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AXIS Capital (NYSE:AXS) Reports Sales Below Analyst Estimates In Q1 CY2026 Earnings

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AXS Cover Image

Global specialty insurer AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE: AXS) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026, but sales rose 5.9% year on year to $1.64 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $3.42 per share was 2.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy AXIS Capital? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

AXIS Capital (AXS) Q1 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Net Premiums Earned: $1.48 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.52 billion (10.4% year-on-year growth, 2.3% miss)
  • Revenue: $1.64 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.72 billion (5.9% year-on-year growth, 4.7% miss)
  • Combined Ratio: 89.8% vs analyst estimates of 90.3% (46 basis point beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $3.42 vs analyst estimates of $3.33 (2.7% beat)
  • Book Value per Share: $78.19 vs analyst estimates of $80.25 (14.9% year-on-year growth, 2.6% miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $7.44 billion

Company Overview

Founded in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks when insurance capacity was scarce, AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE: AXS) is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer that provides coverage for complex risks across property, liability, professional lines, cyber, and other specialty markets.

Revenue Growth

Big picture, insurers generate revenue from three key sources. The first is the core business of underwriting policies. The second source is income from investing the “float” (premiums collected upfront not yet paid out as claims) in assets such as fixed-income assets and equities. The third is fees from various sources such as policy administration, annuities, or other value-added services. Over the last five years, AXIS Capital grew its revenue at a mediocre 6.7% compounded annual growth rate. This was below our standard for the insurance sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

AXIS Capital Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within financials, a half-decade historical view may miss recent interest rate changes, market returns, and industry trends. AXIS Capital’s annualized revenue growth of 6.8% over the last two years aligns with its five-year trend, suggesting its demand was consistently weak. AXIS Capital Year-On-Year Revenue GrowthNote: Quarters not shown were determined to be outliers, impacted by outsized investment gains/losses that are not indicative of the recurring fundamentals of the business.

This quarter, AXIS Capital’s revenue grew by 5.9% year on year to $1.64 billion, missing Wall Street’s estimates.

Net premiums earned made up 89.3% of the company’s total revenue during the last five years, meaning AXIS Capital barely relies on non-insurance activities to drive its overall growth.

AXIS Capital Quarterly Net Premiums Earned as % of Revenue

Our experience and research show the market cares primarily about an insurer’s net premiums earned growth as investment and fee income are considered more susceptible to market volatility and economic cycles.

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Book Value Per Share (BVPS)

Insurance companies are balance sheet businesses, collecting premiums upfront and paying out claims over time. The float – premiums collected but not yet paid out – are invested, creating an asset base supported by a liability structure. Book value captures this dynamic by measuring:

  • Assets (investment portfolio, cash, reinsurance recoverables) - liabilities (claim reserves, debt, future policy benefits)

BVPS is essentially the residual value for shareholders.

We therefore consider BVPS very important to track for insurers and a metric that sheds light on business quality because it reflects long-term capital growth and is harder to manipulate than more commonly-used metrics like EPS.

AXIS Capital’s BVPS grew at a mediocre 7.5% annual clip over the last five years. However, BVPS growth has accelerated recently, growing by 15.6% annually over the last two years from $58.51 to $78.19 per share.

AXIS Capital Quarterly Book Value per Share

Over the next 12 months, Consensus estimates call for AXIS Capital’s BVPS to grow by 17.8% to $80.25, top-notch growth rate.

Key Takeaways from AXIS Capital’s Q1 Results

We struggled to find many positives in these results. Its revenue missed and its book value per share fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a softer quarter. The stock remained flat at $97.88 immediately following the results.

So should you invest in AXIS Capital right now? If you’re making that decision, you should consider the bigger picture of valuation, business qualities, as well as the latest earnings. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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