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3 Out-of-Favor Stocks with Warning Signs

PCTY Cover Image

Rock-bottom prices don't always mean rock-bottom businesses. The stocks we're examining today have all touched their 52-week lows, creating a classic investor's dilemma: bargain opportunity or value trap?

At StockStory, we dig beneath the surface of price movements to uncover whether a company's fundamentals justify its current valuation or suggest hidden potential. That said, here are three stocks where the outlook is warranted and some alternatives with better fundamentals.

Paylocity (PCTY)

One-Month Return: +0.2%

Operating in a field where companies traditionally juggled multiple disconnected systems, Paylocity (NASDAQ: PCTY) provides cloud-based human capital management and payroll software solutions that help businesses manage their workforce and HR processes.

Why Does PCTY Worry Us?

  1. ARR growth averaged a weak 14.9% over the last year, suggesting that competition is pulling some attention away from its software
  2. Estimated sales growth of 7.6% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Operating margin was unchanged over the last year, suggesting it failed to gain leverage on its fixed costs

Paylocity’s stock price of $174.32 implies a valuation ratio of 5.1x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with PCTY, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Arcos Dorados (ARCO)

One-Month Return: -2.3%

Translating to “Golden Arches” in Spanish, Arcos Dorados (NYSE: ARCO) is the master franchisee of the McDonald's brand in Latin America and the Caribbean, responsible for its operations and growth in over 20 countries.

Why Are We Hesitant About ARCO?

  1. Gross margin of 13% is below its competitors, leaving less money for marketing and promotions
  2. Poor expense management has led to an operating margin of 6.7% that is below the industry average
  3. Poor free cash flow margin of -0.5% for the last two years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends

At $6.68 per share, Arcos Dorados trades at 0.3x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than ARCO.

Schneider (SNDR)

One-Month Return: -13.4%

Employing thousands of drivers across the country to make deliveries, Schneider (NYSE: SNDR) makes full truckload and intermodal deliveries regionally and across borders.

Why Do We Avoid SNDR?

  1. Annual sales declines of 4.6% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
  2. Falling earnings per share over the last five years has some investors worried as stock prices ultimately follow EPS over the long term
  3. Diminishing returns on capital suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

Schneider is trading at $21.15 per share, or 19.4x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including SNDR in your portfolio.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

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