Welding equipment manufacturer Lincoln Electric (NASDAQ: LECO) reported Q1 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 2.4% year on year to $1 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.16 per share was 3.4% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Lincoln Electric (LECO) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $1 billion vs analyst estimates of $976.1 million (2.4% year-on-year growth, 2.9% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $2.16 vs analyst expectations of $2.23 (3.4% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $193.2 million vs analyst estimates of $197.6 million (19.2% margin, 2.2% miss)
- Operating Margin: 16.4%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Free Cash Flow Margin: 16%, up from 10.9% in the same quarter last year
- Organic Revenue fell 1.2% year on year (-6.2% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $10.92 billion
StockStory’s Take
Lincoln Electric’s first quarter results reflected ongoing execution in a complex environment marked by shifting trade policies and softer industrial demand. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to pricing actions implemented in response to new U.S. tariffs, mixed end-market trends, and the successful conclusion of labor negotiations in Turkey, which temporarily disrupted sales volumes. CEO Steve Hedlund emphasized the company’s ability to adjust pricing and manage costs, stating that Lincoln Electric remains focused on operational agility and cash generation while navigating ongoing uncertainty.
Looking ahead, management signaled that flat organic sales and cautious volume expectations will persist until customers gain greater confidence in the macro environment. The company’s forward-looking framework incorporates the impact of enacted tariffs, with further pricing actions likely if trade conditions evolve. CFO Gabe Bruno reiterated that Lincoln Electric’s strategy is to maintain margin neutrality through a combination of price increases, supply chain adjustments, and ongoing cost-saving initiatives, while remaining prepared to manage discretionary spending tightly.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Lincoln Electric’s management provided detail on the operational and market factors shaping the latest quarter, noting the ways in which external pressures and strategic actions intersected.
- Tariff-driven pricing adjustments: The company implemented initial price increases in response to U.S. tariffs, with further actions planned for the second quarter. Management expects a mid-single-digit percentage increase in price, but cautioned that higher prices may reduce volumes.
- Automation order delays: Customers across industrial sectors, particularly in automation, are deferring capital spending due to macro uncertainty and evolving trade policies. Management noted that this could impact what is typically a stronger second half of the year for automation revenue.
- Segment performance divergence: While four out of five end markets (including nonresidential construction, infrastructure, automotive, and general industry) saw organic sales growth, heavy industries remained weak, especially agriculture. The Harris Products Group showed strength, particularly in HVAC-related demand.
- Integration of recent acquisitions: The integration of RedViking and Vanair continues on schedule. Management noted that acquisition-related costs and margin dilution are expected for up to three years, with benefits from these integrations anticipated in the longer term.
- Aggressive cost management: The company delivered $16 million in savings actions and temporarily suspended merit increases to control employee costs. Management will continue to monitor trade and demand conditions, adjusting cost controls as needed.
Drivers of Future Performance
Management’s outlook for the rest of the year centers on navigating tariff impacts, cautious capital spending by customers, and disciplined cost control to sustain profitability.
- Tariffs and price-volume tradeoff: The company expects higher prices as a result of tariffs but anticipates this may be offset by volume declines, especially if further tariffs are enacted.
- Customer investment delays: Management highlighted that uncertainty in trade policy and macroeconomic conditions is leading customers to delay automation and capital expenditure projects, putting second-half revenue at risk.
- Cost control and agility: Lincoln Electric will maintain aggressive cost-saving measures—including suspended merit increases and supply chain adjustments—to offset any demand shortfalls and preserve margins.
Top Analyst Questions
- Saree Boroditsky (Jefferies): Sought clarification on end market volume trends and how these might evolve, with management emphasizing ongoing uncertainty and the effect of delayed customer investments on automation.
- Bryan Blair (Oppenheimer): Asked about the split between direct price increases and surcharges, and how price-cost neutrality is being achieved. Management noted a balanced approach, using both mechanisms to maintain margins.
- Stefan Diaz (Morgan Stanley): Inquired about the timeline for acquisition integration and margin normalization, with management stating that margin dilution from RedViking and Vanair should resolve within three years.
- Mig Dobre (Baird): Questioned the drivers of caution for the second half, prompting management to highlight automation order delays and the risk of further volume declines due to additional pricing actions.
- Walt Liptak (Seaport Research): Asked about reshoring and supply chain adjustments in response to tariffs. Management discussed efforts to source components outside heavily tariffed regions, but noted long lead times for significant changes.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will focus on (1) the ability of Lincoln Electric to pass through further tariff-related price increases without eroding sales volumes, (2) the pace at which delayed automation and capital equipment orders convert to revenue, and (3) progress in margin recovery as integration of acquisitions advances. Developments in global trade policy and customer capital spending appetite will also be closely watched for their impact on results.
Lincoln Electric currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.7×. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our free research report.
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