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3 Profitable Stocks Facing Headwinds

MU Cover Image

A company with profits isn’t always a great investment. Some struggle to maintain growth, face looming threats, or fail to reinvest wisely, limiting their future potential.

Not all profitable companies are created equal, and that’s why we built StockStory - to help you find the ones that truly shine bright. Keeping that in mind, here are three profitable companies to avoid and some better opportunities instead.

Micron (MU)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 19.8%

Founded in the basement of a Boise, Idaho dental office in 1978, Micron (NYSE: MU) is a leading provider of memory chips used in thousands of devices across mobile, data centers, industrial, consumer, and automotive markets.

Why Does MU Fall Short?

  1. Competitive supply chain dynamics and steep production costs are reflected in its low gross margin of 21.8%
  2. Responsiveness to unforeseen market trends is restricted due to its substandard operating profitability
  3. Cash burn makes us question whether it can achieve sustainable long-term growth

Micron’s stock price of $85.91 implies a valuation ratio of 9.8x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why MU doesn’t pass our bar.

Churchill Downs (CHDN)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 25.7%

Famous for hosting the Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs (NASDAQ: CHDN) operates a horse racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment business in the United States.

Why Are We Hesitant About CHDN?

  1. Estimated sales growth of 5.8% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  2. Lacking free cash flow generation means it has few chances to reinvest for growth, repurchase shares, or distribute capital
  3. Low returns on capital reflect management’s struggle to allocate funds effectively

At $96.28 per share, Churchill Downs trades at 14.6x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than CHDN.

Maximus (MMS)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 9.2%

With nearly 50 years of experience translating public policy into operational programs that serve millions of citizens, Maximus (NYSE: MMS) provides operational services, clinical assessments, and technology solutions to government agencies in the U.S. and internationally.

Why Are We Cautious About MMS?

  1. Sales are projected to remain flat over the next 12 months as demand decelerates from its two-year trend
  2. Free cash flow margin dropped by 5.9 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up
  3. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value

Maximus is trading at $75.32 per share, or 11.7x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with MMS, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Stocks We Like More

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 176% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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