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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
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Updated: 4:15 PM EDT, May 13, 2025
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Mixed Signs, Yet New Highs
January 21, 2024
After a spectacular 2023 with the S&P 500 up 24% and the Nasdaq’s 43% gain, it was inevitable that there would be some profit-taking early on. Is the profit taking over, and will we have another good...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Money Market Funds Post First Weekly Outflow In Four
January 21, 2024
During the fund-flows week that ended Jan. 17, 2024, investors were overall net redeemers of fund assets for the fourth week in six, removing a net $22.4 billion. At the close of the week, U.S....
Via
Talk Markets
Per CoT, Futures Positions Of Hedge Funds, Noncommercials
January 21, 2024
The message to futures traders is clear, which is to ratchet their unrealistic expectations down. They are fighting a battle they cannot win with the Fed.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Are Still In Correction Mode
January 20, 2024
The short-term downtrend looks set to continue -- that is, unless you own tech stocks, specifically semiconductors. Friday was an incredible day in the market, but the majority of stocks are still in...
Via
Talk Markets
Trendline Triumph: Navigating 2024's Bear Market Profitably
January 20, 2024
This trendline did precisely what I was hoping it would do, which is why being a bear hasn’t sucked out loud for far in 2024. Frustrating, yes, but still profitable.
Via
Talk Markets
US Consumer Sentiment Tops Estimates In January, Hits Highest Level Since July 2021: Friday's Economic Digest
January 19, 2024
Consumer sentiment in US reaches highest level in 2.5 years despite struggling housing market. Tech stocks lead market increase while Treasury yields rise.
Via
Benzinga
AI Drives Tech Rebound, Oil Soars, Bitcoin Tumbles: What's Driving Markets Thursday?
January 18, 2024
During midday Thursday trading in New York, U.S. stocks displayed mixed performance, with the technology sector outperforming others as investors maintained a bullish outlook on artificial...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
20y Auction And Beige Book Turning Points
January 18, 2024
The aftermath of the 20y Treasury auction provided the first sign of bearishness in stocks getting excessive and the Beige Book aftermath only underlined that.
Via
Talk Markets
The Mechanics Behind A Credit Crisis
January 18, 2024
Imbalances in the global fiat credit system are enormous and destabilizing.
Via
Talk Markets
Ugly, Tailing 20Y Auction Whimpers Out Amid Bond Market Rout
January 17, 2024
The auction stopped at a high yield of 4.423%, up from 4.213% in December, and tailing the When Issued 4.415 by 0.8bps (the second consecutive tail).
Via
Talk Markets
Annual Retail Sales Surge By 5.6% In December, Hit 10-Month High, Showcase Robust Consumer Demand
January 17, 2024
December 2023 saw U.S. retail sales surpass expectations, indicating robust consumer demand and influencing market trends, including a stronger U.S. dollar and shifts in Treasury yields.
Via
Benzinga
Fed Gov. Waller's Talk Tempers Rate Cut Hopes: Fed In No Rush, Rattles Investors
January 16, 2024
Federal Reserve Gov. Christopher J. Waller's recent comments at The Brookings Institution have significantly impacted market expectations regarding interest rate cuts.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
US Stocks Drift Lower As Dollar, Treasury Yields Rise, AMD Defies Gravity: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?
January 16, 2024
The U.S. stock market resumed its decline on Tuesday following a one-day closure for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. The major indices were all in the red around midday trading in New York as investors...
Via
Benzinga
Elliott Wave Insights: Commodities And Futures Market Analysis
January 15, 2024
Bitcoin's current move down appears impulsive, so we can expect a corrective rally and then another leg lower into 39 - 38K at a rough guess.
Via
Talk Markets
January OPEX May Usher In Higher Volatility And A Reversal Of Market Trends
January 14, 2024
This will be an option expiration week. This will open a window for increased volatility starting Wednesday morning, especially since we will head into a Fed meeting at the end of the month and we are...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
CoT Report: What The Future Holds, Per Hedge Funds, Noncommercials
January 14, 2024
Having stayed net short uninterrupted for 146 weeks, non-commercials went net long Russell 2000 mini-index futures this week – the first time they have done so since March 2021.
Via
Talk Markets
The Market Continues Its Short-Term Downtrend
January 13, 2024
The market continues to be in a short-term downtrend. If you own only large-cap stocks, you may not be feeling the impact of this part of the short-term cycle. But if you own small-caps, you are likely...
Via
Talk Markets
Bond Rally Termination: TLT Repelled By Broken Trendline
January 13, 2024
Many times have I mentioned the importance of the bond rally terminating and, ideally, TLT being repelled by its broken trendline. Mercifully, this is precisely what has happened.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows: Equity ETFs Suffer First Weekly Redemption In 15 Weeks
January 12, 2024
Investors were net sellers of fund assets (including those of conventional funds and ETFs) for the first week in three, redeeming a net $2.1 billion.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Important Bond ETFs Trading At Critical Resistance
January 11, 2024
When interest rates fall, bond prices rise. And while it has been some time since we’ve been able to say interest rates are dropping, the past few months have done just that.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Exposures
Debt Markets
Junk Bonds Crushing Long-Term Treasuries
January 10, 2024
Since the bond market peaked in late 2021 just before the Fed embarked on its attempt to tame inflation by hiking rates, it has been painful to be an investor in
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
December Inflation Preview: What Will It Take To Trigger A Fed Rate Cut In Q1 2024?
January 10, 2024
December's inflation report is crucial for Fed's decisions, economists predict 3.2% increase in CPI, with potential for rate cut in March. Market and Fed will closely monitor inflation for future...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Goldilocks Narrative Reigns For Now
January 10, 2024
As the fiscal stimulus that drove above-average economic growth in the post-pandemic era exits the system and monetary policy remains very tight, economists and investors wonder what comes next.
Via
Talk Markets
Commodities Trading Report And Trading Strategies For Wednesday, January 10
January 09, 2024
Understanding the wave count for the USD DXY is an important point, if you understand this count it will set you up for trades in many other markets, this setup will take about a week.
Via
Talk Markets
US Stocks Rebound, Semiconductors Shine, Boeing's Struggles Weigh On Dow: What's Driving Markets Monday?
January 08, 2024
Wall Street kicked off the week on a positive note, marking a turnaround from the challenging start to the year. All major stock indices showed gains, except for the Dow Jones, as financial conditions...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
A New Short-Term Downtrend Started In January
January 08, 2024
Can you believe it? A new short-term downtrend started on Jan. 2. The sell signal was confirmed by most of the indicators that I follow. The new short-term down cycle occurred just as the SPX rallied...
Via
Talk Markets
Trade Like A Professional
January 07, 2024
In this video, I discuss some mistakes often made by novice traders, as well as how to trade in a professional in the current volatile market.
Via
Talk Markets
A Rough Start To 2024 What Might Be In Store For The Rest Of 2024?
January 07, 2024
The market was weighed down by several negative factors that began before the bell even rang at Broad and Wall on the first trading day of this New Year.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Forecast For 2024
January 06, 2024
We are now in a cyclical bull market in bonds within a secular bear market. Look for this bull trend in the bond market to last in 2024 and likely continue in 2025. Plus: My top sector pick for 2024.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Market Starts The Year With A Sell-Off
January 06, 2024
Regardless of which scenario plays out in real-time, there is a reasonable risk of weaker returns over the next year than what we saw in 2023. Therefore, we suggest managing risk and focusing on what...
Via
Talk Markets
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