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Peeking Into The Future Via CoT - Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
November 17, 2024
Inability to rally to a new high after coming so close is not encouraging news for small-cap bulls. All other major equity indices have left their highs from 2021 and 2022 behind, but not the Russell...
Via
Talk Markets
The Return Of The Inflation Dragon
November 16, 2024
Markets are notoriously slow to move on threats they can’t fully quantify, and inflation forecasts haven’t exactly set the world on fire.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Buy The Blood In The Streets?
November 16, 2024
Today's article talking ES, yields, VIX, PMs and oil, and more.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Weekend Reading – BBB Edition
November 16, 2024
It’s all a bit weird. The 10 year T-note has jumped from 3.6% to 4.5% even though the Fed has signaled that they’re going to cut rates to 3%.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
You Need To Take This Selloff Seriously
November 15, 2024
While these dips don’t seem statistically significant - and they might not be - they’re a harbinger of some big, big moves.
Via
Talk Markets
My SPX Support – Now What
November 15, 2024
The S&P 500 held up till a bit hotter than expected PPI came, setting the daily tone in twists and turns.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Financial Markets Report For Thursday, Nov 14
November 14, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, November 14.
Via
Talk Markets
Here's How Billionaire Ken Fisher's Hedge Fund Made $14 Billion Last Quarter
November 14, 2024
Legendary investor Ken Fisher's hedge fund grew the value of its portfolio by more than $14 billion dollars in the last quarter.
Via
Benzinga
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Thursday, Nov. 14
November 14, 2024
The market premium for the US 10-year Treasury yield rose in October. The increase marks the first time since April that the premium increased.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Wednesday, Nov 13
November 13, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, November 13.
Via
Talk Markets
Equity Exuberance And Fixed Income Foreshadowing
November 13, 2024
While U.S. equity markets have typically rallied following a presidential election, the bond market’s movements have historically shown less of a directional trend.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Higher Rates Tend To Be Self-Correcting
November 13, 2024
With a price of more than 5x book value, U.S. stocks are the most overvalued since the tech-mania top in March 2020.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed: Why They Will Cut Rates (But Probably Should NOT)
November 13, 2024
The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25 basis points today. If we were on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), we would strongly dissent in favor of a pause.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Asia Morning Bites For Wednesday, Nov 13
November 12, 2024
Tariff talk and Trump trades drive Asian FX weaker.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, Nov 12
November 12, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, November 12.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Open: Higher Treasury Yields Finally Put The Brakes On The Sizzling Post Election Rally
November 12, 2024
Rising government bond yields have put the brakes on the red-hot stock rally that’s driven major indexes to fresh records in recent days.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Stock Market Doom While Gold And Silver Zoom
November 12, 2024
Gold has dropped into a minor support zone of $2600-$2590. There’s another slightly “meatier” one at $2530.
Via
Talk Markets
Risk Assets Are Breaking Down Due To A Surging Dollar And Higher Rates
November 12, 2024
Global stock markets are struggling as rates rise and the dollar strengthens.
Via
Talk Markets
Secular Bear Market Will Begin In Trump’s 2nd Term
November 12, 2024
We discuss the reasons why a secular bear market will begin sometime in the next four years. Its a commentary on the conditions, not on Trump or his policy.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
Financial Markets Report For Monday, Nov 11
November 11, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Monday, November 11.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Turn, Turn, Turn
November 11, 2024
Stocks – and especially small and mid-cap stocks – rose as if the new Trump term will usher in a boom while bonds acknowledged no such likelihood.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Government
Exposures
Debt Markets
Political
The Dollar Remains Bid, While The Euro And Swiss Franc Are Sold Through Last Week's Lows
November 11, 2024
The dollar is bid to start the new week. It has taken out last week's high against the Swiss franc, and the euro has been sold through last week's lows.
Via
Talk Markets
What’s The Best Game In Town
November 10, 2024
S&P 500 went up again after Friday‘s opening bell, yet the second day of rising bond prices led to rotations favoring defensives.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Using CoT To Analyze The Near Future
November 10, 2024
Long rates likely rallied expecting a whole host of things during Trump presidency – from rising odds of a soaring budget deficit to resurging inflation to higher economic growth to pure technicals.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Government
Exposures
Interest Rates
Political
AskSlim Market Week - Friday, Nov. 8
November 08, 2024
An analysis and commentary on the financial markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Accumulate Exactly These Assets
November 08, 2024
Yields duly paused their rise yesterday, and I say that Treasuries going sideways or at least not plunging fast, is precisely what the doctor ordered for S&P 500 bulls.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Searching For Direction
November 08, 2024
The capital markets have been choppy as pre-existing positioning meets new thoughts on the implications of a second Trump administration.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
Financial Markets Report For Thursday, Nov 7
November 07, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, November 7.
Via
Talk Markets
Perception Points To Smooth Sailing Into Year-End
November 07, 2024
The story isn’t just about the rally itself but also about the remarkable volatility collapse paving the way for these gains.
Via
Talk Markets
Volatility Melt Sends Stocks Higher Following The U.S. Election
November 07, 2024
Stocks rose sharply following the US election as the VIX melts.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
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