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TIPS Bond Ishares ETF
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8 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of May 2
May 01, 2022
Stocks were crushed on Friday, with the S&P 500 dropping by more than 3%. The market has been volatile, and that is because the liquidity in the market has thinned out again, with the top of the book...
Via
Talk Markets
The Ups And Downs Of Inflation Expectations
April 25, 2022
Stocks and bonds are both down about 10% year-to-date. Risk parity has gone 'poof.' While April is historically a bullish month, there have been days of indiscriminate selling across asset classes...
Via
Talk Markets
Broad Sell-Off Continued To Weigh On Global Markets Last Week
April 25, 2022
Widespread selling in the major asset classes rolled on in last week’s trading through Friday’s close, based on a set of ETFs. The upside outliers: US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and...
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Pop On April 19, But Then Came Netflix
April 19, 2022
The S&P 500 rose to around 4,470 and found some stiff resistance. That resistance happened to be on the Fib grid.
Via
Talk Markets
Oil Prices, Price Surprises, And Forwards, Breakevens, And Term Spreads
April 16, 2022
One month forward average 2-month yields rose with the January CPI release, while the one month yield started rising with the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the commensurate spike in oil prices.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Rise On April 13 As Volatility Plunges One Day Ahead Of Options Expiration
April 13, 2022
Stocks managed to rally today, regaining most of what they gave up yesterday, but not all. It is really amazing how much symmetry there is in the market.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Jump, Then Dump On April 12
April 12, 2022
Because nominal rates fell initially, it dragged real rates down, which led to the equity market pop. But by the end of the day, the market decided real rates still needed to rise, which was basically...
Via
Talk Markets
TIPS Breakeven Vs Michigan Inflation Expectations
April 10, 2022
Ordinary people’s inflation expectations as reported in the University of Michigan Survey depend critically on food and energy inflation. In contrast, professional forecasters use core inflation. Which...
Via
Talk Markets
9 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of April 11
April 10, 2022
This coming week will be a holiday-shortened one, with the markets closed on Friday ahead of the Easter Holiday. That will move options expiration to Thursday. The big news will come on Tuesday, with...
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Play Fill The Gap And Double Top Game On April 7
April 07, 2022
Stocks managed to rally, with the S&P 500 mustering just enough to finish up 40 bps and close the gap from yesterday’s drop. I
Via
Talk Markets
Russian Invasion And The Hawkish Fed: A Killer Combo For Gold?
April 07, 2022
While the Russia-Ukraine conflict keeps the PMs’ hopes alive for now, their medium-term fundamentals are growing more bearish by the day.
Via
Talk Markets
Nomura: "Shock Tightening" In Financial Conditions Is Allowing "Macro Truths" To Override Technicals
April 06, 2022
The recent rally in stocks is, macro-wise, incoherent with what has been happening in financial conditions.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Drop On January 5 As Fed’s Grip Grows Tighter
April 05, 2022
The S&P 500 fell by roughly 1.25%, while the Nasdaq finished down over 2%. Today’s drop quickly erased yesterday’s advance.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: What Now?
April 04, 2022
The yield curve inverted last week. Well, the part everyone watches, the 10 year/2 year Treasury yield spread, inverted, closing the week a solid 7 basis points in the negative.
Via
Talk Markets
The Logical-Invest Newsletter For April 2022
April 03, 2022
Most of our strategies were positive as the market rebounded from last month’s selloff. Let's take a closer look at how our portfolio performed.
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Expectations And Forecasts
April 02, 2022
Taken literally, average expected inflation over the next five years is coming down. Except for short-term, the surveys indicate a deceleration in inflation relative to today’s levels.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: The Cure For High Prices
March 28, 2022
There’s an old Wall Street maxim that the cure for high commodity prices is high commodity prices. As prices rise two things will generally limit the scope of the increase.
Via
Talk Markets
9 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of March 28
March 27, 2022
It will be a critical week for stocks after weeks of gains. The S&P 500 finished Friday in an exciting spot and at more than one inflection point. It may mark the start of a bigger run higher to the...
Via
Talk Markets
Government Solutions Worsen Every Problem Government Creates
March 25, 2022
Stocks are going up and down while gold is just going up. Bond prices are a function of government intervention and nothing else.
Via
Talk Markets
Where Treasury & TIPS Yields May Be Headed?
March 23, 2022
The March FOMC meeting confirmed one very important issue for the money and bond markets: rates are going to continue to go up.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: All Clear?
March 21, 2022
Stocks staged a furious rebound last week based on…well, I’m not exactly sure what it was based on other than the relief that oil prices didn’t continue to go straight up.
Via
Talk Markets
Risk-On Sentiment Resumed For Most Markets Last Week
March 21, 2022
Most markets around the world staged a strong rebound last week, led by stocks in foreign developed markets ex-US.
Via
Talk Markets
US Bond Market Under Pressure As Fed Raises Interest Rates
March 17, 2022
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its target interest rate by ¼ point, the first hike since 2018.
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation-Protected Treasuries Rose As Global Markets Fell
March 14, 2022
In another week of widespread selling of the major asset classes, US inflation-indexed Treasuries continued to rise.
Via
Talk Markets
Consumers And Markets Both Agree, It’s Not Consumer Price Inflation
March 12, 2022
Throw some Eastern European geopolitics into the mix, and surely consumers have been shoved over to the dark side of inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
Recession? The Term Spread Over The Past Four Recessions
March 08, 2022
The evolution of the 10yr-3mo and 10yr-2yr term spread in the months preceding the last four recessions.
Via
Talk Markets
Commodities Continue To Soar As Ukraine War Rages
March 07, 2022
Commodities remained the best-performing asset class by far last week for the major asset classes.
Via
Talk Markets
Gold: Understanding What’s Driving Prices Higher
March 07, 2022
The Russian/Ukraine crisis has been boosting inflation expectations. Remember, if oil prices are high then that increases inflation expectations.
Via
Talk Markets
Will Oil’s Spike Cause A Recession And Bear Market?
March 05, 2022
Learning from past supply disruptions. Also: Are bull/bear charts starting to roll over in the bear's favor?
Via
Talk Markets
February 2022 Performance Review - Major Asset Classes
March 01, 2022
Most markets around the world continued to slide in February, marking the second month of widespread losses in 2022 for the major asset classes.
Via
Talk Markets
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