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Weekly Market Pulse: Here We Go Again
February 10, 2025
Stocks rallied during the week as earnings reports were pretty good, with exceptions as always, and the economic news wasn’t bad either.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Currencies/Forex
Stocks / Equities
Risk-On Sentiment Endures, Despite Trade Uncertainty
February 06, 2025
Since returning to the White House last month, President Trump has outlined a wave of policy changes, plans and comments that have roiled markets and shaken expectations about the economic outlook.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Government
Exposures
Political
Treasury Yields Edge Lower Despite Threat Of Trade War
February 05, 2025
President Trump’s comments and executive orders have roiled markets and investor expectations, but from the vantage of the Treasury market a relative calm prevails.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Government
Exposures
Political
Weekly Market Pulse: Is The Honeymoon Over Already?
January 27, 2025
President Trump’s first week on the job was a good one for markets. The S&P 500 was up 1.75%, with tech stocks taking the lead as the President welcomed a group of leading technology CEOs to D.C. to...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Bonds
Currencies/Forex
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
Political
US Equities
Bond Market Awaits News On Inflation, Tariffs And The Deficit
January 23, 2025
Treasury yields have taken a break from the sharp upswing that’s dominated trading in recent months.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Loonie Going Loco…
December 30, 2024
CAD is being led lower by falling yield spreads.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Currencies/Forex
Stocks / Equities
Markets Focus On Reflation Risk After Fed Cuts Rates
December 19, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Rates Ready To Plunge?
August 09, 2024
Rates seem to be forming their own very impressive topping patterns, similar to what happened before Covid.
Via
Talk Markets
Asian Markets Gear Up For A Rocky Start
August 04, 2024
The once-cherished narrative of a U.S. economic 'soft landing' has vanished faster than free snacks in a trading room, replaced by the grim prospect of a 'hard landing.'
Via
Talk Markets
Inauguration Caution Tempers Risk-On Rebound Amid US Holiday-Thinned Liquidity
January 20, 2025
The spectre of U.S. debt ceiling debates sharpens investor focus, adding another layer of caution to Monday's international market activities while the U.S. markets are closed for the MLk holiday.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Stocks / Equities
Are Treasury Yields Flashing A Warning Sign For Inflation?
January 08, 2025
The risk of reflation has been bubbling for several months and yesterday’s economic news on prices in the services sector fueled new concerns.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Risk-On Sentiment Prevails For 2025’s Debut, Fueled By U.S. Stocks
January 06, 2025
There are many reasons to question a bullish outlook at the start of the year, but the gravity-defying trend remains intact overall.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Speculator Extremes: Ultra T-Bonds, AUD, 5-Year & USD Index Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
November 24, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Rising Treasury Yields Raise Doubts About Another Fed Rate Cut
November 13, 2024
Fed funds futures are still leaning into expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce its target rate next by a quarter point, but the related confidence of the forecast is slipping.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Markets Confident That Rate Cuts Will Start In September
July 15, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Fed: Why They Will Cut Rates (But Probably Should NOT)
November 13, 2024
The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25 basis points today. If we were on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), we would strongly dissent in favor of a pause.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Are Institutions Getting Defensive Before Election?
November 02, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question,
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Threats Make Yield Curve ETFs a Top Trade
October 30, 2024
As inflation risks for the United States economy come back online, the trade for a yield curve steepening becomes the best alternative for investors to watch
Via
MarketBeat
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Economy
Interest Rates
Has The Bond Market Rally Peaked?
October 22, 2024
Fresh doubts are bubbling as the market reconsiders a range of risk factors, including renewed skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s commitment to cutting interest rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Mixed Signals Persist For Risk-On Sentiment Outlook
October 10, 2024
Investor sentiment has wobbled recently, but there’s still room for debate on whether the appetite for risk has peaked for this market cycle.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks: Are You Missing The Big Picture?
September 28, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts to help us answer the question - are you missing the big picture?
Via
Talk Markets
“Bond Market Yield Curve Returns to Normal”? Signals for Gold, Stocks, Economy
September 21, 2024
The financial media appear to once again be leading the public astray about the Yield Curve situation.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Mixed Risk-Appetite Signals Sharpen Debate For Markets Outlook
September 19, 2024
Recent market volatility has raised questions about the staying power of the rally for global assets that began in late-2023.
Via
Talk Markets
The Fed “Train” Is Leaving The Station: Destination Unknown
September 16, 2024
The markets are pricing in the first rate cut in more than four years. As of this writing, it looks like we can expect a 50-basis-point cut on Wednesday, with a 50% probability of a 1.25% cut by...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Markets Take A Hit, But A Clear Risk-Off Signal Is Still In Dispute
August 08, 2024
From the vantage of the past week of trading the case looks clear for calling recent market volatility a sign of a risk-off pivot.
Via
Talk Markets
Will The Fed Meeting Support A September Rate Cut Forecast?
July 30, 2024
The market is convinced that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates at the Sep. 18 policy meeting.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Stalled Real Estate Market In The US, Gold Rush In India
July 26, 2024
Markets seem to be focusing their expectations on the Fed's next rate cut. If Jerome Powell fails to act within a reasonable timeframe, he could be criticized for taking too long to cut rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: General U.S. Treasury ETFs Take In $1.4 Billion, Eleventh Consecutive Weekly Inflow
July 12, 2024
Spot bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow (+$679 million) over the week—marking the largest inflow since the first week of June despite five straight weeks of negative returns.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Has Risk-On Run Out Of Road?
July 08, 2024
More investors are asking the question lately, in part because markets are seemingly defying gravity and ignoring various macro and geopolitical risks.
Via
Talk Markets
Best Indicator For Recession & Stock Market Downturn
June 17, 2024
The steepening in the yield curve from inversion to above 0 is the best indicator of an imminent recession.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
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