7,200

11,400

New York, NY

New York, NY

2

Sacramento, CA

6,200

7,200

San Francisco, CA

Chicago, IL

3

Las Vegas, NV

5,700

6,900

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

4

Phoenix, AZ

5,500

9,900

Seattle, WA

Seattle, WA

5

Tampa, FL

5,200

7,500

New York, NY

New York, NY

6

Dallas, TX

4,400

7,300

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

7

Cape Coral, FL

4,200

5,500

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

8

Orlando, FL

3,800

1,700

New York, NY

New York, NY

9

North Port-Sarasota, FL

3,800

5,300

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

10

Houston, TX

3,700

2,900

New York, NY

New York, NY

*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users searching to and from the region in November 2022-January 2023

Homebuyers are leaving coastal California more than anywhere else

More homebuyers looked to leave San Francisco and Los Angeles than any other U.S. metro in January. Next come New York, Washington, D.C., Chicago and several other major cities. This ranking is determined by net outflow, a measure of how many more people are looking to leave a metro than move in.

Expensive coastal areas are perennially on the list of places people are looking to leave, a trend that has been exacerbated by remote work.

There are fewer homebuyers leaving most of those places than a year earlier, reflecting the slow housing market. The net outflow from seven of the top 10 metros was smaller in the fourth quarter than a year earlier. The slowdown was especially pronounced in Seattle, which had a net outflow of roughly 3,400 in January, down from 19,000 a year earlier.

Top 10 Metros Homebuyers Are Leaving, by Net Outflow

Net outflow = Number of Redfin.com home searchers looking to leave a metro area, minus the number of searchers looking to move in

Rank

Metro*

Net Outflow, Jan. 2023

Net Outflow, Jan. 2022

Portion of Local Users Searching Elsewhere

Top Destination

Top Out-of-State Destination

 

1

San Francisco, CA

30,200

41,500

26%

Sacramento, CA

Seattle, WA

2

Los Angeles, CA

20,100

31,000

18%

Las Vegas, NV

Las Vegas, NV

3

New York, NY

19,800

19,700

27%

Miami, FL

Miami, FL

4

Washington, D.C.

14,900

15,200

18%

Miami, FL

Miami, FL

5

Chicago, IL

7,900

6,400

18%

Cape Coral, FL

Cape Coral, FL

6

Boston, MA

5,600

9,400

20%

Portland, ME

Portland, ME

7

Seattle, WA

3,400

19,000

19%

Phoenix, AZ

Phoenix, AZ

8

Denver, CO

3,300

3,400

33%

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

9

Hartford, CT

2,400

600

74%

Boston, MA

Boston, MA

10

Detroit, MI

1,400

250

25%

Grand Rapids, MI

Grand Rapids, MI

*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users searching to and from the region in November 2022-January 2023

 

To view the full report, including charts and methodology, please visit:

https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-migration-trends-january-2023

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home can have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 5,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

Contacts

Redfin Journalist Services:

Kenneth Applewhaite, 206-588-6863

press@redfin.com

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