KBRA releases research which discusses how the RMBS market created the conditions for a glut of seasoned Non-QM loans which may reenter the securitization market in the future via redemption activity. We also examine certain factors that have and may continue to forestall such redemptions, such as investor expectations, transaction-level nuances, and current market factors.

Key Takeaways

• While the redemption of these transactions and the re-securitization of these loans may be deferred over the near term, that delay will only apply to a portion of the increasingly more numerous redeemable loans and may not extend beyond 2023, assuming market conditions stabilize.
• Further, given low expected prepayment rates over the near term, delays in redemptions will compound the volume of loans eligible to reenter the market down the road, as the 2020 and 2021 securitizations also become eligible for redemption.
• Past NQM securitizations have been generally called within a year of becoming eligible for redemption, which aligns with senior class investors’ expectations, but extension is more likely without protections from structural mechanisms, such as step-up coupons.
• The current rising rate environment disincentivizes issuer redemption by reducing the value of existing loans and increasing the required coupon on newly securitized classes.

Click here to view the report.

Related Publications

• Under the Macroscope: U.S. RMBS Credit Sensitivity Analysis
• Will Hard Times for Mortgage Originators Hamper RMBS Performance?
• RMBS Trend Watch: Issuance Slowing; Second Liens on the Way?
• CDFIs and the Return of the ‘No-Doc’ Loan

About KBRA

KBRA is a full-service credit rating agency registered in the U.S., the EU, and the UK, and is designated to provide structured finance ratings in Canada. KBRA’s ratings can be used by investors for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.

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