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SPDR Long Term Treasury Portfolio ETF
(NY:
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-0.18 (-0.66%)
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Updated: 8:00 PM EDT, May 17, 2024
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Weekly Commentary: The High-Wire Act Has Commenced
January 30, 2022
Geez. I guess it’s been a long time since we’ve experienced a hawkish central banker. Powell needed to talk tough on inflation. Yet he seemed determined to occupy the middle ground. There was no...
Via
Talk Markets
Bund Yields Turn Positive For First Time In 3 Years, USTs Bounce Off Critical Support
January 19, 2022
German 10Y yields climbed above zero for the first time since May 2019 just as money markets brought forward bets on a 10-basis-point European Central Bank rate hike to September from October...
Via
Talk Markets
Forex Today: Stocks Fall As US Treasury Yields Spike
January 19, 2022
Global stock markets are dropping firmly on interest rate fears as US Treasury yields spike to new highs.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Spark: The Tone Is Set
January 12, 2022
US CPI expected to rise to 7% will be the main headline-grabber today, but we think the (hawkish) tone is already set in markets. In EUR rates, the curve steepening shows that supply is the dominant...
Via
Talk Markets
Fed's Minutes Roils Markets
January 06, 2022
The minutes from last month's FOMC meeting seemed to imply a more aggressive Federal Reserve that rippled through the capital markets, spurring a sell-off in stocks and bonds and helping to lift the US...
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Stays Close To 3-Week Peak On Omicron Jitters
December 20, 2021
Gold prices held steady near a three-week high as concerns over the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus boosted the metal’s safe-haven appeal.
Via
Talk Markets
Thoughts For Thursday: Omicron Panic Or Market Alert?
December 02, 2021
Via
Talk Markets
Market Briefing For Tuesday, Jan. 4,
January 04, 2022
Apple and Tesla were essential in leading the S&P to another record high yesterday. The day was iffy and these two gave the headroom for the rest of the market to gain energy.
Via
Talk Markets
Macro Briefing: January 3, 2022
January 03, 2022
BlackRock and Vanguard are cautious on US Treasury market outlook for 2022, as US 10yr Treasury yield starts 2022 at middling rate relative to 2021’s range.
Via
Talk Markets
Trading Inflation Expectations
December 26, 2021
Spiking inflation has been a hot-button topic in 2021, but U.S. Treasury yields have actually declined in recent weeks, suggesting there may be more to this story than meets the eye.
Via
Talk Markets
European Stocks Fall Sharply, Oil Slips As Omicron Concerns Mount
December 20, 2021
The year-end rally in stocks could still happen as the market moves into the holiday season proper, despite the immediate outlook being clouded by concerns over the Omicron variant.
Via
Talk Markets
Budding COVID Concerns…
December 20, 2021
The market will likely open up to weakness this week. We may see it retest the November lows before gearing up for its next leg up. The S&P at 4,587 is the Dec monthly open price and will act as an...
Via
Talk Markets
Has the Market Carried the Fed's Water?
December 15, 2021
The USD is trading with a bit of heavier bias against most of the major currencies as the focus turns to today's FOMC meeting, where a clear consensus has emerged in favor of faster tapering and a dot...
Via
Talk Markets
End Of Day Financial Report For Tuesday Dec. 14
December 15, 2021
Ira Epstein reviews the day's trading in the Financial markets for the trading day just ended, Tuesday, December 14.
Via
Talk Markets
Tuesday Talk: Swingtime in December
December 07, 2021
Via
Talk Markets
Futures Rebound From Friday Rout As Omicron Fears Ease
December 06, 2021
S&P futures and European stocks rebounded from Friday’s selloff while Asian shares fell, as investors took comfort in reports from South Africa which said initial data doesn’t show a surge of...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Monday Bounce, Not So Fast!
December 06, 2021
While lighter than the past, today’s SPX options expiration shows positive gamma at 4560.00 and higher, while negative gamma starts at 4550.00.
Via
Talk Markets
The Market’s Sanguine Inflation Outlook
December 05, 2021
Last week Fed chair Jay Powell pivoted away from “transitory”, and adopted a tone more in keeping with the market’s newly revised interest rate forecast. As a result, today’s yield curve is far away...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
UST 10-Year Rockets — A Misguided Attempt At Beating The Fed To The Punch
November 08, 2021
For some investors (computerized or not) fears of higher interest rates and inflation trump a rip-roaring economy with a tankful of fiscal stimulus and easy monetary policy as far as the eye can see.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
End of Day Financial Report For Tuesday, Oct. 26
October 27, 2021
Ira Epstein reviews the day's trading in the Financial markets for the trading day just ended, Tuesday, October 26.
Via
Talk Markets
Life Without The Bond Vigilantes
October 24, 2021
Faster tapering is the obvious change required of Fed policy. The Federal Reserve balance sheet sits at a record $8.5TN. Current expectations are for the Fed’s $120BN of monthly bond buying to be...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Thoughts For Thursday: Markets Higher And Halloween Closer
October 21, 2021
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year T-Yield Caught Between Increased Demand From Foreigners And Imminent Tapering
October 21, 2021
Bond bears likely view the imminent tapering of T-notes/bonds as a tailwind to their outlook but not foreigners’ recent increased purchases of these securities.
Via
Talk Markets
Pricing In A Less Dovish Fed
October 20, 2021
Bond yields have drifted up 0.25% over the past month. Real yields on TIPs have barely budged from around –1%, so the move in bonds has translated into rising inflation expectations — now solidly above...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Soaring Inflation Suppresses Consumer Confidence
October 17, 2021
Markets turn risk on. Producer prices rise to levels not seen since peak #inflation of the 1970s. Inflation is double the Fed’s benchmark now and will be triple by year end.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
10-Tear T-Yield Likely Hit Its High In March
October 13, 2021
The Fed is under intense pressure to not only taper but to do so with aggression. Going by the prior three iterations of QE, the 10-year tends to peak mid-way through the program. In March, rates...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Earnings Season Set To Begin This Week
October 11, 2021
The 3Q earnings season begins in earnest this week. Leading up to this, the revision trend is up and stocks have come under a little pressure. Post-earnings reaction will be influenced by several...
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year T-Yield’s March High Could Prove To Be Important In Current QE
October 07, 2021
On a 12-month basis, the US budget deficit may have peaked, but at the same time the Fed is getting ready to taper. In the past, the 10-year peaked mid-way through QE. From this perspective, the March...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Rates Spark: No Respite
October 06, 2021
The respite has been brief for rates markets as the sell-off resumed yesterday, taking yields back to the previous week’s highs. Inflation angst is still playing out with inflation swaps and breakeven...
Via
Talk Markets
After Tough September, Major US Equity Indices Ready For Relief Rally
October 04, 2021
Investor sentiment has taken a hit in recent weeks and it can continue lower under the right circumstances, although a pause is likely right here and now, helping stocks.
Via
Talk Markets
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