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March 2025 Monthly
March 01, 2025
If the past few weeks are anything to go by, the transition away from the US traditional approach to trade and defense are unsettling as transitions often are.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
Now What?
February 28, 2025
There is a key divide in the market. One camp sees the US tariff threats as bluster and a negotiating tactic. The other camp, which I find myself in, thinks something more serious is happening.
Via
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
World Trade
Exposures
Tariff
USD/CHF Strengthens To Near 0.8950 Despite Weak US Economic Data, Tariff Worries
February 26, 2025
USD/CHF gains momentum to around 0.8950 in Wednesday’s early European session, adding 0.25% on the day. The cautious stance from the Fed supports the US Dollar.
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Currencies/Forex
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Week Ahead: Tariffs Loom And The State Of The Trump Trade
February 22, 2025
Many observers seem confused. They express disappointment that the so-called
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Government
Exposures
Political
EMU PMI Disappoints, US Snubs G20, And BOJ Threatens To Buy JGBs
February 21, 2025
The US dollar enjoys a firmer tone today after falling to new two-month lows against several of the G10 currencies. The market lacks near-term conviction as the US tariff threat looms after next week.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
World Trade
Exposures
Tariff
USD/CHF Forex Signal: Testing The Floor
February 17, 2025
USD/CHF tests key support as market uncertainty boosts the franc, but a close above 0.9020 may trigger a bullish reversal toward 0.9150.
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Elliott Wave Technical Analysis: U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc - Friday, Feb. 21
February 21, 2025
The ongoing impulsive wave structure suggests that the market is likely to continue its downward trajectory in the near term.
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Yen Jumps Amid Signs Tokyo Does Not Object To Normalizing Monetary Policy
February 20, 2025
The dollar's gains scored in North America yesterday have been reversed today. It is softer against all the G10 currencies, led by the Japanese yen.
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Currencies/Forex
Euro Pullback Extends, While The Kiwi Shrugs Off Third Half-Point Cut By The RBNZ
February 19, 2025
The US warned that the next phase of the tariff war could be announced in early April and three industries, auto, pharma, and chips.
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World Trade
Exposures
Tariff
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Extends Winning Streak For Fourth Trading Day
February 19, 2025
USD/CHF moves higher to near 0.9050 as the US Dollar ticks higher ahead of FOMC minutes. The Fed guided in January that interest rates will remain at their current levels until the labor market is...
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Currencies/Forex
Economy
Exposures
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Week Ahead: RBA To Begin Easing Cycle And USD Downside Correction May Be Nearly Over
February 15, 2025
The US threat of aluminum and steel tariffs and reciprocal tariffs initially shook the markets, but the implementation at some future date gives the impression that the threats are negotiating ploys...
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
World Trade
Exposures
Tariff
CAD/CHF Forecast: Can CAD/CHF Break Above 0.64?
February 13, 2025
The Canadian dollar initially pulled back a bit during the early hours on Wednesday but has turned around to show signs of life as the 200-day EMA has offered a significant amount of support.
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Currencies/Forex
FX Daily: Is A Euro Re-Rating Underway?
February 12, 2025
The euro has been doing a little better this week. It is unclear whether this is some re-assessment – helped by the outperformance of eurozone equities – that all the bad news is priced in.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
Eerie Calm in FX Market
February 11, 2025
The US announced that the 25% steel and aluminum tariffs will not be effective for a month (March 12), and this gives the impression that they are a negotiating tactic, which may help explain why there...
Via
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
World Trade
Exposures
Tariff
USD/CHF Forecast: What Next For The Crashing Swiss Franc?
February 11, 2025
The USD/CHF pair has held steady amid Fed and SNB divergence.
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Economy
Exposures
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USD Surrenders Most Gains Seen after Trump Threatens Steel and Aluminum Tariffs
February 10, 2025
The US is continuing to brandish the tariff threat. On top of the
Via
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Government
World Trade
Exposures
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Tariff
USD/CHF Holds Positive Ground Above 0.9100 On Firmer US Dollar
February 10, 2025
USD/CHF gains ground to near 0.9110 in Monday’s early European session. The upbeat US employment data for January supports the US Dollar. The uncertainty and ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions...
Via
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
Week Ahead: Firm US CPI May Underpin Dollar, Barring New Drama From Washington
February 08, 2025
Many market participants appear to have forgotten the drama of Trump's first term. It was driven home with the tariff threat on Canada and Mexico, which was postponed at the last minutes.
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Government
World Trade
Exposures
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Elliott Wave Technical Analysis: U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc - Friday, Feb. 7
February 07, 2025
The development of wave 3 is expected to push prices lower, and traders should closely observe market conditions for continuation signals or potential corrections.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
Yen Leads Further Unwinding Of The Dollar's Tariff-Threat Inspired Gains
February 05, 2025
The US dollar is trading heavily as the pullback from tariff-threat extreme continues. It is weakest against all the G10 currencies and most emerging market currencies.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
USD/CHF Holds Losses Below 0.9050 As US Dollar Undergoes A Downward Correction
February 05, 2025
USD/CHF loses ground as the US Dollar weakens for the third consecutive session on Wednesday.
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Brinkmanship And Theater
February 04, 2025
Asia Pacific currencies are mostly firmer, while several central European currencies, the South African rand, and Mexican peso are slightly softer.
Via
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
Fed Day: Vigorous Defense of Independence While Standing Pat
January 29, 2025
Tariffs and the Federal Reserve meeting are center stage today. Yesterday, the White House reiterated that tariffs on Canada and Mexico could be announced this weekend.
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Currencies/Forex
Economy
World Trade
Exposures
Interest Rates
Tariff
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bounces Back Amid Fears Of Widening Fed-SNB Policy Divergence
January 28, 2025
USD/CHF recovers strongly from 0.8965 as investors expect the Fed-SNB policy divergence to widen further.
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Currencies/Forex
New Tariff Threat Fuels Turn Around Tuesday ahead of Tomorrow's FOMC Decision
January 28, 2025
The US dollar recorded lows for the month against many of the major currencies yesterday but has come back bid today.
Via
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Currencies/Forex
Elliott Wave Technical Analysis: U.S. Dollar/Swiss Franc - Tuesday, Jan. 28
January 28, 2025
The expected emergence of wave B suggests that the corrective trend will continue before a potential return to bullish momentum.
Via
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
Speculators Raise New Zealand Dollar Bets After Drop To All-Time Low
January 27, 2025
The COT currency market speculator bets were slightly higher this week as six out of the eleven currency markets we cover had higher positioning while the other five markets had lower speculator...
Via
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
Futures
USD/CHF Forecast: US Dollar Continues To Climb Against The Swiss Franc
January 24, 2025
The US dollar rallied a bit during the trading session here on Thursday, as it looks like the 0.91 level is being targeted.
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Topics
Currencies/Forex
USD/CHF Forecast: USD Continues To Climb Against The Swiss Franc
January 24, 2025
The US dollar rallied a bit during the trading session here on Thursday, as it looks like the 0.91 level is being targeted. If we can break the market above here, and I don't see any reason why we...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
USD/CHF Forecast: US Dollar Continues To Chop Against Swiss Franc
January 22, 2025
Long-term, the US dollar is bullish against the Swiss Franc, right now this is a potential “buy on the dips” market just waiting to happen.
Via
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Currencies/Forex
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