Memory chips maker Micron (NYSE: MU) reported Q3 CY2025 results exceeding the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 46% year on year to $11.32 billion. On the other hand, next quarter’s revenue guidance of $2 billion was less impressive, coming in 83.3% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $3.03 per share was 5.9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Micron (MU) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $11.32 billion vs analyst estimates of $11.12 billion (46% year-on-year growth, 1.8% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $3.03 vs analyst estimates of $2.86 (5.9% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $6.10 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.70 billion (53.9% margin, 7% beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $2 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $11.98 billion
- Adjusted EPS guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $3.75 at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $3.04
- Operating Margin: 32.3%, up from 19.6% in the same quarter last year
- Inventory Days Outstanding: 121, down from 137 in the previous quarter
- Market Capitalization: $186.2 billion
StockStory’s Take
Micron’s third-quarter results reflected strong demand in its core markets, with management attributing the robust performance to pricing execution and a significant ramp-up of advanced memory products for data center applications. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra highlighted that the company’s investments in high-value DRAM and NAND technology, as well as greater adoption across key segments like automotive and embedded systems, drove higher profitability. Management specifically pointed to broad-based growth, citing record revenue in data center products and improved efficiency enabled by AI-driven productivity tools.
Looking forward, Micron’s management signaled that tight industry supply and continued AI-driven demand are expected to support profitability, but acknowledged risks due to evolving market conditions. Mehrotra emphasized the company’s leadership in advanced memory technologies, such as one gamma DRAM and HBM4 products, as a foundation for future growth. However, the team noted that achieving customer adoption for next-generation products and managing capital expenditures for capacity expansion will be critical, stating, “We expect gross margins to remain healthy, but supply discipline and customer alignment are essential as we ramp up new technologies.”
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management explained that third-quarter performance was propelled by strong AI-related demand, disciplined supply management, and product mix improvements, while future guidance reflects both optimism around new technologies and caution regarding market volatility.
- AI-Driven Data Center Growth: Management credited a surge in demand for high-bandwidth memory and advanced DRAM, particularly for AI server applications, as a central driver of revenue growth. The data center segment accounted for a record 56% of total company revenue, benefiting from tight supply and higher pricing.
- Product Mix and Pricing Execution: Executives highlighted improvements in product mix, with a focus on high-margin products such as HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) and advanced NAND. Tight supply conditions in DRAM markets allowed Micron to execute on price increases, supporting sequential margin expansion.
- Technology Leadership Investments: The company accelerated its transition to one gamma DRAM and ramped up g9 NAND production, achieving record yields and first revenues from major hyperscale customers. These investments are designed to maintain a competitive edge as customer requirements for performance and power efficiency increase.
- AI Productivity Tools In-House: Management described the use of AI within Micron to improve productivity across design and manufacturing, citing a 30-40% productivity boost in select use cases and faster design cycles. These internal efficiencies contributed to improved time-to-market and overall cost structure.
- Automotive and Embedded Segment Strength: Demand from automotive and industrial end-markets exceeded forecasts, driven by higher memory content in ADAS (advanced driver-assistance systems) and AI-enhanced in-cabin features. Management noted improved profitability in these segments due to stronger pricing and advanced technology adoption.
Drivers of Future Performance
Micron’s outlook is driven by expectations for ongoing AI-related demand, supply constraints in DRAM, and continued investments in advanced manufacturing.
- AI and Data Center Tailwinds: Management projects that accelerating AI adoption will continue to drive strong demand for advanced memory products, including HBM and one gamma DRAM. The company expects this to underpin revenue growth and margin strength, especially as customer adoption of AI-enabled infrastructure expands across sectors.
- Supply Discipline and Capacity Expansion: Executives emphasized that tight supply for DRAM and disciplined capital allocation are expected to support healthy margins. However, the ramp-up of new manufacturing facilities and technology nodes will require substantial capital expenditures, which could increase execution risk if market conditions change.
- Product Transition and Customer Alignment: The transition to next-generation products, such as HBM4 and customized solutions, is expected to deliver higher gross margins but depends on successful collaboration with customers and timely qualification. Management noted that supply agreements and customer adoption timelines will influence overall profitability and market share.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will focus on (1) the pace of adoption for next-generation memory products, particularly HBM4 and one gamma DRAM; (2) execution on capacity expansion and technology migration at new and existing fabs; and (3) continued strength in high-value end markets like automotive, industrial, and AI-driven data centers. We will also monitor Micron’s success in securing long-term supply agreements for advanced memory solutions.
Micron currently trades at $162.63, down from $166.46 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
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