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By Meg Flippin, Benzinga
The stock market is ending the year on a tumultuous note. The U.S. is about to see a transfer of power, global unrest is reaching fever pitch and tariffs and potential inflation are looming risks. Despite it all, the stock market is poised to see double-digit growth in the new year, at least according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2025 58th Annual Edition.
For nearly sixty years, the Stock Trader’s Almanac has been the go-to guide for many traders, investors and money managers who need help navigating the markets throughout the year. The annual edition shows traders and investors stock market cycles, trends and patterns to make informed investments, manage risk and maximize profit, all laid out in a calendar format.
This handy tool has been an institution since the late 1960’s when veteran investor Yale Hirsch set out to create a way to help the average investor, organizing a slew of data points on a calendar basis. Hirsch was fascinated with stock market history, cycles and patterns and discovered early on that some days of the week and some days of the month are better for stocks than others. For example Hirsch found the stock market tends to make almost all its gains during just six particular months of the year–November through April. Hirsch called it the Best Six Months strategy. That coupled with other strategies has led to the Almanac Investor Stock portfolio, which is up 710% since 2001 versus 349.7% for S&P 500 as of June 30, 2024.
The Rest Is History
The Almanac also originated concepts about market phenomena such as the January Barometer – the idea that the performance of the S&P 500 in January can predict its performance for the year; the Santa Claus Rally – the increase in stocks around the Christmas holiday; and the four-year Presidential Election Cycle theory that stock market returns follow a predictable pattern following the U.S. election.
The torch was eventually passed to Jeffrey Hirsch, Yale Hirsch’s son, who is now editor-in-chief of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. Jeffrey, too, is a veteran Wall Street investor, author of “The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles” and “Super Boom: Why the Dow Will Hit 38,820 and How You Can Profit from It.” Jeffrey worked with his dad for over twenty years, taking over for him in 2001. The younger Hirsch has some noteworthy calls of his own including predicting the bull market in 2021, the mid-term bear market and bottom in 2022, the new bull run in 2023 and the outperformance in the stock market in 2024.
For 2025, Hirsch thinks overall stock market returns will be up 8% to 12%, with pullbacks occurring in the first and third quarters. “Post-election years have improved since WWII and since 1985 DJIA averages a gain of 17.2% with eight up years and two down. This is the best average gain of the four-year cycle over this period,” says Hirsch.
It’s All About The Details
So what can traders, investors and money managers get from the 2025 Stock Market Almanac beyond the trading strategies and historical data points? A lot, including:
How our Presidential Elections affect the economy and the stock market
Post-election years best year of the 4-year cycle since 1985
How the passage of the Twentieth Amendment to the Constitution fathered the January Barometer
Why there is a significant market bias at certain times of the day, week, month and year
Market behavior three days before and after the holidays
For those who want more than the Stock Market Almanac, Hirsch also offers the Almanac Investor, an online newsletter that provides readers with ETF and stock trading ideas, including specific buy and sell price limits, market analysis, webinars, videos and e-mail alerts and short and long term strategies. “In today's age of instant, digitized communication, the importance of history sometimes is overlooked. Our stock-in-trade is our conviction that markets follow historical cycles and tendencies. While the patterns don't repeat with mathematical certitude, they do recur often enough to provide an edge to savvy, disciplined investors,” says Hirsch.
Featured photo by Tyler Prahm on Unsplash.
Benzinga is a leading financial media and data provider, known for delivering accurate, timely, and actionable financial information to empower investors and traders.
This post contains sponsored content. This content is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investing advice.
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