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Updated: 4:15 PM EDT, Jun 21, 2024
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Recession, Stagflation Or Soft Landing?
November 21, 2023
The market is currently discounting a soft landing for the economy and this should continue into 2024. However, there is a rising risk that turns to recession or stagflation in 2024.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
Asia Morning Bites For Tuesday, November 21
November 21, 2023
RBA minutes do not support the market view that the 7 Nov meeting was a
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Monday, November 20
November 20, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Monday, November 20.
Via
Talk Markets
Today’s Yield Curve Steepening Is Not Different This Time, It’s Not The Same
November 20, 2023
Investment volatility remained elevated this year. One can point to any number of culprits.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Weekly Market Pulse: Has Inflation Really Peaked?
November 20, 2023
Stocks, REITs, and bonds all rallied last week on the back of what was interpreted as good news on inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Why Bonds Fooled Investors In 2022
November 14, 2023
A look at some tactical indicators that could have warned investors about the uniqueness of the economic and financial trends affecting bonds.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Retreat Extended, But Turn Around Tuesday May Have Already Begun
November 20, 2023
The Dollar Index is off about 0.35% after sliding 1.8% last week. It is below the 200-day moving average for the first time since late August
Via
Talk Markets
From This Week's CoT: What Noncommercials Are Buying
November 19, 2023
With seven and a half sessions to go, November so far has proven to be quite a comeback month for the Nasdaq 100.
Via
Talk Markets
Oil Is Sending A Warning Message To The Stock Market
November 18, 2023
It will be a quieter week, at least as far as economic data releases goes, and then of course the Thanksgiving holidays cut the week short. We're watching bonds and the Asian markets to see where our...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
'Santa Married Goldilocks' - Soft CPI Sparks Big Week Of Buying For Bonds, Stocks, & Gold
November 17, 2023
The 'higher-for-longer' soft landing economy may be transitioning back to a 'Goldilocks' economy of not-too-hot/not-too-cold activity and inflation...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Mining Funds Puke Miners & Juniors But Gold Price Steady
November 17, 2023
In this video, Vince Lanci covers forces of seasonality, the action in Bonds, the CPI, Dollar and their impact on Gold.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Are Presenting An Asymmetric Setup For Gold To Outperform
November 17, 2023
A discussion about the yield curve inversion and its historical track record of eventually un-inverting.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Asia Morning Bites For Friday, November 17
November 17, 2023
Asian risk assets are likely to follow the mixed US lead following weaker data yesterday
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Thursday, November 16
November 17, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, November 16
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds And Oil Signal Economic Threat
November 16, 2023
Bonds rally indicating a flight to safety and oil prices falling as a sign of destruction of demand.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Wednesday, November 15
November 16, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, November 15
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Thursday, November 16
November 16, 2023
High-level communication to resume between the US and China as Biden hails meetings with Xi as making
Via
Talk Markets
Don't Stop The Dance
November 15, 2023
The logic is clear-cut: With a decline in inflation, the necessity to reduce rates becomes apparent unless there is an intention to tolerate an inadvertent policy tightening.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Forced Selling & Low Valuations In Miners, Juniors
November 15, 2023
In this video, Jordan Roy-Byrne reviews his bigger picture technical and macro outlook for gold, silver, and the precious metals mining stocks, in relation to how they are moving relative to US general...
Via
Talk Markets
Elliott Wave Analysis: Commodity Markets - Wednesday, Nov. 15
November 15, 2023
Gold could be the one that has the next long trade setup.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Wednesday, November 15
November 15, 2023
Japan's 3Q23 GDP contracts sharply; Australian wage growth comes in higher than expected. China data deluge to come later, as well as Presidents Xi and Biden meeting
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, November 14
November 14, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, November 14.
Via
Talk Markets
First Bonds Crash, Then Stocks, Then US$
November 14, 2023
We update the secular trends and show with history how the new secular bear market in bonds likely leads to a secular bear market in stocks and then last, the US Dollar.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Rates Spark: Shifting The Rate Cycle Discount
November 14, 2023
How convinced are we that the Fed has peaked? You can never be 100% sure on this, but the odds firmly favour the view that they’re done. That places rate cutting on the radar. Ahead of that, market...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Gold: A Super Surge To $2200 Is Next
November 14, 2023
Not all gold stock rallies begin from textbook chart patterns. Many are launched from zones that feature very rough but bullish technical action.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Tuesday, November 14
November 14, 2023
Quiet start to the week in Asia ahead of US inflation data - Korean import prices rise again
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Financial Markets Report For Monday, November 13
November 14, 2023
Via
Talk Markets
The Stage Is Set For The Big CPI Report On November 14, 2023
November 13, 2023
Expectations are for headline CPI to increase by 0.1% m/m and 3.3% y/y, down from September’s increase of 0.4% m/m and 3.7% y/y reading. Core CPI is expected to rise by 0.3% m/m and 4.1% y/y, in line...
Via
Talk Markets
An Ugly Start Gives Way To A Better Close
November 13, 2023
As you might've heard, major banks have considerable disagreement regarding the likely trajectory of the Fed funds rate in 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Bonds & Stocks Shrug At Moody's USA Credit Rating Downgrade, Oil & Gold Bounce
November 13, 2023
Macro calm with lower inflation survey, geopolitical stability, and holiday-mode markets. Quiet volumes left bonds and stocks unchanged to slightly lower post-Moody's negative outlook on the USA.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
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