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APi Earnings: What To Look For From APG

APG Cover Image

Safety and specialty services provider APi (NYSE:APG) will be reporting earnings tomorrow morning. Here’s what investors should know.

APi missed analysts’ revenue expectations by 3.4% last quarter, reporting revenues of $1.83 billion, up 2.4% year on year. It was a softer quarter for the company, with a significant miss of analysts’ organic revenue estimates and full-year revenue guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

Is APi a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free.

This quarter, analysts are expecting APi’s revenue to grow 4.6% year on year to $1.84 billion, improving from the 3.3% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $0.50 per share.

APi Total Revenue

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. APi has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates five times over the last two years.

Looking at APi’s peers in the construction and maintenance services segment, some have already reported their Q4 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Construction Partners delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 41.6%, beating analysts’ expectations by 9.7%, and Comfort Systems reported revenues up 37.6%, topping estimates by 5.5%. Construction Partners traded down 3.6% following the results while Comfort Systems was also down 4.8%.

Read our full analysis of Construction Partners’s results here and Comfort Systems’s results here.

Valuation multiples for many growth stocks have not yet reverted to their early 2021 highs, but the market has been optimistic as of late due to a soft landing. This is an economic situation where rate hikes successfully quelled inflation but did not send the economy into a recession. Furthermore, recent rate cuts and Donald Trump's triumph in the 2024 Presidential election have been tailwinds for the market, and while some of the construction and maintenance services stocks have shown solid performance, the group has generally underpeformed, with share prices down 7.4% on average over the last month. APi is up 11.1% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $43.90 (compared to the current share price of $41.10).

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

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