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Is the “Dollar” Still King? Unpacking America’s Paper Power
April 27, 2025
For nearly eight decades the U.S. dollar has worn the crown of global commerce - pricing oil, anchoring central-bank reserves, and underwriting America’s unrivaled borrowing binge.
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Futures Positions Of Non-Commercials: Latest CoT Report
April 27, 2025
A dramatic confrontation between the White House and the Federal Reserve has been put off – for now. Come Tuesday, Trump said he has “no intention” of firing Powell before his term ends.
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Commodities
Currencies/Forex
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Fresh SPX Bull Run, Or Dead Cat Bounce
April 27, 2025
Rotations are the strength of bull uplegs, and given that we‘re one mean tweet away from fresh decline, profits must be taken when they‘re there.
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Bonds
Commodities
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DXY Index: Here’s Why The U.S. Dollar Crash Is Not Over Yet
April 27, 2025
The US dollar index has crashed from near $110 earlier this year to $99.17.
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Currencies/Forex
Selling Every Rip Or What
February 23, 2025
The more south yields turn, the more trouble for the US Dollar.
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Dollar Downtrend Driving Markets
April 21, 2025
Dollar downtrend means big changes in financial markets.
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Breaking: EUR/USD rallies hard to reclaim 1.1500 for first time since November 2021
April 21, 2025
EUR/USD rallies over 1% in Asian trading on Monday as the relentless selling interest in the US Dollar (USD) paves the way.
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Next SPX Move Will Surprise You
April 20, 2025
European and international stocks are outperforming as the US trade initiatives seek to rebalance international trade, which will of course be reflected in lesser need for USD (capital account...
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Commodities
Currencies/Forex
The Slide In The U.S. Dollar Threatens Its World Dominance
April 17, 2025
The damage done from an erratic tariff policy is irreparable. Hence, the USD has lost ground to its competitors in the currency markets.
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World Trade
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Mexican Peso Rallies As USD/MXN Falls Below 20.00
April 16, 2025
Mexican Peso appreciates 0.58% as USD/MXN dips below 20.00 on sour risk tone, weak US Dollar.
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U.S. Dollar Selloff Testing Important Support… For The 3rd Time
April 15, 2025
The U.S. Dollar has been pretty darn weak for the past several weeks. Since December, it’s fallen from around 109 to 100.
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More Tariff Relief Profits
April 13, 2025
Two warnings as loud as ever that US also feels (short-term?) pain from the tariff war - yields rise, USD falls, gold is rocketing up, BTC decoupling from Nasdaq.
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Everyone Thinks The Dollar Is Crashing — They’re Missing The Real Risk
April 13, 2025
When it comes to the dollar or anything related to the monetary system what everyone says is rarely ever so.
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CoT: The Future Through Futures And Hedge Fund Positions
April 13, 2025
If a genuine unwinding gets underway, there is a long way to go on the downside. But it is too soon to declare that. Yes, volatility bulls were unable to cling on to the weekly highs, but there are...
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Greenback On The Brink: The Dollar ETFs Everyone's Watching
April 12, 2025
ETFs tracking US dollar gaining attention as currency faces pressure amid trade tensions and weak economy.
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Benzinga
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Wild Monday Ahead
April 06, 2025
Is this the capitulation bottom, or will those who had been calling for correction wake up to a bear market?
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CoT - Peek Into Future Through Futures - How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
April 06, 2025
This is cost-push inflation, not demand-pull which was experienced during Covid. Many fear the US economy is headed for stagflation.
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U.S. Dollar Weakens Further As Tariffs And Soft Data Sink Sentiment
April 03, 2025
DXY tumbles toward the 102 zone in Thursday’s session after Trump’s sweeping tariff plan fuels recession fears.
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CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned - Sunday, March 30
March 30, 2025
After 3 weeks of staying net long, hedge funds once again switched back to net short e-mini S&P500 futures.
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Talk Markets
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Bonds
Futures
Stocks / Equities
Snapback Rally And Bouncing Dollar
March 23, 2025
if stocks wanted to tank, they would do so on stagflationary, record bad UoM consumer data or continued tariff news barrage – and that isn't happening,
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Stocks / Equities
World Trade
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CoT: What Futures, Hedge Funds Positions Can Tell Us
March 23, 2025
For the second week in a row, the Nasdaq 100 traded in a sideways pattern. Last week, it fell 2.5% but recovered from a 5.2% decline at one time. This week, the tech-heavy index inched up 0.25 percent...
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2001: A Historical Odyssey For Gold Stocks
March 09, 2025
Gold stocks bottomed in 2000, turned up in 2001, and began to lead gold (rising HUI/Gold ratio) that year as well. HUI eventually tacked on well over a 300% gain while most stock markets were bearish.
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Commodities
CoT: Peek Into Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positioning
March 09, 2025
Non-commercials just switched to net long e-mini S&P 500 futures after remaining net short for 14 weeks in a row. They are likely to do well on this switch – at least near term.
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Bonds
Currencies/Forex
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Sleight Of Hand Behind The ‘One-Time Adjustment’ And ‘Transitory’ Tariff Inflation Narrative
March 08, 2025
Tariffs embed lasting inflation, challenging the idea of a
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
USDJPY Analysis And Price Prediction Forecast
March 08, 2025
A pretty strong bearish signal - the monthly time frame shows us we are currently inside the bearish breakout, but we have several weeks until this month closes.
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Is U.S. Dollar Topping Pattern Pointing To Broader Concerns?
March 06, 2025
The U.S. Dollar Index rallied sharply into inauguration day. Since then, it’s been very weak.
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Currencies/Forex
Markets Kick Off The Week Facing A Geopolitical Double Whammy
March 02, 2025
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Peek Into The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positions - March 2
March 02, 2025
Since September last year, 23 – or thereabouts – has posed difficulty for volatility bulls, and this trend prevailed this week as well. VIX for now is probably headed lower.
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US Equities
CoT: Peek Into The Future Thru Futures - How Hedge Funds Are Positioned, Feb. 23
February 23, 2025
It is tough guessing how things will shake out in the next few weeks, let alone for the remainder of the year or the next four years. If there is any certainty, it is that it will be volatile.
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Stocks / Equities
Three Things I'm Thinking
February 22, 2025
Trump’s policies are likely to be marginally disinflationary, but even if they’re not you’re still going to end up with lower interest rates because he will install a new Fed Chief who will give him...
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Economy
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