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NMI Holdings (NASDAQ:NMIH) Surprises With Q3 Sales

NMIH Cover Image

Mortgage insurance provider NMI Holdings (NASDAQ: NMIH) reported Q3 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 7.6% year on year to $178.7 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.21 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy NMI Holdings? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

NMI Holdings (NMIH) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Net Premiums Earned: $151.3 million (5.6% year-on-year growth)
  • Revenue: $178.7 million vs analyst estimates of $177.4 million (7.6% year-on-year growth, 0.7% beat)
  • Combined Ratio: 31.5% (400 basis point year-on-year decrease)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.21 vs analyst estimates of $1.21 (in line)
  • Book Value per Share: $32.62 (17.9% year-on-year growth)
  • Market Capitalization: $2.85 billion
  • Adam Pollitzer, President and Chief Executive Officer of National MI, said, “In the third quarter, we again delivered strong operating performance, consistent growth in our high-quality insured portfolio, and standout financial results. Our products and the support we provide are more important today than ever before, and we’re delivering unique solutions for our customers and their borrowers. We have built an exceptionally high-quality book covered by a comprehensive set of risk transfer solutions, our credit performance continues to stand ahead, and we have a robust balance sheet supported by the significant earnings power of our platform. Looking forward, we’re well positioned to continue delivering differentiated growth, returns and value for our shareholders.”

    Company Overview

    Founded in the aftermath of the 2008 housing crisis to bring new capacity to the mortgage insurance market, NMI Holdings (NASDAQ: NMIH) provides mortgage insurance that protects lenders against losses when homebuyers default on their mortgage loans.

    Revenue Growth

    In general, insurance companies earn revenue from three primary sources. The first is the core insurance business itself, often called underwriting and represented in the income statement as premiums earned. The second source is investment income from investing the “float” (premiums collected upfront not yet paid out as claims) in assets such as fixed-income assets and equities. The third is fees from various sources such as policy administration, annuities, or other value-added services. Over the last five years, NMI Holdings grew its revenue at a solid 10.1% compounded annual growth rate. Its growth surpassed the average insurance company and shows its offerings resonate with customers, a great starting point for our analysis.

    NMI Holdings Quarterly Revenue

    We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a half-decade historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. NMI Holdings’s annualized revenue growth of 11.1% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, suggesting its demand was strong and recently accelerated. NMI Holdings Year-On-Year Revenue GrowthNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

    This quarter, NMI Holdings reported year-on-year revenue growth of 7.6%, and its $178.7 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 0.7%.

    Net premiums earned made up 88.6% of the company’s total revenue during the last five years, meaning NMI Holdings barely relies on non-insurance activities to drive its overall growth.

    NMI Holdings Quarterly Net Premiums Earned as % of Revenue

    While insurers generate revenue from multiple sources, investors view net premiums earned as the cornerstone - its direct link to core operations stands in sharp contrast to the unpredictability of investment returns and fees.

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    Book Value Per Share (BVPS)

    Insurers are balance sheet businesses, collecting premiums upfront and paying out claims over time. Premiums collected but not yet paid out, often referred to as the float, are invested and create an asset base supported by a liability structure. Book value per share (BVPS) captures this dynamic by measuring these assets (investment portfolio, cash, reinsurance recoverables) less liabilities (claim reserves, debt, future policy benefits). BVPS is essentially the residual value for shareholders.

    We therefore consider BVPS very important to track for insurers and a metric that sheds light on business quality. While other (and more commonly known) per-share metrics like EPS can sometimes be lumpy due to reserve releases or one-time items and can be managed or skewed while still following accounting rules, BVPS reflects long-term capital growth and is harder to manipulate.

    NMI Holdings’s BVPS grew at an incredible 16.2% annual clip over the last five years. BVPS growth has also accelerated recently, growing by 21.9% annually over the last two years from $21.94 to $32.62 per share.

    NMI Holdings Quarterly Book Value per Share

    Key Takeaways from NMI Holdings’s Q3 Results

    It was good to see NMI Holdings narrowly top analysts’ revenue expectations this quarter. On the other hand, its EPS was in line. Overall, this quarter was without many surprises, good or bad. The stock remained flat at $37.52 immediately following the results.

    So do we think NMI Holdings is an attractive buy at the current price? What happened in the latest quarter matters, but not as much as longer-term business quality and valuation, when deciding whether to invest in this stock. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free for active Edge members.

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