Safety Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SAFT) (“Safety” or the “Company”) today reported third quarter 2022 results.

George M. Murphy, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented: “The industry continues to experience strong headwinds as operating results are adversely impacted by inflationary trends and rising interest rates that negatively impact our investment portfolio. For the quarter ending September 30, 2022, we have posted a combined ratio of 97.1%, which demonstrates our strong underwriting discipline and focus on expense management. Also, shortly after quarter end, we were pleased to announce a letter of intent to acquire Northeast Insurance Agency, Inc. This acquisition is an exciting opportunity to strengthen our position within the independent agency channel while positioning us for future prosperity.”

Net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 was $6.2 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, compared to net income of $24.8 million, or $1.64 per diluted share, for the comparable 2021 period. Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 was $21.9 million, or $1.48 per diluted share, compared to net income of $98.7 million, or $6.58 per diluted share, for the comparable 2021 period. The decrease is largely due to the change in net unrealized gains on equity securities of $14.4 million and $56.3 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2022, respectively.

Non-generally accepted accounting principles (“non-GAAP”) operating income, as defined below, for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 was $1.13 per diluted share, compared to $1.70 per diluted share, for the comparable 2021 period. Non-GAAP operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 was $4.05 per diluted share, compared to $5.51 per diluted share, for the comparable 2021 period.

Safety’s book value per share decreased to $53.21 at September 30, 2022 from $62.47 at December 31, 2021 resulting from the impact of interest rate changes on the value of our fixed maturity portfolio of $115.0 million. Additional decreases in book value resulted from capital allocation activities, specifically dividends paid, and shares repurchased during the first quarter of 2022. Safety paid $0.90 per share in dividends to investors during the quarters ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Safety paid $3.60 per share in dividends to investors during the year ended December 31, 2021.

Today, our Board of Directors approved a $0.90 per share quarterly cash dividend on its issued and outstanding common stock payable on December 15, 2022 to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 1, 2022.

Direct written premiums for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 increased by $6.8 million, or 3.2%, to $217.9 million from $211.1 million for the comparable 2021 period. Direct written premiums for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 increased by $1.3 million, or 0.2% to $621.9 million from $620.6 million for the comparable 2021 period. The increase is primarily in our commercial automobile and homeowner businesses.

For the quarter ended September 30, 2022, losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred increased by $5.0 million, or 4.1%, to $124.1 million from $119.1 million for the comparable 2021 period. For the nine months ended September 30, 2022, losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred increased by $19.2 million, or 5.6%, to $360.0 million from $340.8 million for the comparable 2021 period. The increase in losses is due to a return of pre-pandemic frequency in our private passenger automobile line of business and current market conditions including inflation and supply chain delays.

Loss, expense, and combined ratios calculated for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 were 65.3%, 31.8%, and 97.1%, respectively, compared to 61.3%, 32.6%, and 93.9%, respectively, for the comparable 2021 period. Loss, expense, and combined ratios calculated for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 were 63.7%, 32.3%, and 96.0%, respectively, compared to 58.6%, 33.3%, and 91.9%, respectively, for the comparable 2021 period. The decrease in the expense ratio is driven by a decrease in contingent commission expenses.

Total prior year favorable development included in the pre-tax results for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 was $13.9 million compared to $15.4 million for the comparable 2021 period. Total prior year favorable development included in the pre-tax results for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 was $43.2 million compared to $41.2 million for the comparable 2021 period.

Net investment income for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 was consistent at $11.1 million with the comparable 2021 period. Net investment income for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 increased by $0.9 million, or 2.8%, to $33.3 million from $32.4 million for the comparable 2021 period. The increase is a result of increases in interest rates on our fixed maturity portfolio compared to the prior year. Net effective annualized yield on the investment portfolio was 3.1% for the quarter ended September 30, 2022 compared to 3.0% for the comparable 2021 period. Net effective annualized yield on the investment portfolio for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively, was 3.0%. Our duration on fixed maturities was 3.6 years at September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021.

Non-GAAP Measures

Management has included certain non-GAAP financial measures in presenting the Company’s results. Management believes that these non-GAAP measures are useful to explain the Company’s results of operations and allow for a more complete understanding of the underlying trends in the Company’s business. These measures should not be viewed as a substitute for those determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). In addition, our definitions of these items may not be comparable to the definitions used by other companies.

Non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP operating income per diluted share consist of our GAAP net income adjusted by the net realized gains (losses) on investments, change in net unrealized gains on equity securities, credit loss benefit (expense) and taxes related thereto. For the three months September 30, 2022, a decrease of $14.4 million for the change in unrealized losses on equity securities was recognized within income before income taxes, compared to a decrease of $3.4 million recognized in the comparable 2021 period. For the nine months ended September 30, 2022, a decrease of $56.3 million for the change in unrealized gains on equity securities was recognized in income before income taxes, compared to an increase of $11.4 million recognized in the comparable 2021 period. Net income and earnings per diluted share are the GAAP financial measures that are most directly comparable to non-GAAP operating income and non-GAAP operating income per diluted share, respectively. A reconciliation of the GAAP financial measures to these non-GAAP measures is included in the financial highlights below.

About Safety: Safety Insurance Group, Inc., based in Boston, MA, is the parent of Safety Insurance Company, Safety Indemnity Insurance Company, Safety Property and Casualty Insurance Company, and Safety Northeast Insurance Company. Operating exclusively in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine, Safety is a leading writer of property and casualty insurance products, including private passenger automobile, commercial automobile, homeowners, dwelling fire, umbrella and business owner policies.

Additional Information: Press releases, announcements, U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) Filings and investor information are available under “About Safety,” “Investor Information” on our Company website located at www.SafetyInsurance.com. Safety filed its December 31, 2021 Form 10-K with the SEC on February 28, 2022 and urges shareholders to refer to this document for more complete information concerning Safety’s financial results.

Cautionary Statement under "Safe Harbor" Provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

This press release contains, and Safety may from time to time make, written or oral "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. They often include words such as “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “estimate,” “aim,” “projects,” or words of similar meaning and expressions that indicate future events and trends, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” or “may”. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including statements about the Company’s strategy for growth, product development, market position, expenditures and financial results, are forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. There are a number of factors, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause actual future conditions, events, results or trends to differ significantly and/or materially from historical results or those projected in the forward-looking statements. These factors include but are not limited to:

• The competitive nature of our industry and the possible adverse effects of such competition;
• Conditions for business operations and restrictive regulations in Massachusetts;
• The possibility of losses due to claims resulting from severe weather;
• The impact of inflation and supply chain delays on loss severity;
• The possibility that the Commissioner of Insurance may approve future rule changes that change the operation of the residual market;
• The possibility that existing insurance-related laws and regulations will become further restrictive in the future;
• The impact of investment, economic and underwriting market conditions, including interest rates and inflation;
• Our possible need for and availability of additional financing, and our dependence on strategic relationships, among others; and
• Other risks and factors identified from time to time in our reports filed with the SEC, such as those set forth under the caption “Risk Factors” in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 filed with the SEC on February 28, 2022.

We are not under any obligation (and expressly disclaim any such obligation) to update or alter our forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. You should carefully consider the possibility that actual results may differ materially from our forward-looking statements.

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