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Dollar Pulled Back In Europe. New Buying Opportunity?
May 30, 2024
The dollar initially extended yesterday's North American recovery but unwound most of the gains in the European morning. As North American dealers return, the greenback is lower against most of the G10...
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks And Bonds Retreat, Greenback Extends Recovery But Little Changed Ahead Of North American Session
May 29, 2024
Stocks and bonds are lower today, and the dollar is slightly firmer having extended yesterday's recovery. Most of the G10 currencies are lower, though the Japanese yen has recovered from after falling...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
UK CPI Disappoints
May 22, 2024
The economic highlight from Europe today was the firmer than expected UK's April CPI. It rose by 0.3% on the month (instead of 0.1% as anticipated), which, given the base effect, pushed the...
Via
Talk Markets
Is China Dumping U.S. Treasuries And Buying Gold?
May 17, 2024
Bloomberg reported that China is selling a record amount of US debt while buying gold. Previous reports of debt selling were false.
Via
Talk Markets
After Limited Follow-Through Selling, The Dollar Has Come Back Bid
May 16, 2024
Three of the G10 currencies rose by more than 1% against the US dollar yesterday after the softer inflation and weak retail sales readings. The Dollar Index lost almost 0.65% yesterday, the most this...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Value Of The Chinese Yuan: Down 15% Since 2022M03
April 22, 2024
There’s been a lot of discussion of overcapacity in Chinese production, and the resulting pressures in the U.S. and other markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Chinese Market Commentary - Tuesday, February 20
February 20, 2024
The .25% reduction marks the first LPR cut since June and the largest reduction since the bank introduced the rate in 2019, larger than the .15% cut the market was looking for.
Via
Talk Markets
May Day Fed Day
May 01, 2024
Much of Asia and Europe are off for the May Day labor holiday. The dollar is mostly softer in the thin activity. However, the dollar has edged higher against the yen to approached JPY158.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Tuesday Talk: Money War Go Together Like...
April 16, 2024
I'll let you complete the headline, each to one's own worldview; but the stock market is getting off easy blaming the Middle East for its current correction rather than its own excesses.
Via
Talk Markets
US-China Trade Decline May Have Hit A Bottom
April 10, 2024
The fallout from President Biden's anti-free trade policies with China has been worse than the losses that occurred during former President Trump's 2018 tariff war with China prior to the coronavirus...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Government
World Trade
Exposures
COVID-19
Political
Tariff
US CPI, New Security Initiatives With Tokyo And Manila, Bank Of Canada Meeting
April 10, 2024
The dollar has been confined to narrow ranges ahead of the US CPI report. Given the backup of US rates and the stronger-than-expected jobs growth, the greenback's performance has been unimpressive.
Via
Talk Markets
China PMI Is Better Than Expected But The Greenback Still Rises Above CNY 7.23
April 01, 2024
The dollar is trading quietly against the G10 currencies as European markets remain on holiday. Narrow ranges have prevailed. The dollar-bloc currencies are leading with minor gains, perhaps helped on...
Via
Talk Markets
Market Hears A Dovish Fed And Sells The Greenback
March 21, 2024
The Federal Reserve triggered a dollar sell-off yesterday and follow-through selling was seen in Asia before profit-taking emerged. That created a new dollar selling opportunity in early European...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Japanese Officials Weigh-In And Help Yen Stabilize, While Euro And Sterling Extend Losses
February 14, 2024
The market's reaction to the firmer than expected January CPI seems exaggerated. We do not think it was the game-changer for the Federal Reserve that the market seemed to think.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Greenback Is In Narrow Ranges To Start The Week
February 12, 2024
The foreign exchange market is quiet. The Lunar New Year holiday shut most Asian markets. That, coupled with the light news in Europe, have served to keep the dollar in narrow ranges against the G10...
Via
Talk Markets
Keep It Bullish Stupid
February 12, 2024
In this week’s Dirty Dozen we again reiterate the simple reasons to stay long the trend, we highlight some improving tailwinds while noting some risks worth watching, cover a bull signal in healthcare,...
Via
Talk Markets
China CPI Report: More Deflation On The Way?
February 07, 2024
The Chinese CPI inflation report for the month of January is the financial data release that stands out from the crowd this week. Economists will scrutinize the report as the country’s economy has...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
Sterling Moves Back Into Previous Trading Range, But Will It Hold?
February 07, 2024
The dollar is trading with a slightly heavier bias as some of its recent gains are pared. Sterling has moved back into the $1.26-$1.28 trading range that dominated since the middle of last December...
Via
Talk Markets
China Begins Year Of The Dragon With Weak Economic Momentum
February 07, 2024
The Chinese economy is stabilizing but the only fireworks will come from the new year celebrations which begin on 11 February as momentum remains weak.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Oil Retraces Initial Surge, Euro Slips To Marginal New Low, While Sterling Hugs $1.27
January 29, 2024
Hong Kong court ordered liquidation of China's Evergrande. There was a reversal of oil prices after a sharp rally initially in Asia after separate attack in the Middle East that killed US troops in...
Via
Talk Markets
China Now The Biggest Retail Buyer Of Gold
January 26, 2024
The Chinese stock market and currency have both plummeted in value over the past several months. But gold prices have hit record highs in terms of the Chinese yuan.
Via
Talk Markets
China’s Moves To Strengthen Yuan Amid Turbulence
January 22, 2024
As global financial markets face headwinds, China has taken decisive actions to strengthen its currency, the yuan.
Via
Talk Markets
The Yuan To USD Dynamics: Challenges In Asian Currencies
January 18, 2024
Most Asian currencies experienced limited movement on Thursday, following substantial losses in the previous session.
Via
Talk Markets
The Impact Of Weak Chinese Growth On Asian Currencies
January 17, 2024
Concerns loomed over China’s economic performance, amplifying the pressure on Asian currencies.
Via
Talk Markets
Charted: How Major Currencies Did In 2023
January 04, 2024
By far, the best performing major currency of 2023 was the Mexican peso, which appreciated nearly 15% against the dollar.
Via
Talk Markets
FX Turnover Through 2022
January 02, 2024
What is interesting is the remarkable constancy of the two top currencies, USD and EUR.
Via
Talk Markets
Asian Currencies Shine In December Amid Dynamics
December 26, 2023
In the ever-evolving landscape of global currencies, the spotlight is on Asian currencies as we approach the end of the year.
Via
Talk Markets
Chinese Yuan Faces Headwinds Amid Disinflation Jitters
December 11, 2023
The Chinese yuan, once a stalwart currency, finds itself among the worst performers as disinflationary trends continue to grip the nation.
Via
Talk Markets
FX Daily: Don’t Chase The Dollar Bear Trend
November 27, 2023
At the start of a quiet week for data, the dollar is hovering near recent lows. However, we do not think this is yet the start of the big, cyclical turn lower in the dollar we expect for next year.
Via
Talk Markets
USD/JPY Outlook: China’s Yuan Guidance Weakens The Dollar
November 21, 2023
China’s upward guidance of the yuan weighed on the dollar. The yen strengthened over 0.5%, reaching its highest point in seven weeks. Investors are anticipating the release of Fed minutes.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
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