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CoT On The Future Through Futures, Hedge Funds Positioning
September 15, 2024
The enigmatic end-of-the-week rise in the odds for a 50-basis-point cut is nothing but markets’ way of putting pressure on the Fed. It is highly unlikely the Fed obliges.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Week Ahead - Saturday, Sept. 14
September 14, 2024
The markets seemed to be screaming over this past week, especially the bond market. In this video, I take a look at the bond market's price action.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
A Steeper Curve May Cause The Technology Sector To Sink Further
September 12, 2024
I noticed something today that I hadn’t seen before in the same way, and it could help us understand why the equity market behaves in such unusual ways.
Via
Talk Markets
Here's Why Treasury ETFs Are Scaling New Highs
September 12, 2024
While the Treasury rally has been broad-based across various maturities, we have highlighted five from different ends of the yield curve that scaled to new highs in the latest trading session.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Gold Reaches Record High As Dollar Weakens On Soft Producer Inflation Data; Wall Street Eyes Fourth Day Of Gains
September 12, 2024
A broadly softer-than-expected U.S. producer inflation report triggered market shifts on Thursday, driving down the value of the dollar and Treasury yields while boosting gold prices to a new all-time...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Dollar, Treasury Yields Rise As Small Caps Fall: August Inflation Crushes Odds Of 50-Point Fed Rate Cut
September 11, 2024
U.S. inflation in August hit its lowest annual rate since February 2021 at 2.5%, falling from 2.9% in July and below the expected 2.6%, yet the underlying story tells a more complicated tale.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Wall Street Falls Ahead Of Trump-Harris Debate, Bank Stocks Tumble, Oil Plummets To $65 On Weaker Demand Outlook: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?
September 10, 2024
Risk aversion is shaping another tough day for Wall Street, with stocks trading in the red as investors await the presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
How the Fed's Rate Cuts Could Boost Bonds, Silver, and Small Caps
September 10, 2024
These are the three places investors could consider making an investment into before the year is over, some of Wall Street's best are already in there
Via
MarketBeat
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
A New High In GDX Is Possible
September 09, 2024
We are up over 25% this year so far; SPX is up around 14%.
Via
Talk Markets
Long-Dated Treasury ETFs Hit Yearly Highs With August CPI Data Ahead: More 'Good News On Inflation' Expected
September 09, 2024
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) reaches new 2024 highs as investors await the August CPI report, with inflation forecasted to show further moderation.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
ETFs
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
A CPI Miss Would Be Bad News For Stocks
September 08, 2024
This week, we will focus on prices, with the CPI report on Wednesday, the PPI report on Thursday, and import/export prices on Friday. Analysts expect the CPI report to show a 0.2% month-over-month...
Via
Talk Markets
Slowdown Ahead - How Much Will They Cut?
September 08, 2024
Given the non-farm payroll revisions in the past few months (almost 1,000,000 less jobs created) and the monthly job number misses, it is no surprise that portfolio managers are beginning to prepare...
Via
Talk Markets
Speculator Extremes: Ultra T-Bonds, Yen, 5-Year & Cotton Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
September 08, 2024
This weekly
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Textiles
Peeking Into The Future Through CoT Report: Futures, Noncommercial Buyers, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
September 08, 2024
Just ahead of VIX’s Aug. 5 spike reversal tagging 65.73 intraday, the weekly RSI rallied to low-70s . The metric went sideways at the median for a few weeks, lifting off this week to 62-plus. This is a...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Weekly Recap And DARP Update - Saturday, Sept. 7
September 07, 2024
In this video, I take a look at the various market changes seen throughout the week. I also review the numbers for demand, average revenue, and price.
Via
Talk Markets
Treasury Yields Plunge, TLT ETF Tops $100, VIX Spikes As 50-Basis-Point Rate Cut Odds Soar In Response To Jobs Data
September 06, 2024
The U.S. Treasury market rallies on weak job data, boosting odds of Fed rate cuts. Yields fall and curve normalizes, triggering market reactions.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
ETFs
Economy
Stocks
Exposures
Interest Rates
US Equities
Spotlight On US Treasuries, Where Are Long-Term Bond Yields Headed?
September 06, 2024
My guess is bond yields are heading much lower between now and September 11. However, there have been four bounces off this level since late last year. I expect support to crumble in the wake of...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
SPDR ETF Report For Thursday, Sept 5
September 05, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the day's trading in various SPDR-ETF markets for the trading day that ended, Thursday, September 5.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Gold Rallies, Yen Surges, Treasury Yields Fall As Disappointing Payrolls Data Supports Large Rate-Cut Bets
September 05, 2024
U.S. employment growth lower in August triggered interest rate-sensitive asset rallies, while pushing Treasury yields down and increasing 50-basis-point Fed rate cut bets.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Stocks Rebound, Chipmakers Halt Bloodbath As Traders Upgrade Rate Cut Wagers; Tesla Rises, Dollar Tree In Free Fall: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?
September 04, 2024
Wall Street traded slightly higher on Wednesday, rebounding after the sharp sell-off a day earlier that saw chipmakers tumble, with NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) shedding around $280 billion in market...
Via
Benzinga
July Job Openings Fall To 3-Year Lows, Gap With Unemployment Narrows To Near Parity: Traders Raise Rate Cut Bets
September 04, 2024
US employment vacancies drop, signal cooling labor market. Job openings down to 7.673M in July, below expectations.
Via
Benzinga
Trends Investors Should Watch This Quarter for Market Insights
September 04, 2024
Even if there is some weakness in the overall market, investors can find safety in the trends that have been made by mega investors today
Via
MarketBeat
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Economy
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
Interest Rates
US ETFs Attract $75 Billion In August, Push 2024 Inflows Over $600 Billion: 7 Investor Favorite Funds
September 03, 2024
ETF inflows in August 2024 reached $75 billion, a 5x increase from last year. Year-to-date total has surpassed $600 billion, on track to challenge all-time record. Passive ETFs dominate with $8.7...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
ETFs
Traders Bet Aggressively On Rate Cuts Ahead Of Jobs Data: 5 ETFs To Watch This Week
September 03, 2024
Investors anticipate the release of critical labor market data between Wednesday and Friday, heightening their expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
ETFs
Wall Street Tumbles, Yen Surges, Oil Sinks Below $70, VIX Spikes As Traders Brace For Volatile Month: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?
September 03, 2024
The first trading session of September started with a widespread selloff across risk assets, as traders took a cautious approach ahead of what is historically a volatile month for global markets.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
COT Speculator Extremes: Yen, Gold & Brazil Real Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
September 01, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Hedge Funds Positions, Noncommercial Buying - How CoT Peeks Into The Future
September 01, 2024
Right here and now, both the equity and bond markets are in disagreement with the fed funds futures traders. Incidentally, the beginning of an easing cycle historically is not equity-friendly.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
SPDR ETF Report For Thursday, Aug 29
August 30, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the day's trading in various SPDR-ETF markets for the trading day that ended, Thursday, August 29.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Traders Scale Back Bets On 50-Basis-Point September Rate Cut Ahead of Friday's Key Fed Inflation Gauge Data
August 29, 2024
US GDP growth revised upwards, leading to doubts about significant rate cut next month. Market awaits Fed's PCE report for inflation data.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Fitch Reaffirms US 'AA+' Credit Rating, Warns Of Growing Debt Burden: 'Tax Cuts Will Be Extended Under Either Trump Or Harris'
August 29, 2024
Fitch Ratings reaffirms US sovereign credit rating at 'AA+' with stable outlook; cites high per capita income and financial flexibility, but also concerns over debt and political polarization.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
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