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CoT: Peek Into Future Thru Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned - Feb. 16
February 16, 2025
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Degenerates, Delinquents, 'Soaring Demand,' And Dollar Devaluation
February 14, 2025
Margin debt has hit a new record of $937 billion dollars. The previous record was $935 billion in October of 2021. This is old-fashioned leverage, borrowing against the rising value of your portfolio.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Commodities
Stocks / Equities
How To Trap The Bears
February 09, 2025
Fear not yet the rising yen, it hadn't caused any issues to risk appetite – inflation expectations ascent is what did it.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Currencies/Forex
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned - Feb. 9
February 09, 2025
Futures traders now have their money on one 25-basis-point cut this year, down from two just a couple of weeks ago. Literally no one expects a raise this year.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Tariff Wars Become All Too Real
February 02, 2025
Negotiated tariffs solution, or greater melee ahead as Trump admin is taking on the trade deficit?
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Exposures
Political
Tariff
U.S. Dollar Index Analysis As Focus Shifts To NFP Data
September 29, 2024
The US dollar index tumbled to the key support level at $100 last week.
Via
Talk Markets
CoT - Futures Positions Of Noncommercials, More
February 02, 2025
It is a wait and watch for the central bankers as well as the markets. If anything, the risk going forward is renewed strength in inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Trump Trade Back In Vogue – Societe Generale
January 26, 2025
The correlation of the dollar and the shape of the Treasury curve is going through a first and tentative regime change, although the proximity of the Fed and ECB meetings next week calls for caution in...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
Economy
Government
Exposures
Interest Rates
Political
CoT - Peek Into Future Through Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
January 19, 2025
Equity bulls had a huge week, rallying the S&P 500 index 2.9 percent to 5997, but more work lies ahead as the large cap index closed on dual trendline resistance.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Exposures
US Equities
The Weekender: Bracing For A Blitz Of Executive Order
January 18, 2025
The yen has emerged as the standout performer among the G10 currencies this week,
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
How The Dollar Is Sparking A Hidden Global Crisis
December 29, 2024
The biggest surprise of 2024 wasn't any election results nor was it the fact central banks worldwide are more desperately accelerating rate cuts as the year draws to close.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
Short Squeeze Vs. New Upleg
December 22, 2024
Sure XLRE, XLU got a boost, but look at where XLF, KRE were able to reach Friday and this IWM underperformance makes sense, because - yields.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Stocks / Equities
U.S. Dollar Is Coming Into Resistance As Expected
December 19, 2024
The U.S. Dollar is coming into resistance as expected, as we have been tracking a five-wave impulse from technical and Elliott Wave perspective.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Currencies/Forex
Speculator Extremes: Lean Hogs & Nasdaq Lead Weekly Bullish Positions
December 16, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Possible Impact Of Trump's Immigration, Economic And Trade Policies
December 08, 2024
Countries don’t pay tariffs, consumers do. A 100% tariff on a thingamajig from China will mean a consumer will pay twice what s/he was paying before. China won’t pay anything.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Government
Immigration
Exposures
Immigration
Political
Tariff
The Future Thru Futures: What We're Gleaning From The Latest CoT Report
December 08, 2024
This time around, with seasonal tailwind at their back, tech bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt so long as the index remains above 20500s.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Peeking At The Future: Using CoT To Assess Hedge Fund, Noncommercial Positions
November 24, 2024
This week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index rallied 1.9 percent to 20776. The all-time high of 21182 was posted on the 11th (this month) and is within reach. Rally odds grow so long as the index remains...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Stocks / Equities
As Financial Conditions Tighten, Global Stock Outflows Typically Heighten
November 18, 2024
Asian markets are reeling under a quadruple threat— looming tariffs, rising U.S. bond yields, a surging dollar, and Wall Street’s stumbles—shaking the foundations of emerging-market stability.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
World Trade
Exposures
Debt Markets
Tariff
Speculator Extremes: Lean Hogs, Ultra T-Bonds, US Dollar & 5-Year Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
November 17, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Peeking Into The Future Via CoT - Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
November 17, 2024
Inability to rally to a new high after coming so close is not encouraging news for small-cap bulls. All other major equity indices have left their highs from 2021 and 2022 behind, but not the Russell...
Via
Talk Markets
Using CoT To Analyze The Near Future
November 10, 2024
Long rates likely rallied expecting a whole host of things during Trump presidency – from rising odds of a soaring budget deficit to resurging inflation to higher economic growth to pure technicals.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Government
Exposures
Interest Rates
Political
U.S. Dollar Rally Near Critical Inflection Point
November 08, 2024
In a world where the U.S. Dollar still makes the world go round, it’s vitally important that investors pay attention to potential pivot points for the buck.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Dollar Set For Further Weakness Post-Election?
November 05, 2024
King Dollar has been in a broad falling price channel since 2022. Within that channel, the dollar fell below its blue up-trend line before rallying back to test the underside of it over the past two...
Via
Talk Markets
EUR/USD At Potential Support That May Lead To A Rally
October 27, 2024
EUR/USD finds support at the bottom of a large symmetrical triangle formation. Subsequent signs of strength may signal the beginning of a rally.
Via
Talk Markets
Reading The Future: How To Interpret The Latest CoT Report
October 27, 2024
In September, manufacturing activity was flat m/m at 47.2 percent, which was the sixth consecutive reading of sub-50. Earlier, March’s 50.2 percent broke a 16-month streak of contraction.
Via
Talk Markets
BRICS Summit 2024: Russian President Calls For De-Dollarization, Here's How It Could Impact US Investors
October 24, 2024
The latest BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia has intensified discussions around de-dollarization, potentially impacting several major currency-focused exchange-traded funds and raising concerns among U.S....
Via
Benzinga
Speculator Extremes: Russell 2000, VIX, USD Index & 5-Year Bonds Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
October 20, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Dollar Index Is Looking For A Bigger Recovery After A Pullback
October 14, 2024
Dollar index is Looking for a bigger recovery after a pullback, because we see only one strong leg up from the lows, but it needs to be finished in minimum three legs by Elliott Wave theory.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Domination: JPMorgan Strategist On How The Greenback Shapes Fate Of Franc, Yuan, Rupee
October 09, 2024
Dollar strength is fueled by strong economic fundamentals, and with rising interest rates, it's become a magnet for global capital flows.
Via
Benzinga
Ishiba Will Back BoJ Normalization, Paving The Way For A Stronger Yen
September 30, 2024
The Fed’s fight might have shifted, but the path forward for FX markets still requires careful footwork.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
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